--- title: "Spooktober case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Spooktober ($39.57) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.49% from 18 items with odds, observed 51.92% over 27 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/spooktober rendered: 2026-11-11T20:40Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Spooktober](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/spooktober) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Spooktober A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/spooktober?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/spooktober?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/spooktober) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/spooktober?window=all) Price · $39.57 Advertised RTP · 89.49% · EV $35.41 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 51.92% · 27 openings, odds method Variance · 2.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 15.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 74.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 12 openings · below min 7 days · 27 openings · below min 30 days · 27 openings · below min since tracking started · 27 openings · below min -0.5% 56.5% 113.5% **Small sample.** 27 openings and 4.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/spooktober?window=24h) | 12 | 27.65% ±85.2 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/spooktober?window=7d) | 27 | 51.92% ±56.8 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/spooktober) | 27 | 51.92% ±56.8 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/spooktober?window=all) | 27 | 51.92% ±56.8 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 27 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Freddy Krueger 6ft Animatronic Life Size Horror Movie Nightmare Slasher Moving other](https://gambatracker.com/items/freddy-krueger-6ft-animatronic-life-size-horror-movie-nightmare-slasher-moving) | 1 in 50 | $355 | 20.1% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [Friday the 13th Collection (Blu-ray) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/friday-the-13th-collection-blu-ray) | 1 in 29 | $175 | 17.3% | 0 | 0.9 | — | | [Halloween Animatronics 4 Ft Creepy Doll Decoration other](https://gambatracker.com/items/halloween-animatronics-4-ft-creepy-doll-decoration) | 1 in 20 | $89.00 | 12.6% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× | | [Spirit Halloween 24 Inch Chucky Doll other](https://gambatracker.com/items/spirit-halloween-24-inch-chucky-doll) | 1 in 20 | $87.00 | 12.3% | 3 | 1.4 | 2.22× | | [5.4Ft Halloween Life Size Skeleton Decoration other](https://gambatracker.com/items/5-4ft-halloween-life-size-skeleton-decoration) | 1 in 20 | $56.00 | 7.9% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× | | [Valery Madelyn Halloween Village for Home Decor other](https://gambatracker.com/items/valery-madelyn-halloween-village-for-home-decor) | 1 in 20 | $50.00 | 7.1% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.74× | | [Funko Pop! Movies: Ghostface - Ghostface (Glow in The Dark) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-movies-ghostface-ghostface-glow-in-the-dark) | 1 in 20 | $30.00 | 4.2% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.74× | | [Halloween Nightmare 1000-Piece Jigsaw Puzzle for Adults other](https://gambatracker.com/items/halloween-nightmare-1000-piece-jigsaw-puzzle-for-adults) | 1 in 20 | $26.00 | 3.7% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× | | [LED Halloween Pumpkin Decorations other](https://gambatracker.com/items/led-halloween-pumpkin-decorations) | 1 in 20 | $23.50 | 3.3% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.74× | | [Ouija Board Welcome Door Mat other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ouija-board-welcome-door-mat) | 1 in 20 | $20.00 | 2.8% | 4 | 1.4 | 2.96× | | [Halloween Pumpkin Ghost Plush Toy with Zipper other](https://gambatracker.com/items/halloween-pumpkin-ghost-plush-toy-with-zipper) | 1 in 20 | $17.00 | 2.4% | 3 | 1.4 | 2.22× | | [Ghostface Hoodie other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ghostface-hoodie) | 1 in 20 | $10.50 | 1.5% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.48× | | [Fournier Familiars Tarot - Tarot Cards, Multicolor other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fournier-familiars-tarot-tarot-cards-multicolor) | 1 in 20 | $10.00 | 1.4% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× | | [12Pcs Vintage Classic Horror Movie Posters,Creepy Scary Horror Movie Decor other](https://gambatracker.com/items/12pcs-vintage-classic-horror-movie-posters-creepy-scary-horror-movie-decor) | 1 in 20 | $7.50 | 1.1% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.48× | | [Vintage Halloween Decor other](https://gambatracker.com/items/vintage-halloween-decor) | 1 in 13 | $4.00 | 0.8% | 2 | 2.0 | 0.99× | | [Large Skull Ice Mold other](https://gambatracker.com/items/large-skull-ice-mold) | 1 in 13 | $2.80 | 0.6% | 2 | 2.0 | 0.99× | | [Coffin Shaped Jewelry Box Organizer other](https://gambatracker.com/items/coffin-shaped-jewelry-box-organizer) | 1 in 11 | $2.00 | 0.5% | 0 | 2.6 | 0.00× | | [OREO Orange Creme Chocolate Sandwich Cookies, Limited Edition other](https://gambatracker.com/items/oreo-orange-creme-chocolate-sandwich-cookies-limited-edition) | 10.0% | $1.60 | 0.5% | 6 | 2.7 | 2.22× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=spooktober) [Ghostface Hoodie other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ghostface-hoodie) Hidden $39.57 $10.50 0.27x 2026-11-11 04:27 UTC [Halloween Pumpkin Ghost Plush Toy with Zipper other](https://gambatracker.com/items/halloween-pumpkin-ghost-plush-toy-with-zipper) Hidden $39.57 $17.00 0.43x 2026-11-11 04:27 UTC [Ghostface Hoodie other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ghostface-hoodie) Hidden $39.57 $10.50 0.27x 2026-11-11 04:27 UTC [Large Skull Ice Mold other](https://gambatracker.com/items/large-skull-ice-mold) Hidden $39.57 $2.80 0.07x 2026-11-11 04:27 UTC [Vintage Halloween Decor other](https://gambatracker.com/items/vintage-halloween-decor) Hidden $39.57 $4.00 0.10x 2026-11-11 04:27 UTC [Ouija Board Welcome Door Mat other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ouija-board-welcome-door-mat) [munchies](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/munchies) $39.57 $20.00 0.51x 2026-11-11 04:27 UTC [OREO Orange Creme Chocolate Sandwich Cookies, Limited Edition other](https://gambatracker.com/items/oreo-orange-creme-chocolate-sandwich-cookies-limited-edition) Hidden $39.57 $1.60 0.04x 2026-11-11 04:26 UTC [Large Skull Ice Mold other](https://gambatracker.com/items/large-skull-ice-mold) Hidden $39.57 $2.80 0.07x 2026-11-11 04:26 UTC [LED Halloween Pumpkin Decorations other](https://gambatracker.com/items/led-halloween-pumpkin-decorations) Hidden $39.57 $23.50 0.59x 2026-11-11 04:26 UTC [Halloween Pumpkin Ghost Plush Toy with Zipper other](https://gambatracker.com/items/halloween-pumpkin-ghost-plush-toy-with-zipper) [munchies](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/munchies) $39.57 $17.00 0.43x 2026-11-11 04:26 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $39.57 | 89.49% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.49 on average: an expected loss of $10.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt