---
title: "Shock and Awe case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Shock and Awe ($75.30) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.49% from 39 items with odds, observed 86.80% over 342 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/shock-and-awe
rendered: 2026-11-11T22:33Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Shock and Awe](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/shock-and-awe)

# [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Shock and Awe

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/shock-and-awe?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/shock-and-awe?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/shock-and-awe) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/shock-and-awe?window=all)

Price · $75.30

Advertised RTP · 89.49% · EV $67.39 from 39 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 86.80% · 342 openings, odds method

Variance · 80.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 235 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 96.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 36 openings · below min

7 days · 318 openings · below min

30 days · 342 openings · below min

since tracking started · 342 openings · below min

-0.5% 271.0% 542.5%

**Small sample.** 342 openings and 1.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/shock-and-awe?window=24h) | 36 | 249.56% ±292.5 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/shock-and-awe?window=7d) | 318 | 90.86% ±98.4 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/shock-and-awe) | 342 | 86.80% ±94.9 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/shock-and-awe?window=all) | 342 | 86.80% ±94.9 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items and odds · 39 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 342 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Casio G-Shock Mr-G MRGB2000BS-3A other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-mr-g-mrgb2000bs-3a) | 1 in 2,000 | $16.4K | 12.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Casio G-Shock "Bruce Lee 80th"other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-bruce-lee-80th) | 1 in 2,000 | $16K | 11.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Casio G-Shock MRG-G2000HT-1A other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-mrg-g2000ht-1a) | 1 in 2,000 | $14.4K | 10.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Casio G-Shock Frogman GWF-D1000K-7JR other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-frogman-gwf-d1000k-7jr) | 1 in 2,000 | $5,520 | 4.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Casio G-SHOCK x PORTER 40th Anniversary Limited Edition Bag Set GM-B2100VF-1A other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-x-porter-40th-anniversary-limited-edition-bag-set-gm-b2100vf-1a) | 1 in 1,333 | $4,300 | 4.8% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [Casio G-Shock GWFA1000BRT1 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-gwfa1000brt1) | 1 in 1,333 | $3,920 | 4.4% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [Casio G-Shock Blue Phoenix other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-blue-phoenix) | 1 in 1,333 | $3,550 | 4.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Casio G-Shock 20th Anniversary MTG-B1000RB-2A other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-20th-anniversary-mtg-b1000rb-2a) | 1 in 1,333 | $3,120 | 3.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Casio G-Shock x Kith other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-x-kith) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,640 | 3.9% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [Casio G-Shock Chinese New Year Limited Edition MTG-B1000CX-4AER other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-chinese-new-year-limited-edition-mtg-b1000cx-4aer) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,460 | 3.7% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [Casio G-SHOCK 40th Anniversary CARBON EDITION other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-40th-anniversary-carbon-edition) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,255 | 3.3% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [Casio G-Shock Tran Tixxii GMWB5000TR-9 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-tran-tixxii-gmwb5000tr-9) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,160 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Casio G-Shock MTGB3000 Series other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-mtgb3000-series) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,480 | 2.2% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [Casio G-Shock Rangeman GW-9407KJ-3JR other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-rangeman-gw-9407kj-3jr) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,350 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Casio G-Shock 40th Anniversary RECRYSTALLIZED other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-40th-anniversary-recrystallized) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,155 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Casio G-Shock x NASA GWM5610NASA4 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-x-nasa-gwm5610nasa4) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,150 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Casio G-Shock Mudmaster x The British Army GGB100BA-1A other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-mudmaster-x-the-british-army-ggb100ba-1a) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,130 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Casio G-Shock x One Piece GA-110JOP-1A4 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-x-one-piece-ga-110jop-1a4) | 1 in 1,000 | $860 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Casio G-Shock GM-110RB-2A other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-gm-110rb-2a) | 1 in 1,000 | $840 | 1.2% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [Casio G-Shock GA2100SRS-7A other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-ga2100srs-7a) | 1 in 1,000 | $635 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Casio Men's Pro Trek PRW-3500T-7CR Tough Solar Triple Sensor Digital Sport Watch other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-mens-pro-trek-prw-3500t-7cr-tough-solar-triple-sensor-digital-sport-watch) | 1 in 1,000 | $600 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Casio G-Shock x HIDDEN.NY Jewelry Case container](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-x-hidden-ny-jewelry-case) | 1 in 1,000 | $600 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Casio G-Shock CasiOak Sol IFL x The Dial Artist Studio other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-casioak-sol-ifl-x-the-dial-artist-studio) | 1 in 1,000 | $546 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Casio G-Shock H-Shock Manga Edition White other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-h-shock-manga-edition-white) | 1 in 1,000 | $540 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Casio G-Shock GA-2100MNG other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-ga-2100mng) | 1 in 1,000 | $432 | 0.6% | 3 | 0.3 | — |
| [Casio G-Shock Tiffany Blue other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-tiffany-blue) | 1 in 1,000 | $400 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [Casio Digital G-Shock DW-6900JT-3 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-digital-g-shock-dw-6900jt-3) | 1 in 1,000 | $400 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Casio Men's G-Shock Move DW-H5600 Series, Multisport (Run, Walking, Gym Workout), Heart Rate Watch, Quartz Solar Assisted Watch other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-mens-g-shock-move-dw-h5600-series-multisport-run-walking-gym-workout-heart-rate-watch-quartz-solar-assisted-watch) | 1 in 1,000 | $360 | 0.5% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [Casio G-Shock x Coca-Cola DW5600CC23-4 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-x-coca-cola-dw5600cc23-4) | 1 in 1,000 | $344 | 0.5% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [Casio G-Shock Ed Sheeran other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-ed-sheeran) | 1 in 1,000 | $330 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Casio G-Shock DW-D5600TD-3 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-dw-d5600td-3) | 1 in 1,000 | $250 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Casio G-Shock x Super Mario Bros. other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-x-super-mario-bros) | 1 in 1,000 | $250 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Casio G-Shock GA2100SR-1A other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-ga2100sr-1a) | 1 in 1,000 | $200 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Casio G Shock Men's GD-120CM-8CR G-Shock Digital Display Quartz Grey Watch other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-mens-gd-120cm-8cr-g-shock-digital-display-quartz-grey-watch) | 1 in 1,000 | $149 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Casio G-Shock LTP-V300D-2A other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-ltp-v300d-2a) | 1 in 500 | $89.00 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [Casio G-Shock LTP-V007G-9B other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-ltp-v007g-9b) | 1 in 500 | $73.00 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [Watch Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/watch-box) | 1 in 20 | $18.99 | 1.4% | 14 | 17.1 | 0.82× |
| [Single Watch Case container](https://gambatracker.com/items/single-watch-case) | 1 in 20 | $9.99 | 0.7% | 13 | 17.1 | 0.76× |
| [Silicone Watch Band Loop other](https://gambatracker.com/items/silicone-watch-band-loop) | 86.5% | $5.50 | 7.1% | 302 | 295.8 | 1.02× |

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Casio G-SHOCK x PORTER 40th Anniversary Limited Edition Bag Set GM-B2100VF-1A other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-x-porter-40th-anniversary-limited-edition-bag-set-gm-b2100vf-1a) Hidden $75.30 $4,300 57.10x 2026-11-10 06:33 UTC

[Casio G-Shock GWFA1000BRT1 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-gwfa1000brt1) Hidden $75.30 $3,920 52.06x 2026-11-11 12:24 UTC

[Casio G-Shock x Kith other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-x-kith) [Xander10mm](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Xander10mm) $75.30 $2,640 35.06x 2026-11-11 20:13 UTC

[Casio G-Shock Chinese New Year Limited Edition MTG-B1000CX-4AER other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-chinese-new-year-limited-edition-mtg-b1000cx-4aer) Hidden $75.30 $2,460 32.67x 2026-11-07 11:44 UTC

[Casio G-SHOCK 40th Anniversary CARBON EDITION other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-40th-anniversary-carbon-edition) [Oli](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Oli) $75.30 $2,255 29.95x 2026-11-05 18:33 UTC

[Casio G-Shock MTGB3000 Series other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-mtgb3000-series) Hidden $75.30 $1,480 19.65x 2026-11-09 22:18 UTC

[Casio G-Shock GM-110RB-2A other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-gm-110rb-2a) Hidden $75.30 $840 11.16x 2026-11-05 18:33 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=shock-and-awe)

[Silicone Watch Band Loop other](https://gambatracker.com/items/silicone-watch-band-loop) Hidden $75.30 $5.50 0.07x 2026-11-11 20:17 UTC

[Silicone Watch Band Loop other](https://gambatracker.com/items/silicone-watch-band-loop) Hidden $75.30 $5.50 0.07x 2026-11-11 20:17 UTC

[Silicone Watch Band Loop other](https://gambatracker.com/items/silicone-watch-band-loop) Hidden $75.30 $5.50 0.07x 2026-11-11 20:17 UTC

[Silicone Watch Band Loop other](https://gambatracker.com/items/silicone-watch-band-loop) Hidden $75.30 $5.50 0.07x 2026-11-11 20:17 UTC

[Silicone Watch Band Loop other](https://gambatracker.com/items/silicone-watch-band-loop) Hidden $75.30 $5.50 0.07x 2026-11-11 20:17 UTC

[Silicone Watch Band Loop other](https://gambatracker.com/items/silicone-watch-band-loop) [Xander10mm](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Xander10mm) $75.30 $5.50 0.07x 2026-11-11 20:17 UTC

[Silicone Watch Band Loop other](https://gambatracker.com/items/silicone-watch-band-loop) Hidden $75.30 $5.50 0.07x 2026-11-11 20:13 UTC

[Silicone Watch Band Loop other](https://gambatracker.com/items/silicone-watch-band-loop) Hidden $75.30 $5.50 0.07x 2026-11-11 20:13 UTC

[Silicone Watch Band Loop other](https://gambatracker.com/items/silicone-watch-band-loop) Hidden $75.30 $5.50 0.07x 2026-11-11 20:13 UTC

[Silicone Watch Band Loop other](https://gambatracker.com/items/silicone-watch-band-loop) Hidden $75.30 $5.50 0.07x 2026-11-11 20:13 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $75.30 | 89.49% | 39 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed other 100.0% best hit $4,300 (57.10x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.49 on average: an expected loss of $10.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt