--- title: "Splish Splash case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Splish Splash ($31.47) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.47% from 18 items with odds, observed 54.56% over 493 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/splish-splash rendered: 2026-11-11T23:20Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Splish Splash](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/splish-splash) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Splish Splash A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/splish-splash?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/splish-splash?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/splish-splash) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/splish-splash?window=all) Price · $31.47 Advertised RTP · 89.47% · EV $28.16 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 54.56% · 493 openings, odds method Variance · 95.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 91 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 92.2% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 112 openings · below min 7 days · 397 openings · below min 30 days · 54.56% ±86.09 493 openings since tracking started · 54.56% ±86.09 493 openings -0.5% 124.3% 249.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/splish-splash?window=24h) | 112 | 67.63% ±180.6 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/splish-splash?window=7d) | 397 | 50.83% ±95.9 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/splish-splash) | 493 | 54.56% ±86.1 | −0.8σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/splish-splash?window=all) | 493 | 54.56% ±86.1 | −0.8σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 493 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sea-Doo Spark Trixx 2023 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sea-doo-spark-trixx-2023) | 1 in 2,500 | $12.1K | 17.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Waydoo Flyer ONE Plus eFoil - EPP - Electric Surfboard other](https://gambatracker.com/items/waydoo-flyer-one-plus-efoil-epp-electric-surfboard) | 1 in 1,587 | $7,050 | 15.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Coleman SaluSpa Miami AirJet Inflatable Hot Tub other](https://gambatracker.com/items/coleman-saluspa-miami-airjet-inflatable-hot-tub) | 1 in 182 | $575 | 11.2% | 1 | 2.7 | 0.37× | | [LEFEET C1 Water Scooter other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lefeet-c1-water-scooter) | 1 in 222 | $520 | 8.3% | 2 | 2.2 | 0.90× | | [TWIG (Twin Fin / 4'10") x Kalani Robb PRO other](https://gambatracker.com/items/twig-twin-fin-410-x-kalani-robb-pro) | 1 in 167 | $455 | 9.7% | 4 | 3.0 | 1.35× | | [ADVENOR Paddle Board other](https://gambatracker.com/items/advenor-paddle-board) | 1 in 157 | $240 | 5.4% | 1 | 3.1 | 0.32× | | [Intex 68307EP Explorer K2 Inflatable Kayak other](https://gambatracker.com/items/intex-68307ep-explorer-k2-inflatable-kayak) | 1 in 147 | $200 | 4.8% | 5 | 3.4 | 1.49× | | [SOLSTICE ORIGINAL Inflatable Adult Pool Lounger Float other](https://gambatracker.com/items/solstice-original-inflatable-adult-pool-lounger-float) | 1 in 43 | $56.00 | 4.7% | 9 | 11.6 | 0.78× | | [SUP Electric Pump other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sup-electric-pump) | 1 in 40 | $46.00 | 4.0% | 11 | 12.2 | 0.90× | | [Pirate Boat Swimming Pool Float other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pirate-boat-swimming-pool-float) | 1 in 33 | $30.00 | 3.2% | 16 | 14.8 | 1.08× | | [Speedo Unisex-Adult Swim Training Fins other](https://gambatracker.com/items/speedo-unisex-adult-swim-training-fins) | 1 in 33 | $27.00 | 2.9% | 12 | 14.8 | 0.81× | | [Greatever Dry Snorkel Set other](https://gambatracker.com/items/greatever-dry-snorkel-set) | 1 in 29 | $20.00 | 2.5% | 18 | 17.3 | 1.04× | | [Speedo Speed Socket 2.0 Swim Goggle other](https://gambatracker.com/items/speedo-speed-socket-2-0-swim-goggle) | 1 in 26 | $14.50 | 2.0% | 29 | 18.7 | 1.55× | | [Classic Kickboard for Swim Training other](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-kickboard-for-swim-training) | 1 in 20 | $8.20 | 1.4% | 26 | 24.4 | 1.07× | | [Abahub 9/10'' SUP Single Center Fin other](https://gambatracker.com/items/abahub-9-10-sup-single-center-fin) | 1 in 20 | $8.00 | 1.4% | 30 | 24.7 | 1.22× | | [Speedo Silicone Swim Cap other](https://gambatracker.com/items/speedo-silicone-swim-cap) | 15.0% | $3.20 | 1.7% | 77 | 74.0 | 1.04× | | [Sticky Bumps Surf Wax BASE other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticky-bumps-surf-wax-base) | 25.0% | $2.80 | 2.5% | 117 | 123.3 | 0.95× | | [TYR Ergo Swim Clip other](https://gambatracker.com/items/tyr-ergo-swim-clip) | 28.9% | $1.25 | 1.3% | 135 | 142.5 | 0.95× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Coleman SaluSpa Miami AirJet Inflatable Hot Tub other](https://gambatracker.com/items/coleman-saluspa-miami-airjet-inflatable-hot-tub) Hidden $31.47 $575 18.27x 2026-11-11 12:12 UTC [LEFEET C1 Water Scooter other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lefeet-c1-water-scooter) Hidden $31.47 $520 16.52x 2026-11-11 12:12 UTC [LEFEET C1 Water Scooter other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lefeet-c1-water-scooter) Hidden $31.47 $520 16.52x 2026-11-10 06:29 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=splish-splash) [Speedo Silicone Swim Cap other](https://gambatracker.com/items/speedo-silicone-swim-cap) Hidden $31.47 $3.20 0.10x 2026-11-11 21:35 UTC [Sticky Bumps Surf Wax BASE other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticky-bumps-surf-wax-base) Hidden $31.47 $2.80 0.09x 2026-11-11 21:35 UTC [Sticky Bumps Surf Wax BASE other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticky-bumps-surf-wax-base) Hidden $31.47 $2.80 0.09x 2026-11-11 21:35 UTC [SUP Electric Pump other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sup-electric-pump) Hidden $31.47 $46.00 1.46x 2026-11-11 21:35 UTC [Abahub 9/10'' SUP Single Center Fin other](https://gambatracker.com/items/abahub-9-10-sup-single-center-fin) Hidden $31.47 $8.00 0.25x 2026-11-11 21:35 UTC [TYR Ergo Swim Clip other](https://gambatracker.com/items/tyr-ergo-swim-clip) [bananchik](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/bananchik) $31.47 $1.25 0.04x 2026-11-11 21:35 UTC [Speedo Unisex-Adult Swim Training Fins other](https://gambatracker.com/items/speedo-unisex-adult-swim-training-fins) Hidden $31.47 $27.00 0.86x 2026-11-11 20:41 UTC [TYR Ergo Swim Clip other](https://gambatracker.com/items/tyr-ergo-swim-clip) Hidden $31.47 $1.25 0.04x 2026-11-11 20:41 UTC [TYR Ergo Swim Clip other](https://gambatracker.com/items/tyr-ergo-swim-clip) Hidden $31.47 $1.25 0.04x 2026-11-11 20:41 UTC [Speedo Silicone Swim Cap other](https://gambatracker.com/items/speedo-silicone-swim-cap) [Mel](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Mel) $31.47 $3.20 0.10x 2026-11-11 20:41 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $31.47 | 89.47% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $575 (18.27x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.47 on average: an expected loss of $10.53 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt