--- title: "Rumbling case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Rumbling ($73.96) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.49% from 18 items with odds, observed 68.74% over 69 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/rumbling rendered: 2026-11-12T00:19Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Rumbling](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/rumbling) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Rumbling A box on Cases.gg (Accessories), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/rumbling?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/rumbling?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/rumbling) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/rumbling?window=all) Price · $73.96 Advertised RTP · 89.49% · EV $66.19 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 68.74% · 69 openings, odds method Variance · 7.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 86.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 12 openings · below min 7 days · 69 openings · below min 30 days · 69 openings · below min since tracking started · 69 openings · below min -0.5% 120.0% 240.5% **Small sample.** 69 openings and 3.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/rumbling?window=24h) | 12 | 81.80% ±158.0 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/rumbling?window=7d) | 69 | 68.74% ±65.9 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/rumbling) | 69 | 68.74% ±65.9 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/rumbling?window=all) | 69 | 68.74% ±65.9 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 69 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Bearbrick Attack On Titan Colossal 1000% other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bearbrick-attack-on-titan-colossal-1000) | 1 in 500 | $3,361 | 10.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Higround x Aot2 Eren Summit 65 Keyboard 2.0 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/higround-x-aot2-eren-summit-65-keyboard-2-0) | 1 in 333 | $804 | 3.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Higround x Attack on Titan Levi Keyboard other](https://gambatracker.com/items/higround-x-attack-on-titan-levi-keyboard) | 1 in 200 | $700 | 5.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Funko Pop! Animation Attack on Titan Beast Titan Hot Topic Exclusive 6 inch Figure #504 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-animation-attack-on-titan-beast-titan-hot-topic-exclusive-6-inch-figure-504) | 1 in 100 | $620 | 9.4% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [100 Thieves x Attack on Titan First Titan Hoodie - US L other](https://gambatracker.com/items/100-thieves-x-attack-on-titan-first-titan-hoodie-us-l) | 1 in 100 | $585 | 8.8% | 3 | 0.7 | — | | [Funko Pop! Animation Attack on Titan Colossal Titan 6 Inch Figure #23 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-animation-attack-on-titan-colossal-titan-6-inch-figure-23) | 1 in 100 | $556 | 8.4% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [Higround x Aot2 Mikasa Base 65 Keyboard other](https://gambatracker.com/items/higround-x-aot2-mikasa-base-65-keyboard) | 1 in 100 | $550 | 8.3% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [Higround x Aot2 All Titans Mousepad XL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/higround-x-aot2-all-titans-mousepad-xl) | 1 in 50 | $400 | 12.1% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× | | [Higround x Aot2 Titan Meetup Mousepad XL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/higround-x-aot2-titan-meetup-mousepad-xl) | 1 in 50 | $365 | 11.0% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.72× | | [Higround x Attack on Titan Jelly Bag other](https://gambatracker.com/items/higround-x-attack-on-titan-jelly-bag) | 1 in 50 | $90.00 | 2.7% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× | | [Funko Pop! Animation Attack on Titan Eren (Titan Form) Hot Topic Exclusive Figure #22 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-animation-attack-on-titan-eren-titan-form-hot-topic-exclusive-figure-22) | 1 in 33 | $88.00 | 4.0% | 1 | 2.1 | 0.48× | | [Attack on Titan Men's Authentic Full Zip-Up Survey Corps other](https://gambatracker.com/items/attack-on-titan-mens-authentic-full-zip-up-survey-corps) | 1 in 33 | $70.00 | 3.2% | 1 | 2.1 | 0.48× | | [Attack on Titan: Complete Season One \[Blu ray\] other](https://gambatracker.com/items/attack-on-titan-complete-season-one-blu-ray) | 1 in 33 | $48.00 | 2.2% | 3 | 2.1 | 1.45× | | [Funko Pop! Animation Attack on Titan Cleaning Levi Hot Topic Exclusive Figure #239 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-animation-attack-on-titan-cleaning-levi-hot-topic-exclusive-figure-239) | 1 in 20 | $44.00 | 3.3% | 2 | 3.5 | 0.58× | | [Youtooz Titan Eren 4.7" Inch, Titan Eren Vinyl Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/youtooz-titan-eren-4-7-inch-titan-eren-vinyl-figure) | 1 in 20 | $38.49 | 2.9% | 6 | 3.5 | 1.74× | | [Attack on Titan Season 2 Distressed Scout Symbol T-shirt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/attack-on-titan-season-2-distressed-scout-symbol-t-shirt) | 1 in 20 | $24.00 | 1.8% | 3 | 3.5 | 0.87× | | [Funko Pop! Animation: Attack on Titan - Armin Arlelt with Chase other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-animation-attack-on-titan-armin-arlelt-with-chase) | 1 in 20 | $12.77 | 1.0% | 4 | 3.5 | 1.16× | | [Cellar Key other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cellar-key) | 60.0% | $2.00 | 1.8% | 44 | 41.4 | 1.06× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [100 Thieves x Attack on Titan First Titan Hoodie - US L other](https://gambatracker.com/items/100-thieves-x-attack-on-titan-first-titan-hoodie-us-l) Hidden $73.96 $585 7.91x 2026-11-11 08:56 UTC [100 Thieves x Attack on Titan First Titan Hoodie - US L other](https://gambatracker.com/items/100-thieves-x-attack-on-titan-first-titan-hoodie-us-l) Hidden $73.96 $585 7.91x 2026-11-06 19:21 UTC [100 Thieves x Attack on Titan First Titan Hoodie - US L other](https://gambatracker.com/items/100-thieves-x-attack-on-titan-first-titan-hoodie-us-l) Hidden $73.96 $585 7.91x 2026-11-05 23:45 UTC [Funko Pop! Animation Attack on Titan Colossal Titan 6 Inch Figure #23 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-animation-attack-on-titan-colossal-titan-6-inch-figure-23) Hidden $73.96 $556 7.52x 2026-11-06 19:21 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=rumbling) [Cellar Key other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cellar-key) Hidden $73.96 $2.00 0.03x 2026-11-11 19:57 UTC [Cellar Key other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cellar-key) Hidden $73.96 $2.00 0.03x 2026-11-11 19:57 UTC [Cellar Key other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cellar-key) Hidden $73.96 $2.00 0.03x 2026-11-11 19:57 UTC [Youtooz Titan Eren 4.7" Inch, Titan Eren Vinyl Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/youtooz-titan-eren-4-7-inch-titan-eren-vinyl-figure) Hidden $73.96 $38.49 0.52x 2026-11-11 19:57 UTC [Cellar Key other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cellar-key) Hidden $73.96 $2.00 0.03x 2026-11-11 19:57 UTC [Cellar Key other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cellar-key) [FamiChiki](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/FamiChiki) $73.96 $2.00 0.03x 2026-11-11 19:57 UTC [100 Thieves x Attack on Titan First Titan Hoodie - US L other](https://gambatracker.com/items/100-thieves-x-attack-on-titan-first-titan-hoodie-us-l) Hidden $73.96 $585 7.91x 2026-11-11 08:56 UTC [Cellar Key other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cellar-key) Hidden $73.96 $2.00 0.03x 2026-11-11 08:56 UTC [Youtooz Titan Eren 4.7" Inch, Titan Eren Vinyl Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/youtooz-titan-eren-4-7-inch-titan-eren-vinyl-figure) Hidden $73.96 $38.49 0.52x 2026-11-11 08:56 UTC [Attack on Titan: Complete Season One \[Blu ray\] other](https://gambatracker.com/items/attack-on-titan-complete-season-one-blu-ray) Hidden $73.96 $48.00 0.65x 2026-11-11 08:56 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $73.96 | 89.49% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $585 (7.91x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.49 on average: an expected loss of $10.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt