---
title: "Slip Up case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Slip Up ($40.73) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 32 items with odds, observed 111.34% over 359 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/slip-up
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:00Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Slip Up](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/slip-up)

# [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Slip Up

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/slip-up?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/slip-up?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/slip-up) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/slip-up?window=all)

Price · $40.73

Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $36.45 from 32 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 111.34% · 359 openings, odds method

Variance · 32.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 87 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 92.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 46 openings · below min

7 days · 353 openings · below min

30 days · 359 openings · below min

since tracking started · 359 openings · below min

-0.5% 107.8% 216.0%

**Small sample.** 359 openings and 4.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/slip-up?window=24h) | 46 | 51.29% ±163.9 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/slip-up?window=7d) | 353 | 87.78% ±59.2 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/slip-up) | 359 | 111.34% ±58.7 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/slip-up?window=all) | 359 | 111.34% ±58.7 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items and odds · 32 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 359 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Louis Vuitton Cosy Mule Monogram Denim US M 9 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-cosy-mule-monogram-denim-us-m-9) | 1 in 2,000 | $6,079 | 8.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Louis Vuitton Pool Pillow Flat Comfort Mule Takashi Murakami Black (Women's) US W 6 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-pool-pillow-flat-comfort-mule-takashi-murakami-black-womens-us-w-6) | 1 in 1,000 | $3,611 | 9.9% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [Dior by Birkenstock Tokio Mule Brown other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dior-by-birkenstock-tokio-mule-brown) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,920 | 8.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [Louis Vuitton x Takashi Murakami Lily Flat Mule Cherry Blossom Sakura Brown (Women's) US W 7 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-x-takashi-murakami-lily-flat-mule-cherry-blossom-sakura-brown-womens-us-w-7) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,834 | 7.8% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [Louis Vuitton LV Palace Slipper Damier Pop Ebene US M 11 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-lv-palace-slipper-damier-pop-ebene-us-m-11) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,320 | 3.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [Balenciaga Technoclog Black US M 10 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/balenciaga-technoclog-black-us-m-10) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,135 | 3.1% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [Gucci Interlocking G Embroidery Slipper Beige Ebony US W 9 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gucci-interlocking-g-embroidery-slipper-beige-ebony-us-w-9) | 1 in 1,000 | $780 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [Burberry Chubby Mule Loch US M 11 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/burberry-chubby-mule-loch-us-m-11) | 1 in 1,000 | $780 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [XXXTentacion Bad Vibes Forever Plush Slippers other](https://gambatracker.com/items/xxxtentacion-bad-vibes-forever-plush-slippers) | 1 in 1,000 | $550 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [Wellipets Frog Loafers by JW Anderson Green EU 43 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/wellipets-frog-loafers-by-jw-anderson-green-eu-43) | 1 in 1,000 | $530 | 1.5% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [Birkenstock Boston Chunky Suede Berry Crush (Narrow) (Women's) US W 8N other](https://gambatracker.com/items/birkenstock-boston-chunky-suede-berry-crush-narrow-womens-us-w-8n) | 1 in 1,000 | $475 | 1.3% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [Gucci Slide Interlocking G Black US M 12.5 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gucci-slide-interlocking-g-black-us-m-12-5) | 1 in 1,000 | $435 | 1.2% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [Tory Burch Miller Sandals Black (Women's) US W 9 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/tory-burch-miller-sandals-black-womens-us-w-9) | 1 in 1,000 | $410 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [Crocs Classic Clog ONE PIECE x atmos Luffy Gear 5 US M 8 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crocs-classic-clog-one-piece-x-atmos-luffy-gear-5-us-m-8) | 1 in 1,000 | $375 | 1.0% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [Gucci Web Slide Pink Rubber (Women's) US W 6 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gucci-web-slide-pink-rubber-womens-us-w-6) | 1 in 1,000 | $360 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [adidas Yeezy Slide Onyx US M 10 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/adidas-yeezy-slide-onyx-us-m-10) | 1 in 500 | $280 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [A Bathing Ape Baby Milo Slipper Brown US M other](https://gambatracker.com/items/a-bathing-ape-baby-milo-slipper-brown-us-m) | 1 in 500 | $250 | 1.4% | 3 | 0.7 | — |
| [Crocs Classic All-Terrain Clog Friday The 13th US M 9 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crocs-classic-all-terrain-clog-friday-the-13th-us-m-9) | 1 in 400 | $165 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [A Bathing Ape ABC Neon Camo Beach Sandal Black US M other](https://gambatracker.com/items/a-bathing-ape-abc-neon-camo-beach-sandal-black-us-m) | 1 in 400 | $155 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [Crocs Classic Cozzzy Sandal Monsters Inc. Sulley US M 5 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crocs-classic-cozzzy-sandal-monsters-inc-sulley-us-m-5) | 1 in 400 | $133 | 0.9% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [UGG Tazz SlipperChestnut (Women's) US W 8 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ugg-tazz-slipperchestnut-womens-us-w-8) | 1 in 500 | $125 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [Crocs Classic Clog Batman Batmobile US M 8 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crocs-classic-clog-batman-batmobile-us-m-8) | 1 in 400 | $120 | 0.8% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [Crocs Classic Clog Lightning McQueen US M 10 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crocs-classic-clog-lightning-mcqueen-us-m-10) | 1 in 200 | $95.00 | 1.3% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.56× |
| [Nike Calm Slide Volt US M 9 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-calm-slide-volt-us-m-9) | 1 in 200 | $86.00 | 1.2% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [Nike Air More Uptempo Slide OG Black White US M 9 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-air-more-uptempo-slide-og-black-white-us-m-9) | 1 in 200 | $76.00 | 1.0% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [Crocs Overpuff Shorty Dragon Fruit other](https://gambatracker.com/items/crocs-overpuff-shorty-dragon-fruit) | 1 in 200 | $75.00 | 1.0% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.56× |
| [Nike Benassi Jdi Black/White US M 7 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-benassi-jdi-black-white-us-m-7) | 1 in 33 | $45.00 | 3.7% | 14 | 10.8 | 1.30× |
| [Nike ISPA Universal Mink Brown US M 5 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-ispa-universal-mink-brown-us-m-5) | 1 in 20 | $38.00 | 5.2% | 27 | 17.9 | 1.50× |
| [Trout Fish Sandals other](https://gambatracker.com/items/trout-fish-sandals) | 10.0% | $20.00 | 5.5% | 40 | 35.9 | 1.11× |
| [Billy Bob's Big Old Hairy Feet Slippers other](https://gambatracker.com/items/billy-bobs-big-old-hairy-feet-slippers) | 15.0% | $14.00 | 5.8% | 44 | 53.9 | 0.82× |
| [Havaianas Women's Slim Season Flip Flop US W 5 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/havaianas-womens-slim-season-flip-flop-us-w-5) | 27.0% | $10.00 | 7.4% | 91 | 96.8 | 0.94× |
| [VOVEA Flip Flops For Women US W 6 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/vovea-flip-flops-for-women-us-w-6) | 35.0% | $7.00 | 6.7% | 125 | 125.6 | 0.99× |

