--- title: "Spoiled Wife case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Spoiled Wife ($547.44) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 18 items with odds, observed 80.09% over 24 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/spoiled-wife rendered: 2026-11-12T04:51Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Spoiled Wife](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/spoiled-wife) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Spoiled Wife A box on Cases.gg (Bags), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/spoiled-wife?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/spoiled-wife?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/spoiled-wife) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/spoiled-wife?window=all) Price · $547.44 Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $489.96 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 80.09% · 24 openings, odds method Variance · 5.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 84.9% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 18 openings · below min 30 days · 24 openings · below min since tracking started · 24 openings · below min -0.5% 111.5% 223.5% **Small sample.** 24 openings and 1.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/spoiled-wife?window=24h) | 6 | 36.17% ±186.8 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/spoiled-wife?window=7d) | 18 | 78.72% ±107.9 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/spoiled-wife) | 24 | 80.09% ±93.4 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/spoiled-wife?window=all) | 24 | 80.09% ±93.4 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 24 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Chanel Kelly Mini Shopping Bag Mini 23K Shiny Aged Calfskin Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/chanel-kelly-mini-shopping-bag-mini-23k-shiny-aged-calfskin-black) | 1 in 1,000 | $13.1K | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Chanel Mini 22 Bag Black (AS3980) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/chanel-mini-22-bag-black-as3980) | 1 in 667 | $10.3K | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Dior Lady Dior Cannage Satin Mini Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dior-lady-dior-cannage-satin-mini-black) | 1 in 333 | $9,295 | 5.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Louis Vuitton Keepall 50B Taurillon Illusion Blue/Pink other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-keepall-50b-taurillon-illusion-blue-pink) | 1 in 200 | $6,378 | 6.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Dior Saddle Bag Dior Oblique Embroidery Blue other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dior-saddle-bag-dior-oblique-embroidery-blue) | 1 in 133 | $5,640 | 8.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Louis Vuitton 1.1 Millionaires Sunglasses Green Marble other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-1-1-millionaires-sunglasses-green-marble) | 1 in 77 | $4,080 | 10.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Christian Louboutin Lock Botta 70mm Boot Black Leather (EU 40.5) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/christian-louboutin-lock-botta-70mm-boot-black-leather-eu-40-5) | 1 in 118 | $3,720 | 6.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Louis Vuitton Steamer Wearable Wallet Damier Heritage White other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-steamer-wearable-wallet-damier-heritage-white) | 1 in 91 | $3,240 | 7.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Dior x Jordan Wings Messenger Bag Grey other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dior-x-jordan-wings-messenger-bag-grey) | 1 in 100 | $3,100 | 6.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Louis Vuitton x Supreme Initiales Belt 40 MM Monogram Brown Gold other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-x-supreme-initiales-belt-40-mm-monogram-brown-gold) | 1 in 67 | $2,880 | 8.8% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Goyard Saint Louis Tote PM Green other](https://gambatracker.com/items/goyard-saint-louis-tote-pm-green) | 1 in 83 | $2,520 | 6.2% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [Louis Vuitton Pocket Organizer LV BlasonBlack other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-pocket-organizer-lv-blasonblack) | 1 in 56 | $1,300 | 4.8% | 2 | 0.4 | — | | [Dior Couture Bracelet Silver other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dior-couture-bracelet-silver) | 1 in 50 | $1,280 | 5.2% | 2 | 0.5 | — | | [Dior Oblique Jacquard Grained Calfskin Belt Beige/Black (US 100/40) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dior-oblique-jacquard-grained-calfskin-belt-beige-black-us-100-40) | 1 in 40 | $942 | 4.8% | 2 | 0.6 | — | | [adidas Sambae atmos Pink Denim (Women's) (US 5) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/adidas-sambae-atmos-pink-denim-womens-us-5) | 10.0% | $250 | 5.1% | 0 | 2.4 | 0.00× | | [Nike Dunk Low Photon Dust (Women's) (US 5.5) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-dunk-low-photon-dust-womens-us-5-5) | 15.0% | $98.99 | 3.0% | 3 | 3.6 | 0.83× | | [Gentle Monster x Jennie Jentle Salon Dottler Charm Silver/White other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gentle-monster-x-jennie-jentle-salon-dottler-charm-silver-white) | 25.0% | $76.00 | 3.9% | 8 | 6.0 | 1.33× | | [Rose Flower Silver Ring other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rose-flower-silver-ring) | 34.9% | $9.00 | 0.6% | 6 | 8.4 | 0.72× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 12 Nov, 03:04 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Goyard Saint Louis Tote PM Green other](https://gambatracker.com/items/goyard-saint-louis-tote-pm-green) Hidden $547 $2,520 4.60x 2026-11-04 20:38 UTC [Louis Vuitton Pocket Organizer LV BlasonBlack other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-pocket-organizer-lv-blasonblack) Hidden $547 $1,300 2.37x 2026-11-10 08:35 UTC [Louis Vuitton Pocket Organizer LV BlasonBlack other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-pocket-organizer-lv-blasonblack) Hidden $547 $1,300 2.37x 2026-11-09 17:55 UTC [Dior Couture Bracelet Silver other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dior-couture-bracelet-silver) [Palm Beach Pete](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Palm%20Beach%20Pete) $547 $1,280 2.34x 2026-11-10 08:35 UTC [Dior Couture Bracelet Silver other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dior-couture-bracelet-silver) Hidden $547 $1,280 2.34x 2026-11-10 08:35 UTC [Dior Oblique Jacquard Grained Calfskin Belt Beige/Black (US 100/40) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dior-oblique-jacquard-grained-calfskin-belt-beige-black-us-100-40) Hidden $547 $942 1.72x 2026-11-11 15:51 UTC [Dior Oblique Jacquard Grained Calfskin Belt Beige/Black (US 100/40) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dior-oblique-jacquard-grained-calfskin-belt-beige-black-us-100-40) [Jaydendown](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Jaydendown) $547 $942 1.72x 2026-11-09 17:55 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=spoiled-wife) [Rose Flower Silver Ring other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rose-flower-silver-ring) Hidden $547 $9.00 0.02x 2026-11-11 15:51 UTC [Gentle Monster x Jennie Jentle Salon Dottler Charm Silver/White other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gentle-monster-x-jennie-jentle-salon-dottler-charm-silver-white) Hidden $547 $76.00 0.14x 2026-11-11 15:51 UTC [Gentle Monster x Jennie Jentle Salon Dottler Charm Silver/White other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gentle-monster-x-jennie-jentle-salon-dottler-charm-silver-white) Hidden $547 $76.00 0.14x 2026-11-11 15:51 UTC [Gentle Monster x Jennie Jentle Salon Dottler Charm Silver/White other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gentle-monster-x-jennie-jentle-salon-dottler-charm-silver-white) Hidden $547 $76.00 0.14x 2026-11-11 15:51 UTC [Dior Oblique Jacquard Grained Calfskin Belt Beige/Black (US 100/40) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dior-oblique-jacquard-grained-calfskin-belt-beige-black-us-100-40) Hidden $547 $942 1.72x 2026-11-11 15:51 UTC [Rose Flower Silver Ring other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rose-flower-silver-ring) [Palm Beach Pete](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Palm%20Beach%20Pete) $547 $9.00 0.02x 2026-11-11 15:51 UTC [Dior Couture Bracelet Silver other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dior-couture-bracelet-silver) Hidden $547 $1,280 2.34x 2026-11-10 08:35 UTC [Louis Vuitton Pocket Organizer LV BlasonBlack other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-pocket-organizer-lv-blasonblack) Hidden $547 $1,300 2.37x 2026-11-10 08:35 UTC [Gentle Monster x Jennie Jentle Salon Dottler Charm Silver/White other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gentle-monster-x-jennie-jentle-salon-dottler-charm-silver-white) Hidden $547 $76.00 0.14x 2026-11-10 08:35 UTC [Gentle Monster x Jennie Jentle Salon Dottler Charm Silver/White other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gentle-monster-x-jennie-jentle-salon-dottler-charm-silver-white) Hidden $547 $76.00 0.14x 2026-11-10 08:35 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $547 | 89.50% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $2,520 (4.60x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt