--- title: "Scopped case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Scopped ($33.04) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 12 items with odds, observed 98.90% over 322 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/scopped rendered: 2026-11-11T17:17Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Scopped](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/scopped) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Scopped A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/scopped?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/scopped?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/scopped) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/scopped?window=all) Price · $33.04 Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $29.57 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 98.90% · 322 openings, odds method Variance · 19.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 67 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 54 openings · below min 7 days · 248 openings · below min 30 days · 322 openings · below min since tracking started · 322 openings · below min 13.5% 131.5% 249.5% **Small sample.** 322 openings and 4.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/scopped?window=24h) | 54 | 131.43% ±117.5 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/scopped?window=7d) | 248 | 102.43% ±54.8 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/scopped) | 322 | 98.90% ±48.1 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/scopped?window=all) | 322 | 98.90% ±48.1 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 322 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [NIGHTFORCE NX8-1-8x24mm F1 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nightforce-nx8-1-8x24mm-f1) | 1 in 500 | $2,035 | 13.8% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [Trijicon 3.5x35 ACOG Battery Illuminated LED Scope other](https://gambatracker.com/items/trijicon-3-5x35-acog-battery-illuminated-led-scope) | 1 in 333 | $1,355 | 13.7% | 1 | 1.0 | — | | [EOTECH EXPS3 Holographic Weapon Sight other](https://gambatracker.com/items/eotech-exps3-holographic-weapon-sight) | 1 in 200 | $915 | 15.5% | 4 | 1.6 | 2.48× | | [Trijicon RMR Type 2 3.25 MOA Adjustable LED Red Dot Sight other](https://gambatracker.com/items/trijicon-rmr-type-2-3-25-moa-adjustable-led-red-dot-sight) | 1 in 200 | $579 | 9.8% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.62× | | [SIG SAUER Tango-MSR FFP 1-6X24mm Scope other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sig-sauer-tango-msr-ffp-1-6x24mm-scope) | 1 in 200 | $373 | 6.3% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.62× | | [SIG SAUER ROMEO7 2 MOA Red Dot Sight other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sig-sauer-romeo7-2-moa-red-dot-sight) | 1 in 100 | $250 | 8.5% | 6 | 3.2 | 1.86× | | [Sightmark Ultra Shot A-Spec Reflex Sight other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sightmark-ultra-shot-a-spec-reflex-sight) | 1 in 100 | $230 | 7.8% | 3 | 3.2 | 0.93× | | [SIG SAUER ROMEO5 1X20mm 2 MOA Red Dot Reticle other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sig-sauer-romeo5-1x20mm-2-moa-red-dot-reticle) | 1 in 100 | $165 | 5.6% | 2 | 3.2 | 0.62× | | [Bushnell Banner 3-9x40mm Riflescope other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bushnell-banner-3-9x40mm-riflescope) | 1 in 50 | $85.00 | 5.7% | 5 | 6.4 | 0.78× | | [Feyachi Reflex Sight, Multiple Reticle System Red Dot Sight other](https://gambatracker.com/items/feyachi-reflex-sight-multiple-reticle-system-red-dot-sight) | 1 in 33 | $59.00 | 6.0% | 11 | 9.7 | 1.14× | | [Feyachi Reflex Sight - Adjustable Reticle other](https://gambatracker.com/items/feyachi-reflex-sight-adjustable-reticle) | 1 in 20 | $30.00 | 5.1% | 25 | 16.1 | 1.55× | | [Battery other](https://gambatracker.com/items/battery) | 85.0% | $0.80 | 2.3% | 263 | 273.7 | 0.96× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Trijicon 3.5x35 ACOG Battery Illuminated LED Scope other](https://gambatracker.com/items/trijicon-3-5x35-acog-battery-illuminated-led-scope) [Lassik](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Lassik) $33.04 $1,355 41.01x 2026-11-05 11:51 UTC [EOTECH EXPS3 Holographic Weapon Sight other](https://gambatracker.com/items/eotech-exps3-holographic-weapon-sight) Hidden $33.04 $915 27.69x 2026-11-11 03:11 UTC [EOTECH EXPS3 Holographic Weapon Sight other](https://gambatracker.com/items/eotech-exps3-holographic-weapon-sight) Hidden $33.04 $915 27.69x 2026-11-09 05:37 UTC [EOTECH EXPS3 Holographic Weapon Sight other](https://gambatracker.com/items/eotech-exps3-holographic-weapon-sight) [Kordeezy](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Kordeezy) $33.04 $915 27.69x 2026-11-09 01:59 UTC [EOTECH EXPS3 Holographic Weapon Sight other](https://gambatracker.com/items/eotech-exps3-holographic-weapon-sight) Hidden $33.04 $915 27.69x 2026-11-03 14:09 UTC [Trijicon RMR Type 2 3.25 MOA Adjustable LED Red Dot Sight other](https://gambatracker.com/items/trijicon-rmr-type-2-3-25-moa-adjustable-led-red-dot-sight) Hidden $33.04 $579 17.52x 2026-11-04 20:33 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=scopped) [Battery other](https://gambatracker.com/items/battery) Hidden $33.04 $0.80 0.02x 2026-11-11 15:28 UTC [Battery other](https://gambatracker.com/items/battery) Hidden $33.04 $0.80 0.02x 2026-11-11 15:28 UTC [Battery other](https://gambatracker.com/items/battery) Hidden $33.04 $0.80 0.02x 2026-11-11 15:28 UTC [Battery other](https://gambatracker.com/items/battery) Hidden $33.04 $0.80 0.02x 2026-11-11 15:28 UTC [Battery other](https://gambatracker.com/items/battery) Hidden $33.04 $0.80 0.02x 2026-11-11 15:28 UTC [SIG SAUER ROMEO7 2 MOA Red Dot Sight other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sig-sauer-romeo7-2-moa-red-dot-sight) [EriksZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/EriksZ) $33.04 $250 7.57x 2026-11-11 15:28 UTC [Battery other](https://gambatracker.com/items/battery) Hidden $33.04 $0.80 0.02x 2026-11-11 08:27 UTC [Battery other](https://gambatracker.com/items/battery) Hidden $33.04 $0.80 0.02x 2026-11-11 08:27 UTC [Sightmark Ultra Shot A-Spec Reflex Sight other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sightmark-ultra-shot-a-spec-reflex-sight) Hidden $33.04 $230 6.96x 2026-11-11 08:27 UTC [Battery other](https://gambatracker.com/items/battery) Hidden $33.04 $0.80 0.02x 2026-11-11 08:27 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $33.04 | 89.50% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $1,355 (41.01x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt