---
title: "Roadman case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Roadman ($104.69) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 18 items with odds, observed 71.00% over 122 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/roadman
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:40Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Roadman](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/roadman)

# [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Roadman

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/roadman?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/roadman?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/roadman) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/roadman?window=all)

Price · $104.69

Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $93.69 from 18 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 71.00% · 122 openings, odds method

Variance · 4.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 19 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 84.4% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 6 openings · below min

7 days · 66.03% ±41.76 104 openings

30 days · 71.00% ±38.55 122 openings

since tracking started · 71.00% ±38.55 122 openings

-0.5% 91.8% 184.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/roadman?window=24h) | 6 | 9.36% ±173.8 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/roadman?window=7d) | 104 | 66.03% ±41.8 | −1.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/roadman) | 122 | 71.00% ±38.6 | −0.9σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/roadman?window=all) | 122 | 71.00% ±38.6 | −0.9σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 122 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Palm Angels Logo-Print Padded Jacket US L other](https://gambatracker.com/items/palm-angels-logo-print-padded-jacket-us-l) | 1 in 400 | $2,184 | 5.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Jordan 1 Retro High Off-White University Blue (US 7) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-high-off-white-university-blue-us-7) | 1 in 400 | $1,370 | 3.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [BAPE Type 2 Bapex #1 Watch Silver/Black/Green other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bape-type-2-bapex-1-watch-silver-black-green) | 1 in 200 | $1,300 | 6.9% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [Dior x CACTUS JACK Oversized T-shirt White/Brown (US L) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dior-x-cactus-jack-oversized-t-shirt-white-brown-us-l) | 1 in 200 | $1,038 | 5.5% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [Nike Dunk Low Off-White Lot 50 (US 10) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-dunk-low-off-white-lot-50-us-10) | 1 in 200 | $1,020 | 5.4% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [Balenciaga Cities Paris Explorer Nylon Belt Bag Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/balenciaga-cities-paris-explorer-nylon-belt-bag-black) | 1 in 200 | $942 | 5.0% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [Tissot Mens PRX Powermatic 80 316L Stainless Steel case Automatic Watches, Grey, Stainless Steel, 12 (T1374071135100) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/tissot-mens-prx-powermatic-80-316l-stainless-steel-case-automatic-watches-grey-stainless-steel-12-t1374071135100) | 1 in 154 | $800 | 5.6% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [ALPHABET ANY LETTER DIAMOND RING 14K SOLID GOLD 0.05CTW other](https://gambatracker.com/items/alphabet-any-letter-diamond-ring-14k-solid-gold-0-05ctw) | 1 in 133 | $585 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [Puma Suede RS 2.7 Porsche 50th Anniversary (US 11) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/puma-suede-rs-2-7-porsche-50th-anniversary-us-11) | 1 in 133 | $576 | 4.6% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [Alexander McQueen Logo Plaque Bracelet Silver other](https://gambatracker.com/items/alexander-mcqueen-logo-plaque-bracelet-silver) | 1 in 200 | $550 | 2.9% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [Palm Angels Venice Track Bucket Hat Black/White other](https://gambatracker.com/items/palm-angels-venice-track-bucket-hat-black-white) | 1 in 20 | $335 | 17.9% | 8 | 6.1 | 1.31× |
| [adidas Y-3 Parachute Cropped Pants US M other](https://gambatracker.com/items/adidas-y-3-parachute-cropped-pants-us-m) | 1 in 100 | $305 | 3.3% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [Ray-Ban RB3449 Sunglasses Polished Silver/Grey (RB3449) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ray-ban-rb3449-sunglasses-polished-silver-grey-rb3449) | 1 in 100 | $300 | 3.2% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.82× |
| [Trapstar Irongate Arch Hooded Puffer Jacket US M other](https://gambatracker.com/items/trapstar-irongate-arch-hooded-puffer-jacket-us-m) | 1 in 100 | $300 | 3.2% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.82× |
| [Palm Angels Flames Logo Baseball Cap Black/Orange other](https://gambatracker.com/items/palm-angels-flames-logo-baseball-cap-black-orange) | 1 in 40 | $160 | 4.3% | 4 | 3.1 | 1.31× |
| [Supreme Halftone Lightweight Balaclava Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-halftone-lightweight-balaclava-red) | 14.3% | $66.00 | 10.1% | 17 | 17.5 | 0.97× |
| [Nike Air Jordan Ultimate Flight Crew 2.0 Basketball Socks Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-air-jordan-ultimate-flight-crew-2-0-basketball-socks-black) | 30.0% | $15.00 | 4.8% | 40 | 36.6 | 1.09× |
| [New Balance Lightweight Running Gloves other](https://gambatracker.com/items/new-balance-lightweight-running-gloves) | 40.0% | $7.20 | 3.1% | 47 | 48.8 | 0.96× |

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Nike Dunk Low Off-White Lot 50 (US 10) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-dunk-low-off-white-lot-50-us-10) [Trecky](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Trecky) $105 $1,020 9.74x 2026-11-05 16:26 UTC

[Balenciaga Cities Paris Explorer Nylon Belt Bag Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/balenciaga-cities-paris-explorer-nylon-belt-bag-black) Hidden $105 $942 9.00x 2026-11-10 02:06 UTC

[Puma Suede RS 2.7 Porsche 50th Anniversary (US 11) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/puma-suede-rs-2-7-porsche-50th-anniversary-us-11) Hidden $105 $576 5.50x 2026-11-10 06:36 UTC

[Alexander McQueen Logo Plaque Bracelet Silver other](https://gambatracker.com/items/alexander-mcqueen-logo-plaque-bracelet-silver) Hidden $105 $550 5.25x 2026-11-03 11:43 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=roadman)

[Nike Air Jordan Ultimate Flight Crew 2.0 Basketball Socks Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-air-jordan-ultimate-flight-crew-2-0-basketball-socks-black) Hidden $105 $15.00 0.14x 2026-11-11 09:01 UTC

[New Balance Lightweight Running Gloves other](https://gambatracker.com/items/new-balance-lightweight-running-gloves) Hidden $105 $7.20 0.07x 2026-11-11 09:01 UTC

[New Balance Lightweight Running Gloves other](https://gambatracker.com/items/new-balance-lightweight-running-gloves) Hidden $105 $7.20 0.07x 2026-11-11 09:01 UTC

[New Balance Lightweight Running Gloves other](https://gambatracker.com/items/new-balance-lightweight-running-gloves) Hidden $105 $7.20 0.07x 2026-11-11 09:01 UTC

[Nike Air Jordan Ultimate Flight Crew 2.0 Basketball Socks Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-air-jordan-ultimate-flight-crew-2-0-basketball-socks-black) Hidden $105 $15.00 0.14x 2026-11-11 09:01 UTC

[New Balance Lightweight Running Gloves other](https://gambatracker.com/items/new-balance-lightweight-running-gloves) [EriksZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/EriksZ) $105 $7.20 0.07x 2026-11-11 09:01 UTC

[Supreme Halftone Lightweight Balaclava Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-halftone-lightweight-balaclava-red) Hidden $105 $66.00 0.63x 2026-11-10 06:44 UTC

[Nike Air Jordan Ultimate Flight Crew 2.0 Basketball Socks Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-air-jordan-ultimate-flight-crew-2-0-basketball-socks-black) Hidden $105 $15.00 0.14x 2026-11-10 06:44 UTC

[New Balance Lightweight Running Gloves other](https://gambatracker.com/items/new-balance-lightweight-running-gloves) Hidden $105 $7.20 0.07x 2026-11-10 06:44 UTC

[Supreme Halftone Lightweight Balaclava Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-halftone-lightweight-balaclava-red) Hidden $105 $66.00 0.63x 2026-11-10 06:44 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $105 | 89.50% | 18 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed other 100.0% best hit $1,020 (9.74x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt