--- title: "'Round the Track case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "'Round the Track ($26.47) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.49% from 18 items with odds, observed 78.98% over 107 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/round-the-track rendered: 2026-11-11T20:10Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / ['Round the Track](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/round-the-track) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg)'Round the Track A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/round-the-track?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/round-the-track?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/round-the-track) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/round-the-track?window=all) Price · $26.47 Advertised RTP · 89.49% · EV $23.69 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 78.98% · 107 openings, odds method Variance · 0.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 24.3% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 69.3% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 20 openings · below min 7 days · 99 openings · below min 30 days · 78.98% ±12.88 107 openings since tracking started · 78.98% ±12.88 107 openings 50.0% 80.5% 111.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/round-the-track?window=24h) | 20 | 80.61% ±29.8 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/round-the-track?window=7d) | 99 | 79.72% ±13.4 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/round-the-track) | 107 | 78.98% ±12.9 | −1.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/round-the-track?window=all) | 107 | 78.98% ±12.9 | −1.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 107 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Project Cars 3 (Xbox One) - Xbox Live Key - EUROPE other](https://gambatracker.com/items/project-cars-3-xbox-one-xbox-live-key-europe) | 1 in 100 | $110 | 4.6% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.93× | | [F1 23 - PC other](https://gambatracker.com/items/f1-23-pc) | 1 in 67 | $77.00 | 4.9% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.62× | | [Project CARS 3 - PlayStation 4 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/project-cars-3-playstation-4) | 1 in 50 | $60.00 | 5.1% | 1 | 2.1 | 0.47× | | [Gran Turismo 7 (PS5) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gran-turismo-7-ps5) | 1 in 44 | $59.00 | 5.6% | 0 | 2.4 | 0.00× | | [Need for Speed Unbound (PC) - Steam Key - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/need-for-speed-unbound-pc-steam-key-global) | 1 in 50 | $57.00 | 4.8% | 1 | 2.1 | 0.47× | | [DiRT Rally 2.0 (Xbox One) - Xbox Live Key - UNITED STATES other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dirt-rally-2-0-xbox-one-xbox-live-key-united-states) | 1 in 50 | $55.00 | 4.6% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.93× | | [Forza Horizon 5 (Xbox Series X/S, Windows 10) - Xbox Live Key - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/forza-horizon-5-xbox-series-x-s-windows-10-xbox-live-key-global) | 1 in 40 | $42.00 | 4.4% | 2 | 2.7 | 0.75× | | [EA SPORTS WRC (Xbox Series X/S) - Xbox Live Key - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ea-sports-wrc-xbox-series-x-s-xbox-live-key-global) | 1 in 40 | $40.00 | 4.2% | 2 | 2.7 | 0.75× | | [Gran Turismo 7 Standard Edition - PlayStation 4 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gran-turismo-7-standard-edition-playstation-4) | 1 in 40 | $39.94 | 4.2% | 4 | 2.7 | 1.50× | | [Project Cars 3 (PC) - Steam Key - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/project-cars-3-pc-steam-key-global) | 1 in 33 | $35.00 | 4.4% | 3 | 3.2 | 0.93× | | [F1 23 - Xbox Series X other](https://gambatracker.com/items/f1-23-xbox-series-x) | 1 in 33 | $32.85 | 4.2% | 5 | 3.2 | 1.56× | | [F1 23 PS5 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/f1-23-ps5) | 1 in 33 | $29.47 | 3.7% | 3 | 3.2 | 0.93× | | [WRC 10 PlayStation 5 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/wrc-10-playstation-5) | 1 in 29 | $27.00 | 4.0% | 5 | 3.7 | 1.34× | | [Need for Speed Unbound (Xbox Series X/S) - Xbox Live Key - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/need-for-speed-unbound-xbox-series-x-s-xbox-live-key-global) | 1 in 29 | $25.30 | 3.7% | 2 | 3.7 | 0.53× | | [Need for Speed Unbound - PlayStation 5 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/need-for-speed-unbound-playstation-5) | 1 in 20 | $20.00 | 4.2% | 1 | 5.4 | 0.19× | | [Assetto Corsa Competizione (Xbox One) - Xbox Live Key - UNITED STATES other](https://gambatracker.com/items/assetto-corsa-competizione-xbox-one-xbox-live-key-united-states) | 10.0% | $19.00 | 8.0% | 6 | 10.7 | 0.56× | | [Assetto Corsa Competizione (PC) - Steam Key - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/assetto-corsa-competizione-pc-steam-key-global) | 20.0% | $16.00 | 13.5% | 30 | 21.4 | 1.40× | | [DiRT Rally (PC) - Steam Key - EUROPE other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dirt-rally-pc-steam-key-europe) | 30.8% | $9.00 | 11.7% | 38 | 32.9 | 1.15× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=round-the-track) [DiRT Rally (PC) - Steam Key - EUROPE other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dirt-rally-pc-steam-key-europe) Hidden $26.47 $9.00 0.34x 2026-11-11 08:17 UTC [DiRT Rally (PC) - Steam Key - EUROPE other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dirt-rally-pc-steam-key-europe) Hidden $26.47 $9.00 0.34x 2026-11-11 08:17 UTC [Assetto Corsa Competizione (PC) - Steam Key - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/assetto-corsa-competizione-pc-steam-key-global) Hidden $26.47 $16.00 0.60x 2026-11-11 08:17 UTC [Assetto Corsa Competizione (PC) - Steam Key - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/assetto-corsa-competizione-pc-steam-key-global) Hidden $26.47 $16.00 0.60x 2026-11-11 08:17 UTC [Assetto Corsa Competizione (PC) - Steam Key - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/assetto-corsa-competizione-pc-steam-key-global) Hidden $26.47 $16.00 0.60x 2026-11-11 08:17 UTC [DiRT Rally (PC) - Steam Key - EUROPE other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dirt-rally-pc-steam-key-europe) [EriksZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/EriksZ) $26.47 $9.00 0.34x 2026-11-11 08:17 UTC [Assetto Corsa Competizione (PC) - Steam Key - GLOBAL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/assetto-corsa-competizione-pc-steam-key-global) Hidden $26.47 $16.00 0.60x 2026-11-11 03:32 UTC [F1 23 - PC other](https://gambatracker.com/items/f1-23-pc) Hidden $26.47 $77.00 2.91x 2026-11-11 03:32 UTC [DiRT Rally (PC) - Steam Key - EUROPE other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dirt-rally-pc-steam-key-europe) Hidden $26.47 $9.00 0.34x 2026-11-11 03:32 UTC [Gran Turismo 7 Standard Edition - PlayStation 4 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gran-turismo-7-standard-edition-playstation-4) [Friendly Chipmunk](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Friendly%20Chipmunk) $26.47 $39.94 1.51x 2026-11-11 03:32 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $26.47 | 89.49% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.49 on average: an expected loss of $10.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt