---
title: "Slam Dunk case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Slam Dunk ($512.24) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 18 items with odds, observed 176.53% over 28 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/slam-dunk
rendered: 2026-11-11T17:32Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Slam Dunk](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/slam-dunk)

# [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Slam Dunk

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/slam-dunk?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/slam-dunk?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/slam-dunk) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/slam-dunk?window=all)

Price · $512.24

Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $458.45 from 18 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 176.53% · 28 openings, odds method

Variance · 12.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 90.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 22 openings · below min

30 days · 28 openings · below min

since tracking started · 28 openings · below min

44.5% 195.0% 345.5%

**Small sample.** 28 openings and 1.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/slam-dunk?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/slam-dunk?window=7d) | 22 | 196.75% ±148.3 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/slam-dunk) | 28 | 176.53% ±131.4 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/slam-dunk?window=all) | 28 | 176.53% ±131.4 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 28 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Jordan 1 Retro High Dior (US 7) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-high-dior-us-7) | 1 in 833 | $24K | 6.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Jordan 1 Retro High Fragment (Friends and Family) (US 12) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-high-fragment-friends-and-family-us-12) | 1 in 1,000 | $19.2K | 4.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Jordan 1 Retro High Michigan PE US M 11.5 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-high-michigan-pe-us-m-11-5) | 1 in 400 | $12.6K | 6.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Jordan 5 Retro Fresh Prince (F&F) US M 12.5 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-5-retro-fresh-prince-f-and-f-us-m-12-5) | 1 in 286 | $10.6K | 8.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Jordan 5 Retro Tokyo T23 (US 12) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-5-retro-tokyo-t23-us-12) | 1 in 500 | $9,300 | 4.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Jordan 1 Retro High Off-White Chicago (US 7) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-high-off-white-chicago-us-7) | 1 in 588 | $7,900 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Jordan 1 Retro High Off-White Euro US M 11 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-high-off-white-euro-us-m-11) | 1 in 200 | $7,900 | 8.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Jordan 5 Retro DJ Khaled We The Best Court Purple (Friends and Family) US M 9.5 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-5-retro-dj-khaled-we-the-best-court-purple-friends-and-family-us-m-9-5) | 1 in 200 | $7,700 | 8.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Jordan 4 Retro Travis Scott Cactus Jack (US 7) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-4-retro-travis-scott-cactus-jack-us-7) | 1 in 57 | $4,800 | 18.3% | 4 | 0.5 | — |
| [Jordan 1 Retro Low OG SP Travis Scott Mocha (US 11) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-low-og-sp-travis-scott-mocha-us-11) | 1 in 67 | $3,120 | 10.2% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [Jordan 4 Retro Kaws US M 11 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-4-retro-kaws-us-m-11) | 1 in 100 | $3,100 | 6.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Jordan 1 XQ China (2007) US M 9.5 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-xq-china-2007-us-m-9-5) | 1 in 100 | $2,832 | 6.2% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [Jordan 1 Retro High OG SP Travis Scott Mocha (US 7) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-high-og-sp-travis-scott-mocha-us-7) | 1 in 40 | $1,390 | 7.6% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [Nike Air Jordan Ultimate Flight Crew 2.0 Basketball Socks Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-air-jordan-ultimate-flight-crew-2-0-basketball-socks-black) | 12.6% | $15.00 | 0.4% | 4 | 3.5 | 1.14× |
| [Air Jordan Tri-Fold Wallet other](https://gambatracker.com/items/air-jordan-tri-fold-wallet) | 15.0% | $9.20 | 0.3% | 1 | 4.2 | 0.24× |
| [Jordan Wristband other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-wristband) | 20.0% | $7.99 | 0.3% | 6 | 5.6 | 1.07× |
| [Jordan Beanie other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-beanie) | 20.0% | $6.50 | 0.3% | 5 | 5.6 | 0.89× |
| [Jordan Car Air Freshener other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-car-air-freshener) | 22.5% | $3.00 | 0.1% | 6 | 6.3 | 0.95× |

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Jordan 4 Retro Travis Scott Cactus Jack (US 7) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-4-retro-travis-scott-cactus-jack-us-7) [compgreenzzz](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/compgreenzzz) $512 $4,800 9.37x 2026-11-06 10:29 UTC

[Jordan 4 Retro Travis Scott Cactus Jack (US 7) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-4-retro-travis-scott-cactus-jack-us-7) Hidden $512 $4,800 9.37x 2026-11-06 10:29 UTC

[Jordan 4 Retro Travis Scott Cactus Jack (US 7) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-4-retro-travis-scott-cactus-jack-us-7) Hidden $512 $4,800 9.37x 2026-11-06 06:33 UTC

[Jordan 4 Retro Travis Scott Cactus Jack (US 7) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-4-retro-travis-scott-cactus-jack-us-7) Hidden $512 $4,800 9.37x 2026-11-06 06:28 UTC

[Jordan 1 Retro Low OG SP Travis Scott Mocha (US 11) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-low-og-sp-travis-scott-mocha-us-11) [CODE: FREEMAN 400$ LB](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/CODE%3A%20FREEMAN%20400%24%20LB) $512 $3,120 6.09x 2026-11-03 20:28 UTC

[Jordan 1 XQ China (2007) US M 9.5 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-xq-china-2007-us-m-9-5) Hidden $512 $2,832 5.53x 2026-11-06 10:29 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=slam-dunk)

[Nike Air Jordan Ultimate Flight Crew 2.0 Basketball Socks Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-air-jordan-ultimate-flight-crew-2-0-basketball-socks-black) Hidden $512 $15.00 0.03x 2026-11-06 10:37 UTC

[Nike Air Jordan Ultimate Flight Crew 2.0 Basketball Socks Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-air-jordan-ultimate-flight-crew-2-0-basketball-socks-black) Hidden $512 $15.00 0.03x 2026-11-06 10:37 UTC

[Jordan Wristband other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-wristband) Hidden $512 $7.99 0.02x 2026-11-06 10:37 UTC

[Jordan Wristband other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-wristband) Hidden $512 $7.99 0.02x 2026-11-06 10:37 UTC

[Jordan Wristband other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-wristband) Hidden $512 $7.99 0.02x 2026-11-06 10:37 UTC

[Jordan Car Air Freshener other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-car-air-freshener) [compgreenzzz](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/compgreenzzz) $512 $3.00 0.01x 2026-11-06 10:37 UTC

[Jordan 1 XQ China (2007) US M 9.5 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-xq-china-2007-us-m-9-5) Hidden $512 $2,832 5.53x 2026-11-06 10:29 UTC

[Jordan Wristband other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-wristband) Hidden $512 $7.99 0.02x 2026-11-06 10:29 UTC

[Jordan 4 Retro Travis Scott Cactus Jack (US 7) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-4-retro-travis-scott-cactus-jack-us-7) Hidden $512 $4,800 9.37x 2026-11-06 10:29 UTC

[Jordan 4 Retro Travis Scott Cactus Jack (US 7) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-4-retro-travis-scott-cactus-jack-us-7) [compgreenzzz](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/compgreenzzz) $512 $4,800 9.37x 2026-11-06 10:29 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $512 | 89.50% | 18 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed other 100.0% best hit $4,800 (9.37x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt