--- title: "Shades case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Shades ($130.97) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.49% from 23 items with odds, observed 160.97% over 56 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/shades rendered: 2026-11-11T17:52Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Shades](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/shades) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Shades A box on Cases.gg (Sunglasses), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/shades?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/shades?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/shades) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/shades?window=all) Price · $130.97 Advertised RTP · 89.49% · EV $117.21 from 23 items Observed RTP, 30d · 160.97% · 56 openings, odds method Variance · 13.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 18 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 73.7% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 40 openings · below min 30 days · 56 openings · below min since tracking started · 56 openings · below min 63.0% 189.8% 316.5% **Small sample.** 56 openings and 3.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/shades?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/shades?window=7d) | 40 | 200.81% ±115.0 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/shades) | 56 | 160.97% ±97.2 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/shades?window=all) | 56 | 160.97% ±97.2 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 23 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 56 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Cartier Eyewear Signature C de Cartier Precious rectangular sunglasses other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cartier-eyewear-signature-c-de-cartier-precious-rectangular-sunglasses) | 1 in 1,000 | $10.9K | 9.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Cartier CT0439S other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cartier-ct0439s) | 1 in 500 | $4,351 | 7.4% | 1 | 0.1 | — | | [Louis Vuitton 1.1 Millionaires Sunglasses Green Marble other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-1-1-millionaires-sunglasses-green-marble) | 1 in 333 | $4,080 | 10.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Supreme x Louis Vuitton City Mask SP Sunglasses Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-x-louis-vuitton-city-mask-sp-sunglasses-red) | 1 in 333 | $2,520 | 6.4% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [Supreme x Louis Vuitton City Mask SP Sunglasses Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-x-louis-vuitton-city-mask-sp-sunglasses-black) | 1 in 333 | $1,282 | 3.3% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [Saint Laurent Square Sunglasses Black/Black (SL-651-VITTI-001) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/saint-laurent-square-sunglasses-black-black-sl-651-vitti-001) | 1 in 167 | $610 | 3.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Saint Laurent Rectangle-Frame Injection Sunglasses Havana/Grey (SL318-30008269-002) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/saint-laurent-rectangle-frame-injection-sunglasses-havana-grey-sl318-30008269-002) | 1 in 167 | $420 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Saint Laurent Classic Sunglasses Gold (Classic 11-012) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/saint-laurent-classic-sunglasses-gold-classic-11-012) | 1 in 167 | $420 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Ray-Ban The Justin Sunglasses Black/Grey Gradient (RB4165) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ray-ban-the-justin-sunglasses-black-grey-gradient-rb4165) | 1 in 125 | $402 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Saint Laurent Oversized Sunglasses Black/Black (SL-M119-BLAZE-001) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/saint-laurent-oversized-sunglasses-black-black-sl-m119-blaze-001) | 1 in 200 | $400 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Saint Laurent Aviator Sunglasses Silver/Green (SL309-30008020-003) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/saint-laurent-aviator-sunglasses-silver-green-sl309-30008020-003) | 1 in 77 | $315 | 3.5% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [Ray-Ban RB3449 Sunglasses Polished Silver/Grey (RB3449) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ray-ban-rb3449-sunglasses-polished-silver-grey-rb3449) | 1 in 40 | $300 | 6.4% | 3 | 1.4 | 2.14× | | [Ray-Ban Aviator Sunglasses Light Brown (0RB3664CH 121/BB) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ray-ban-aviator-sunglasses-light-brown-0rb3664ch-121-bb) | 1 in 25 | $280 | 9.6% | 1 | 2.2 | 0.45× | | [OFF-WHITE Virgil Square Frame Sunglasses other](https://gambatracker.com/items/off-white-virgil-square-frame-sunglasses) | 1 in 83 | $245 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [Ray-Ban Wayfarer Sunglasses Black/Green (RB2140) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ray-ban-wayfarer-sunglasses-black-green-rb2140) | 1 in 22 | $240 | 9.4% | 5 | 2.6 | 1.94× | | [Ray-Ban Daddy-O II Sunglasses Black/Green (RB2016) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ray-ban-daddy-o-ii-sunglasses-black-green-rb2016) | 1 in 53 | $220 | 3.6% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.94× | | [Ray-Ban Aviator Classic Non-Polarized Sunglasses Polished Gold Frame/Green Classic G-15 Lens (RB3025 L0205 58-14) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ray-ban-aviator-classic-non-polarized-sunglasses-polished-gold-frame-green-classic-g-15-lens-rb3025-l0205-58-14) | 1 in 50 | $190 | 3.2% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.89× | | [Ray-Ban RB3595 Sunglasses Black/Green (RB3595) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ray-ban-rb3595-sunglasses-black-green-rb3595) | 1 in 100 | $160 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [Ray-Ban Square Sunglasses Tortoise (0RB2189 1292W152) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ray-ban-square-sunglasses-tortoise-0rb2189-1292w152) | 1 in 57 | $156 | 2.3% | 0 | 1.0 | — | | [Ray-Ban RB3183 Sunglasses Polished Gunmetal/Green (RB3183) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ray-ban-rb3183-sunglasses-polished-gunmetal-green-rb3183) | 1 in 57 | $140 | 2.1% | 0 | 1.0 | — | | [Saint Laurent Square Sunglasses Blue/Blue/Silver (SL116K-30000489-003) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/saint-laurent-square-sunglasses-blue-blue-silver-sl116k-30000489-003) | 1 in 67 | $130 | 1.7% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [Ray-Ban Clubmaster Oversized Sunglasses Gloss Black/Grey Gradient (RB4175) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ray-ban-clubmaster-oversized-sunglasses-gloss-black-grey-gradient-rb4175) | 1 in 45 | $76.00 | 1.4% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.62× | | [JASPIN Rectangle Sunglasses other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jaspin-rectangle-sunglasses) | 70.0% | $7.00 | 4.2% | 38 | 39.2 | 0.97× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Cartier CT0439S other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cartier-ct0439s) Hidden $131 $4,351 33.22x 2026-11-10 06:35 UTC [Supreme x Louis Vuitton City Mask SP Sunglasses Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-x-louis-vuitton-city-mask-sp-sunglasses-red) Hidden $131 $2,520 19.24x 2026-11-07 19:59 UTC [Supreme x Louis Vuitton City Mask SP Sunglasses Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-x-louis-vuitton-city-mask-sp-sunglasses-black) Hidden $131 $1,282 9.79x 2026-11-06 02:33 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=shades) [JASPIN Rectangle Sunglasses other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jaspin-rectangle-sunglasses) Hidden $131 $7.00 0.05x 2026-11-10 06:37 UTC [JASPIN Rectangle Sunglasses other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jaspin-rectangle-sunglasses) Hidden $131 $7.00 0.05x 2026-11-10 06:37 UTC [JASPIN Rectangle Sunglasses other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jaspin-rectangle-sunglasses) Hidden $131 $7.00 0.05x 2026-11-10 06:37 UTC [Ray-Ban RB3449 Sunglasses Polished Silver/Grey (RB3449) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ray-ban-rb3449-sunglasses-polished-silver-grey-rb3449) Hidden $131 $300 2.29x 2026-11-10 06:37 UTC [Saint Laurent Aviator Sunglasses Silver/Green (SL309-30008020-003) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/saint-laurent-aviator-sunglasses-silver-green-sl309-30008020-003) Hidden $131 $315 2.41x 2026-11-10 06:37 UTC [Ray-Ban Daddy-O II Sunglasses Black/Green (RB2016) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ray-ban-daddy-o-ii-sunglasses-black-green-rb2016) [Nie](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Nie) $131 $220 1.68x 2026-11-10 06:37 UTC [Cartier CT0439S other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cartier-ct0439s) Hidden $131 $4,351 33.22x 2026-11-10 06:35 UTC [JASPIN Rectangle Sunglasses other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jaspin-rectangle-sunglasses) Hidden $131 $7.00 0.05x 2026-11-10 06:35 UTC [JASPIN Rectangle Sunglasses other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jaspin-rectangle-sunglasses) Hidden $131 $7.00 0.05x 2026-11-10 06:35 UTC [JASPIN Rectangle Sunglasses other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jaspin-rectangle-sunglasses) Hidden $131 $7.00 0.05x 2026-11-10 06:35 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $131 | 89.49% | 23 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $4,351 (33.22x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.49 on average: an expected loss of $10.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt