--- title: "Silicon Wars case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Silicon Wars ($157.17) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 18 items with odds, observed 57.68% over 68 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/silicon-wars rendered: 2026-11-11T21:23Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Silicon Wars](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/silicon-wars) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Silicon Wars A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/silicon-wars?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/silicon-wars?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/silicon-wars) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/silicon-wars?window=all) Price · $157.17 Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $140.67 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 57.68% · 68 openings, odds method Variance · 7.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 19 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 4 openings · below min 7 days · 50 openings · below min 30 days · 68 openings · below min since tracking started · 68 openings · below min -0.5% 137.0% 274.5% **Small sample.** 68 openings and 3.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/silicon-wars?window=24h) | 4 | 7.63% ±266.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/silicon-wars?window=7d) | 50 | 63.79% ±75.3 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/silicon-wars) | 68 | 57.68% ±64.5 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/silicon-wars?window=all) | 68 | 57.68% ±64.5 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 68 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [ASUS NVIDIA GeForce RTX 5090 Astral LC Liquid Cooled 32GB GDDR7 PCIe 5.0 Graphics Card other](https://gambatracker.com/items/asus-nvidia-geforce-rtx-5090-astral-lc-liquid-cooled-32gb-gddr7-pcie-5-0-graphics-card) | 1 in 400 | $3,875 | 6.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [AMD Radeon RX 6900 XT Halo Infinite Limited Edition Graphics Card other](https://gambatracker.com/items/amd-radeon-rx-6900-xt-halo-infinite-limited-edition-graphics-card) | 1 in 200 | $3,840 | 13.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [MSI NVIDIA GeForce RTX 5090 VENTUS 3X Overclocked Triple Fan 32GB GDDR7 PCIe 5.0 Graphics Card other](https://gambatracker.com/items/msi-nvidia-geforce-rtx-5090-ventus-3x-overclocked-triple-fan-32gb-gddr7-pcie-5-0-graphics-card) | 1 in 250 | $2,812 | 8.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [NVIDIA GeForce RTX 4080 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nvidia-geforce-rtx-4080) | 1 in 200 | $1,760 | 6.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Sapphire Nitro+ AMD Radeon RX 7900 XTX Graphics Card other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sapphire-nitro-amd-radeon-rx-7900-xtx-graphics-card) | 1 in 200 | $1,667 | 5.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [MSI Gaming GeForce RTX 3060 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/msi-gaming-geforce-rtx-3060) | 1 in 33 | $630 | 13.4% | 3 | 2.0 | 1.47× | | [ASUS Dual Radeon RX 7600 XT OC Edition 16GB GDDR6 Graphics Card other](https://gambatracker.com/items/asus-dual-radeon-rx-7600-xt-oc-edition-16gb-gddr6-graphics-card) | 1 in 100 | $606 | 4.3% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [XFX Speedster SWFT309 AMD Radeon RX 6700 XT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/xfx-speedster-swft309-amd-radeon-rx-6700-xt) | 1 in 50 | $480 | 6.8% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.74× | | [Intel Arc B580 Limited Edition Graphics Card other](https://gambatracker.com/items/intel-arc-b580-limited-edition-graphics-card) | 1 in 50 | $430 | 6.1% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.74× | | [Intel Arc A770 Limited Edition 16GB PCI Express 4.0 Graphics Card other](https://gambatracker.com/items/intel-arc-a770-limited-edition-16gb-pci-express-4-0-graphics-card) | 1 in 118 | $360 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [Intel Arc A750 Limited Edition 8GB PCI Express 4.0 Graphics Card (Renewed) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/intel-arc-a750-limited-edition-8gb-pci-express-4-0-graphics-card-renewed) | 1 in 25 | $240 | 6.8% | 3 | 2.7 | 1.10× | | [Sparkle Intel Arc A310 ECO, 4GB GDDR6 Graphics Card other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sparkle-intel-arc-a310-eco-4gb-gddr6-graphics-card) | 1 in 20 | $180 | 6.4% | 4 | 3.4 | 1.18× | | [Crucial P3 Plus 1TB PCIe Gen4 3D NAND NVMe M.2 SSD other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crucial-p3-plus-1tb-pcie-gen4-3d-nand-nvme-m-2-ssd) | 1 in 13 | $79.00 | 4.2% | 6 | 5.1 | 1.18× | | [PCI-E 4.0 Riser Cable other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pci-e-4-0-riser-cable) | 10.0% | $36.00 | 2.6% | 6 | 6.8 | 0.88× | | [LTT Precision Multi-Bit Screwdriver other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ltt-precision-multi-bit-screwdriver) | 10.0% | $30.00 | 2.1% | 7 | 6.8 | 1.03× | | [Thermalright TL-C12C-S X3 120mm ARGB Case Cooler Fan other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thermalright-tl-c12c-s-x3-120mm-argb-case-cooler-fan) | 15.0% | $13.00 | 1.4% | 11 | 10.2 | 1.08× | | [ARCTIC MX-6 (4 g) Thermal Paste other](https://gambatracker.com/items/arctic-mx-6-4-g-thermal-paste) | 17.5% | $12.00 | 1.5% | 13 | 11.9 | 1.09× | | [Graphics Card Sag Holder Bracket other](https://gambatracker.com/items/graphics-card-sag-holder-bracket) | 20.0% | $10.00 | 1.4% | 12 | 13.6 | 0.88× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [MSI Gaming GeForce RTX 3060 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/msi-gaming-geforce-rtx-3060) Hidden $157 $630 4.01x 2026-11-10 18:53 UTC [MSI Gaming GeForce RTX 3060 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/msi-gaming-geforce-rtx-3060) Hidden $157 $630 4.01x 2026-11-10 06:47 UTC [MSI Gaming GeForce RTX 3060 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/msi-gaming-geforce-rtx-3060) Hidden $157 $630 4.01x 2026-11-10 06:47 UTC [ASUS Dual Radeon RX 7600 XT OC Edition 16GB GDDR6 Graphics Card other](https://gambatracker.com/items/asus-dual-radeon-rx-7600-xt-oc-edition-16gb-gddr6-graphics-card) Hidden $157 $606 3.86x 2026-11-10 18:50 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=silicon-wars) [Thermalright TL-C12C-S X3 120mm ARGB Case Cooler Fan other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thermalright-tl-c12c-s-x3-120mm-argb-case-cooler-fan) Hidden $157 $13.00 0.08x 2026-11-11 19:50 UTC [ARCTIC MX-6 (4 g) Thermal Paste other](https://gambatracker.com/items/arctic-mx-6-4-g-thermal-paste) Hidden $157 $12.00 0.08x 2026-11-11 19:50 UTC [Thermalright TL-C12C-S X3 120mm ARGB Case Cooler Fan other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thermalright-tl-c12c-s-x3-120mm-argb-case-cooler-fan) Hidden $157 $13.00 0.08x 2026-11-11 19:50 UTC [Graphics Card Sag Holder Bracket other](https://gambatracker.com/items/graphics-card-sag-holder-bracket) [Camel No. 9](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Camel%20No.%209) $157 $10.00 0.06x 2026-11-11 19:50 UTC [Sparkle Intel Arc A310 ECO, 4GB GDDR6 Graphics Card other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sparkle-intel-arc-a310-eco-4gb-gddr6-graphics-card) Hidden $157 $180 1.15x 2026-11-10 18:53 UTC [Intel Arc A750 Limited Edition 8GB PCI Express 4.0 Graphics Card (Renewed) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/intel-arc-a750-limited-edition-8gb-pci-express-4-0-graphics-card-renewed) Hidden $157 $240 1.53x 2026-11-10 18:53 UTC [Sparkle Intel Arc A310 ECO, 4GB GDDR6 Graphics Card other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sparkle-intel-arc-a310-eco-4gb-gddr6-graphics-card) Hidden $157 $180 1.15x 2026-11-10 18:53 UTC [MSI Gaming GeForce RTX 3060 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/msi-gaming-geforce-rtx-3060) Hidden $157 $630 4.01x 2026-11-10 18:53 UTC [ARCTIC MX-6 (4 g) Thermal Paste other](https://gambatracker.com/items/arctic-mx-6-4-g-thermal-paste) Hidden $157 $12.00 0.08x 2026-11-10 18:53 UTC [LTT Precision Multi-Bit Screwdriver other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ltt-precision-multi-bit-screwdriver) [Kick/PapaGambles $20k+ Rewards](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Kick%2FPapaGambles%20%2420k%2B%20Rewards) $157 $30.00 0.19x 2026-11-10 18:53 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $157 | 89.50% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $630 (4.01x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt