--- title: "Solar System case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Solar System ($21.04) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.49% from 20 items with odds, observed 85.45% over 855 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/solar-system rendered: 2026-11-11T17:20Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Solar System](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/solar-system) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Solar System A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/solar-system?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/solar-system?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/solar-system) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/solar-system?window=all) Price · $21.04 Advertised RTP · 89.49% · EV $18.83 from 20 items Observed RTP, 30d · 85.45% · 855 openings, odds method Variance · 15.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 48 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 96.4% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 192 openings · below min 7 days · 91.96% ±29.60 698 openings 30 days · 85.45% ±26.74 855 openings since tracking started · 85.45% ±26.74 855 openings 58.0% 138.0% 218.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/solar-system?window=24h) | 192 | 161.06% ±56.4 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/solar-system?window=7d) | 698 | 91.96% ±29.6 | +0.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/solar-system) | 855 | 85.45% ±26.7 | −0.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/solar-system?window=all) | 855 | 85.45% ±26.7 | −0.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 855 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Swatch Moonswatch Mission to the Moonphase other](https://gambatracker.com/items/swatch-moonswatch-mission-to-the-moonphase) | 1 in 714 | $540 | 4.0% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.84× | | [Swatch x Omega Bioceramic Moonswatch Mission To Moonphase Snoopy Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/swatch-x-omega-bioceramic-moonswatch-mission-to-moonphase-snoopy-black) | 1 in 714 | $540 | 4.0% | 4 | 1.2 | 3.34× | | [Swatch x Omega Bioceramic Moonswatch Mission to Mercury SO33A100 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/swatch-x-omega-bioceramic-moonswatch-mission-to-mercury-so33a100) | 1 in 500 | $510 | 5.4% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.17× | | [Swatch x Omega Bioceramic Moonswatch Mission To Moonphase Snoopy SO33W700 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/swatch-x-omega-bioceramic-moonswatch-mission-to-moonphase-snoopy-so33w700) | 1 in 500 | $502 | 5.3% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× | | [Swatch x Omega Bioceramic Moonswatch Mission On Earth Lava SO33O100 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/swatch-x-omega-bioceramic-moonswatch-mission-on-earth-lava-so33o100) | 1 in 500 | $500 | 5.3% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.17× | | [Swatch x Omega Bioceramic Moonswatch Mission to Saturn SO33T100 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/swatch-x-omega-bioceramic-moonswatch-mission-to-saturn-so33t100) | 1 in 500 | $490 | 5.2% | 3 | 1.7 | 1.75× | | [Swatch x Omega Bioceramic Moonswatch Mission to Uranus SO33L100 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/swatch-x-omega-bioceramic-moonswatch-mission-to-uranus-so33l100) | 1 in 500 | $480 | 5.1% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× | | [Swatch x Omega Bioceramic Moonswatch Mission to Pluto SO33M101 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/swatch-x-omega-bioceramic-moonswatch-mission-to-pluto-so33m101) | 1 in 333 | $475 | 7.6% | 3 | 2.6 | 1.17× | | [Swatch x Omega Bioceramic Moonswatch Mission to Venus other](https://gambatracker.com/items/swatch-x-omega-bioceramic-moonswatch-mission-to-venus) | 1 in 333 | $460 | 7.3% | 5 | 2.6 | 1.95× | | [Swatch x Omega Bioceramic Moonswatch Mission to Neptune SO33N100 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/swatch-x-omega-bioceramic-moonswatch-mission-to-neptune-so33n100) | 1 in 500 | $459 | 4.9% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× | | [Swatch x Omega Bioceramic Moonswatch Mission to the Sun SO33J100 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/swatch-x-omega-bioceramic-moonswatch-mission-to-the-sun-so33j100) | 1 in 333 | $450 | 7.2% | 4 | 2.6 | 1.56× | | [Swatch x Omega Bioceramic Moonswatch Mission to Jupiter other](https://gambatracker.com/items/swatch-x-omega-bioceramic-moonswatch-mission-to-jupiter) | 1 in 333 | $430 | 6.9% | 0 | 2.6 | 0.00× | | [Swatch x Omega Bioceramic Moonswatch Mission to the Moon SO33M100 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/swatch-x-omega-bioceramic-moonswatch-mission-to-the-moon-so33m100) | 1 in 500 | $429 | 4.6% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× | | [Swatch x Omega Bioceramic Moonswatch Mission to Mars SO33R100 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/swatch-x-omega-bioceramic-moonswatch-mission-to-mars-so33r100) | 1 in 500 | $422 | 4.5% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× | | [Swatch x Omega Bioceramic Moonswatch Mission on Earth other](https://gambatracker.com/items/swatch-x-omega-bioceramic-moonswatch-mission-on-earth) | 1 in 500 | $410 | 4.4% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.17× | | [Moonwatch Only: The Ultimate OMEGA Speedmaster Guide other](https://gambatracker.com/items/moonwatch-only-the-ultimate-omega-speedmaster-guide) | 1 in 333 | $220 | 3.5% | 2 | 2.6 | 0.78× | | [Single Watch Case container](https://gambatracker.com/items/single-watch-case) | 1 in 11 | $9.99 | 4.8% | 81 | 77.0 | 1.05× | | [Omega X Swatch Watch Poster other](https://gambatracker.com/items/omega-x-swatch-watch-poster) | 15.0% | $5.00 | 4.0% | 118 | 128.3 | 0.92× | | [Watch Roll Travel Leather Case container](https://gambatracker.com/items/watch-roll-travel-leather-case) | 21.3% | $4.60 | 5.2% | 183 | 182.1 | 1.00× | | [Mayflower Products Pro Size Polishing Cleaning Cloth other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mayflower-products-pro-size-polishing-cleaning-cloth) | 51.1% | $0.35 | 1.0% | 445 | 437.1 | 1.02× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Swatch x Omega Bioceramic Moonswatch Mission To Moonphase Snoopy Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/swatch-x-omega-bioceramic-moonswatch-mission-to-moonphase-snoopy-black) Hidden $21.04 $540 25.67x 2026-11-11 16:15 UTC [Swatch Moonswatch Mission to the Moonphase other](https://gambatracker.com/items/swatch-moonswatch-mission-to-the-moonphase) [Friendly Chipmunk](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Friendly%20Chipmunk) $21.04 $540 25.67x 2026-11-11 03:47 UTC [Swatch x Omega Bioceramic Moonswatch Mission To Moonphase Snoopy Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/swatch-x-omega-bioceramic-moonswatch-mission-to-moonphase-snoopy-black) Hidden $21.04 $540 25.67x 2026-11-09 05:55 UTC [Swatch x Omega Bioceramic Moonswatch Mission To Moonphase Snoopy Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/swatch-x-omega-bioceramic-moonswatch-mission-to-moonphase-snoopy-black) Hidden $21.04 $540 25.67x 2026-11-08 23:43 UTC [Swatch x Omega Bioceramic Moonswatch Mission To Moonphase Snoopy Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/swatch-x-omega-bioceramic-moonswatch-mission-to-moonphase-snoopy-black) Hidden $21.04 $540 25.67x 2026-11-07 12:54 UTC [Swatch x Omega Bioceramic Moonswatch Mission to Mercury SO33A100 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/swatch-x-omega-bioceramic-moonswatch-mission-to-mercury-so33a100) [SavagePlays](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/SavagePlays) $21.04 $510 24.24x 2026-11-11 09:16 UTC [Swatch x Omega Bioceramic Moonswatch Mission to Mercury SO33A100 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/swatch-x-omega-bioceramic-moonswatch-mission-to-mercury-so33a100) Hidden $21.04 $510 24.24x 2026-11-11 09:16 UTC [Swatch x Omega Bioceramic Moonswatch Mission On Earth Lava SO33O100 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/swatch-x-omega-bioceramic-moonswatch-mission-on-earth-lava-so33o100) Hidden $21.04 $500 23.76x 2026-11-04 23:58 UTC [Swatch x Omega Bioceramic Moonswatch Mission On Earth Lava SO33O100 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/swatch-x-omega-bioceramic-moonswatch-mission-on-earth-lava-so33o100) Hidden $21.04 $500 23.76x 2026-11-03 02:47 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=solar-system) [Mayflower Products Pro Size Polishing Cleaning Cloth other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mayflower-products-pro-size-polishing-cleaning-cloth) Hidden $21.04 $0.35 0.02x 2026-11-11 16:18 UTC [Mayflower Products Pro Size Polishing Cleaning Cloth other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mayflower-products-pro-size-polishing-cleaning-cloth) Hidden $21.04 $0.35 0.02x 2026-11-11 16:18 UTC [Mayflower Products Pro Size Polishing Cleaning Cloth other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mayflower-products-pro-size-polishing-cleaning-cloth) Hidden $21.04 $0.35 0.02x 2026-11-11 16:18 UTC [Mayflower Products Pro Size Polishing Cleaning Cloth other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mayflower-products-pro-size-polishing-cleaning-cloth) [Dzhyrski90](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Dzhyrski90) $21.04 $0.35 0.02x 2026-11-11 16:18 UTC [Watch Roll Travel Leather Case container](https://gambatracker.com/items/watch-roll-travel-leather-case) Hidden $21.04 $4.60 0.22x 2026-11-11 16:18 UTC [Swatch x Omega Bioceramic Moonswatch Mission to the Sun SO33J100 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/swatch-x-omega-bioceramic-moonswatch-mission-to-the-sun-so33j100) Hidden $21.04 $450 21.39x 2026-11-11 16:18 UTC [Mayflower Products Pro Size Polishing Cleaning Cloth other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mayflower-products-pro-size-polishing-cleaning-cloth) Hidden $21.04 $0.35 0.02x 2026-11-11 16:18 UTC [Mayflower Products Pro Size Polishing Cleaning Cloth other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mayflower-products-pro-size-polishing-cleaning-cloth) [Dzhyrski90](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Dzhyrski90) $21.04 $0.35 0.02x 2026-11-11 16:18 UTC [Mayflower Products Pro Size Polishing Cleaning Cloth other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mayflower-products-pro-size-polishing-cleaning-cloth) Hidden $21.04 $0.35 0.02x 2026-11-11 16:18 UTC [Mayflower Products Pro Size Polishing Cleaning Cloth other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mayflower-products-pro-size-polishing-cleaning-cloth) Hidden $21.04 $0.35 0.02x 2026-11-11 16:18 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $21.04 | 89.49% | 20 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $540 (25.67x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.49 on average: an expected loss of $10.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt