---
title: "Snowstorm case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Snowstorm ($86.81) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 18 items with odds, observed 85.77% over 114 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/snowstorm
rendered: 2026-11-12T00:06Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Snowstorm](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/snowstorm)

# [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Snowstorm

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/snowstorm?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/snowstorm?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/snowstorm) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/snowstorm?window=all)

Price · $86.81

Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $77.69 from 18 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 85.77% · 114 openings, odds method

Variance · 4.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 15 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 6 openings · below min

7 days · 88.72% ±40.55 108 openings

30 days · 85.77% ±39.47 114 openings

since tracking started · 85.77% ±39.47 114 openings

45.5% 223.3% 401.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/snowstorm?window=24h) | 6 | 228.08% ±172.1 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/snowstorm?window=7d) | 108 | 88.72% ±40.6 | −0.0σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/snowstorm) | 114 | 85.77% ±39.5 | −0.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/snowstorm?window=all) | 114 | 85.77% ±39.5 | −0.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 114 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Polaris 550 Switchback Sport 144 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/polaris-550-switchback-sport-144) | 1 in 20,000 | $13.2K | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Nitro Team Snowboard with Nitro Rambler Snowboard Bindings other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nitro-team-snowboard-with-nitro-rambler-snowboard-bindings) | 1 in 100 | $905 | 11.6% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.75× |
| [Arc'teryx Therme Men's Parka other](https://gambatracker.com/items/arcteryx-therme-mens-parka) | 1 in 100 | $880 | 11.3% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [2025 ATOMIC HAWX PRIME 110 S BOA GW SKI BOOTS other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2025-atomic-hawx-prime-110-s-boa-gw-ski-boots) | 1 in 100 | $770 | 9.9% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.75× |
| [2025 SALOMON STANCE 80 WOMEN'S SKIS W/ M10 GW BINDINGS other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2025-salomon-stance-80-womens-skis-w-m10-gw-bindings) | 1 in 100 | $605 | 7.8% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [Snow Joe 15A Electric Snow Blower with Dual LED Lights other](https://gambatracker.com/items/snow-joe-15a-electric-snow-blower-with-dual-led-lights) | 1 in 40 | $275 | 8.8% | 5 | 2.9 | 1.75× |
| [SCC 0232805 Auto-Trac Light Truck/SUV Tire Traction Chain - Set of 2 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/scc-0232805-auto-trac-light-truck-suv-tire-traction-chain-set-of-2) | 1 in 40 | $230 | 7.4% | 2 | 2.9 | 0.70× |
| [MZK Cordless Snow Shovel other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mzk-cordless-snow-shovel) | 1 in 40 | $220 | 7.1% | 4 | 2.9 | 1.40× |
| [GSOU SNOW Women Men Ski Pants other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gsou-snow-women-men-ski-pants) | 1 in 40 | $170 | 5.5% | 2 | 2.9 | 0.70× |
| [509 Tactical 2.0 Snowmobile Helmet other](https://gambatracker.com/items/509-tactical-2-0-snowmobile-helmet) | 1 in 40 | $160 | 5.1% | 2 | 2.9 | 0.70× |
| [AGPTEK 47 Inch Snow Sled other](https://gambatracker.com/items/agptek-47-inch-snow-sled) | 1 in 29 | $100 | 4.5% | 1 | 4.0 | 0.25× |
| [120MM Musical Santa w/Reindeer Snow Globe other](https://gambatracker.com/items/120mm-musical-santa-w-reindeer-snow-globe) | 1 in 20 | $62.00 | 4.0% | 7 | 5.7 | 1.23× |
| [GIRO STOMP YOUTH GOGGLES other](https://gambatracker.com/items/giro-stomp-youth-goggles) | 1 in 20 | $42.75 | 2.8% | 2 | 5.7 | 0.35× |
| [Stanley Classic Vacuum Insulated Wide Mouth Bottle other](https://gambatracker.com/items/stanley-classic-vacuum-insulated-wide-mouth-bottle) | 1 in 13 | $35.00 | 3.4% | 4 | 8.5 | 0.47× |
| [Yaktrax Spikes for Walking on Ice and Snow other](https://gambatracker.com/items/yaktrax-spikes-for-walking-on-ice-and-snow) | 1 in 13 | $30.00 | 2.9% | 8 | 8.5 | 0.94× |
| [MOREOK Winter Gloves other](https://gambatracker.com/items/moreok-winter-gloves) | 15.0% | $16.00 | 3.1% | 21 | 17.1 | 1.23× |
| [Ice Scraper other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ice-scraper) | 15.0% | $12.00 | 2.3% | 24 | 17.1 | 1.40× |
| [Hand Warmers other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-warmers) | 25.0% | $5.00 | 1.6% | 28 | 28.5 | 0.98× |

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Nitro Team Snowboard with Nitro Rambler Snowboard Bindings other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nitro-team-snowboard-with-nitro-rambler-snowboard-bindings) [EriksZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/EriksZ) $86.81 $905 10.43x 2026-11-11 08:58 UTC

[Nitro Team Snowboard with Nitro Rambler Snowboard Bindings other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nitro-team-snowboard-with-nitro-rambler-snowboard-bindings) [EriksZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/EriksZ) $86.81 $905 10.43x 2026-11-06 08:18 UTC

[2025 ATOMIC HAWX PRIME 110 S BOA GW SKI BOOTS other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2025-atomic-hawx-prime-110-s-boa-gw-ski-boots) [Kick/PapaGambles $20k+ Rewards](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Kick%2FPapaGambles%20%2420k%2B%20Rewards) $86.81 $770 8.87x 2026-11-10 18:45 UTC

[2025 ATOMIC HAWX PRIME 110 S BOA GW SKI BOOTS other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2025-atomic-hawx-prime-110-s-boa-gw-ski-boots) [izaivars](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/izaivars) $86.81 $770 8.87x 2026-11-07 11:22 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=snowstorm)

[Yaktrax Spikes for Walking on Ice and Snow other](https://gambatracker.com/items/yaktrax-spikes-for-walking-on-ice-and-snow) Hidden $86.81 $30.00 0.35x 2026-11-11 08:58 UTC

[MOREOK Winter Gloves other](https://gambatracker.com/items/moreok-winter-gloves) Hidden $86.81 $16.00 0.18x 2026-11-11 08:58 UTC

[120MM Musical Santa w/Reindeer Snow Globe other](https://gambatracker.com/items/120mm-musical-santa-w-reindeer-snow-globe) Hidden $86.81 $62.00 0.71x 2026-11-11 08:58 UTC

[Hand Warmers other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-warmers) Hidden $86.81 $5.00 0.06x 2026-11-11 08:58 UTC

[GSOU SNOW Women Men Ski Pants other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gsou-snow-women-men-ski-pants) Hidden $86.81 $170 1.96x 2026-11-11 08:58 UTC

[Nitro Team Snowboard with Nitro Rambler Snowboard Bindings other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nitro-team-snowboard-with-nitro-rambler-snowboard-bindings) [EriksZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/EriksZ) $86.81 $905 10.43x 2026-11-11 08:58 UTC

[Ice Scraper other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ice-scraper) Hidden $86.81 $12.00 0.14x 2026-11-10 18:48 UTC

[Yaktrax Spikes for Walking on Ice and Snow other](https://gambatracker.com/items/yaktrax-spikes-for-walking-on-ice-and-snow) Hidden $86.81 $30.00 0.35x 2026-11-10 18:48 UTC

[Ice Scraper other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ice-scraper) Hidden $86.81 $12.00 0.14x 2026-11-10 18:48 UTC

[Hand Warmers other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-warmers) Hidden $86.81 $5.00 0.06x 2026-11-10 18:48 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $86.81 | 89.50% | 18 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed other 100.0% best hit $905 (10.43x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt