---
title: "Shade Enthusiasts case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Shade Enthusiasts ($459.32) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 20 items with odds, observed 122.83% over 6 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/shade-enthusiasts
rendered: 2026-11-11T21:12Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Shade Enthusiasts](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/shade-enthusiasts)

# [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Shade Enthusiasts

A box on Cases.gg (Luxury), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/shade-enthusiasts?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/shade-enthusiasts?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/shade-enthusiasts) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/shade-enthusiasts?window=all)

Price · $459.32

Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $411.09 from 20 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 122.83% · 6 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 40.7% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 90.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

30 days · 6 openings · below min

since tracking started · 6 openings · below min

9.0% 123.0% 237.0%

**Small sample.** 6 openings and 2.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/shade-enthusiasts?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/shade-enthusiasts?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/shade-enthusiasts) | 6 | 122.83% ±113.3 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/shade-enthusiasts?window=all) | 6 | 122.83% ±113.3 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items and odds · 20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Cartier CT0439S other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cartier-ct0439s) | 1 in 200 | $4,351 | 5.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Louis Vuitton LV Wire Pearls Sunglasses Gold/Black Lenses other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-lv-wire-pearls-sunglasses-gold-black-lenses) | 1 in 167 | $4,235 | 6.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Louis Vuitton 1.1 Millionaires Sunglasses Green Marble other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-1-1-millionaires-sunglasses-green-marble) | 1 in 139 | $4,080 | 7.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Louis Vuitton 1.1 Millionaires Sunglasses Pale Blue other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-1-1-millionaires-sunglasses-pale-blue) | 1 in 154 | $2,760 | 4.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Supreme x Louis Vuitton City Mask SP Sunglasses Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-x-louis-vuitton-city-mask-sp-sunglasses-red) | 1 in 132 | $2,520 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Supreme x Louis Vuitton Downtown Sunglasses White other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-x-louis-vuitton-downtown-sunglasses-white) | 1 in 154 | $2,400 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Louis Vuitton Cyclone Sunglasses Clear Multicolor Gradien other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-cyclone-sunglasses-clear-multicolor-gradien) | 1 in 133 | $2,145 | 3.9% | 1 | 0.0 | — |
| [Supreme x Louis Vuitton City Mask SP Sunglasses Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-x-louis-vuitton-city-mask-sp-sunglasses-black) | 1 in 125 | $1,282 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Dior Signature B1U Butterfly Sunglasses other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dior-signature-b1u-butterfly-sunglasses) | 1 in 120 | $1,212 | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Louis Vuitton LV Ride Sunglasses Blue other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-lv-ride-sunglasses-blue) | 1 in 118 | $902 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Dior DIORCLUB M1U Sunglasses other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dior-diorclub-m1u-sunglasses) | 1 in 116 | $825 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Gucci Cat Eye-Frame Acetate Sunglasses Light Blue other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gucci-cat-eye-frame-acetate-sunglasses-light-blue) | 1 in 114 | $688 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Saint Laurent Square Sunglasses Black/Black (SL-651-VITTI-001) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/saint-laurent-square-sunglasses-black-black-sl-651-vitti-001) | 1 in 111 | $610 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Saint Laurent Classic Sunglasses Gold (Classic 11-012) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/saint-laurent-classic-sunglasses-gold-classic-11-012) | 1 in 110 | $420 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Ray-Ban Aviator Sunglasses Light Brown (0RB3664CH 121/BB) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ray-ban-aviator-sunglasses-light-brown-0rb3664ch-121-bb) | 30.0% | $280 | 20.4% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.56× |
| [OFF-WHITE Virgil Square Frame Sunglasses other](https://gambatracker.com/items/off-white-virgil-square-frame-sunglasses) | 1 in 108 | $245 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Ray-Ban Wayfarer Sunglasses Black/Green (RB2140) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ray-ban-wayfarer-sunglasses-black-green-rb2140) | 37.5% | $240 | 21.9% | 4 | 2.2 | 1.78× |
| [Ray-Ban Daddy-O II Sunglasses Black/Green (RB2016) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ray-ban-daddy-o-ii-sunglasses-black-green-rb2016) | 10.0% | $220 | 5.4% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [Ray-Ban RB3595 Sunglasses Black/Green (RB3595) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ray-ban-rb3595-sunglasses-black-green-rb3595) | 1 in 109 | $160 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Ray-Ban Square Sunglasses Tortoise (0RB2189 1292W152) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ray-ban-square-sunglasses-tortoise-0rb2189-1292w152) | 10.0% | $156 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.6 | — |

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Louis Vuitton Cyclone Sunglasses Clear Multicolor Gradien other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-cyclone-sunglasses-clear-multicolor-gradien) Hidden $459 $2,145 4.67x 2026-11-04 14:32 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=shade-enthusiasts)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $459 | 89.50% | 20 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed other 100.0% best hit $2,145 (4.67x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