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Louis Vuitton Pool Pillow Flat Comfort Mule Takashi Murakami Black (Women's) US W 6 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-pool-pillow-flat-comfort-mule-takashi-murakami-black-womens-us-w-6) Hidden $40.73 $3,611 88.66x 2026-11-04 17:59 UTC

[Louis Vuitton x Takashi Murakami Lily Flat Mule Cherry Blossom Sakura Brown (Women's) US W 7 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-x-takashi-murakami-lily-flat-mule-cherry-blossom-sakura-brown-womens-us-w-7) Hidden $40.73 $2,834 69.59x 2026-11-07 06:10 UTC

[Balenciaga Technoclog Black US M 10 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/balenciaga-technoclog-black-us-m-10) Hidden $40.73 $1,135 27.87x 2026-11-09 13:38 UTC

[Wellipets Frog Loafers by JW Anderson Green EU 43 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/wellipets-frog-loafers-by-jw-anderson-green-eu-43) [16 Hamsters Stapled Together](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/16%20Hamsters%20Stapled%20Together) $40.73 $530 13.01x 2026-11-07 06:10 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=slip-up)

[VOVEA Flip Flops For Women US W 6 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/vovea-flip-flops-for-women-us-w-6) Hidden $40.73 $7.00 0.17x 2026-11-11 17:49 UTC

[Havaianas Women's Slim Season Flip Flop US W 5 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/havaianas-womens-slim-season-flip-flop-us-w-5) Hidden $40.73 $10.00 0.25x 2026-11-11 17:49 UTC

[Trout Fish Sandals other](https://gambatracker.com/items/trout-fish-sandals) Hidden $40.73 $20.00 0.49x 2026-11-11 17:49 UTC

[VOVEA Flip Flops For Women US W 6 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/vovea-flip-flops-for-women-us-w-6) Hidden $40.73 $7.00 0.17x 2026-11-11 17:49 UTC

[Billy Bob's Big Old Hairy Feet Slippers other](https://gambatracker.com/items/billy-bobs-big-old-hairy-feet-slippers) Hidden $40.73 $14.00 0.34x 2026-11-11 17:49 UTC

[Nike Benassi Jdi Black/White US M 7 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-benassi-jdi-black-white-us-m-7) [Trecky](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Trecky) $40.73 $45.00 1.10x 2026-11-11 17:49 UTC

[VOVEA Flip Flops For Women US W 6 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/vovea-flip-flops-for-women-us-w-6) Hidden $40.73 $7.00 0.17x 2026-11-11 12:23 UTC

[VOVEA Flip Flops For Women US W 6 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/vovea-flip-flops-for-women-us-w-6) Hidden $40.73 $7.00 0.17x 2026-11-11 12:23 UTC

[Havaianas Women's Slim Season Flip Flop US W 5 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/havaianas-womens-slim-season-flip-flop-us-w-5) Hidden $40.73 $10.00 0.25x 2026-11-11 12:23 UTC

[Havaianas Women's Slim Season Flip Flop US W 5 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/havaianas-womens-slim-season-flip-flop-us-w-5) Hidden $40.73 $10.00 0.25x 2026-11-11 12:23 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $40.73 | 89.50% | 32 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed other 100.0% best hit $3,611 (88.66x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt