--- title: "Star Racing case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Star Racing ($114.88) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.49% from 15 items with odds, observed 91.80% over 283 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/star-racing rendered: 2026-11-11T23:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Star Racing](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/star-racing) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Star Racing A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/star-racing?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/star-racing?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/star-racing) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/star-racing?window=all) Price · $114.88 Advertised RTP · 89.49% · EV $102.81 from 15 items Observed RTP, 30d · 91.80% · 283 openings, odds method Variance · 47.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 167 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 94.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 36 openings · below min 7 days · 193 openings · below min 30 days · 283 openings · below min since tracking started · 283 openings · below min -0.5% 119.5% 239.5% **Small sample.** 283 openings and 1.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/star-racing?window=24h) | 36 | 13.15% ±225.8 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/star-racing?window=7d) | 193 | 73.07% ±97.5 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/star-racing) | 283 | 91.80% ±80.5 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/star-racing?window=all) | 283 | 91.80% ±80.5 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 283 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Yamaha YZ450F Team Yamaha Blue other](https://gambatracker.com/items/yamaha-yz450f-team-yamaha-blue) | 1 in 1,000 | $12K | 11.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Yamaha YZ250F Team Yamaha Blue other](https://gambatracker.com/items/yamaha-yz250f-team-yamaha-blue) | 1 in 500 | $10.7K | 20.8% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [Yamaha YZ125 Blue other](https://gambatracker.com/items/yamaha-yz125-blue) | 1 in 333 | $8,520 | 24.9% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [Yamaha TT-R110E other](https://gambatracker.com/items/yamaha-tt-r110e) | 1 in 250 | $2,940 | 11.4% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.88× | | [6D ATR-3 Hex other](https://gambatracker.com/items/6d-atr-3-hex) | 1 in 100 | $954 | 9.3% | 2 | 2.8 | 0.71× | | [Tech 10 Boots other](https://gambatracker.com/items/tech-10-boots) | 1 in 100 | $816 | 7.9% | 2 | 2.8 | 0.71× | | [Thor SPORTMODE Strike Pant other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thor-sportmode-strike-pant) | 1 in 100 | $235 | 2.3% | 2 | 2.8 | 0.71× | | [THOR Yamaha Star Softshell Jacket - Blue other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thor-yamaha-star-softshell-jacket-blue) | 1 in 100 | $145 | 1.4% | 3 | 2.8 | 1.06× | | [100% ARMEGA Goggles other](https://gambatracker.com/items/100-armega-goggles) | 1 in 100 | $135 | 1.3% | 4 | 2.8 | 1.41× | | [12 Pack Monster Energy other](https://gambatracker.com/items/12-pack-monster-energy) | 1 in 20 | $40.00 | 1.9% | 17 | 14.2 | 1.20× | | [100% RIDEFIT Moto Gloves other](https://gambatracker.com/items/100-ridefit-moto-gloves) | 1 in 20 | $33.00 | 1.6% | 12 | 14.2 | 0.85× | | [2023 Yamaha YZ250F 250 oil filter other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2023-yamaha-yz250f-250-oil-filter) | 1 in 20 | $15.00 | 0.7% | 17 | 14.2 | 1.20× | | [Maxima Racing Oils AFR-2401-00 ProFilter other](https://gambatracker.com/items/maxima-racing-oils-afr-2401-00-profilter) | 1 in 20 | $15.00 | 0.7% | 16 | 14.2 | 1.13× | | [Yamalube 10W-40 Motorsports AP other](https://gambatracker.com/items/yamalube-10w-40-motorsports-ap) | 24.0% | $12.00 | 2.8% | 67 | 67.9 | 0.99× | | [Monster Energy, Original other](https://gambatracker.com/items/monster-energy-original) | 50.0% | $2.50 | 1.2% | 138 | 141.5 | 0.98× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Yamaha YZ250F Team Yamaha Blue other](https://gambatracker.com/items/yamaha-yz250f-team-yamaha-blue) Hidden $115 $10.7K 92.97x 2026-11-09 17:05 UTC [Yamaha YZ125 Blue other](https://gambatracker.com/items/yamaha-yz125-blue) Hidden $115 $8,520 74.16x 2026-11-03 11:44 UTC [Yamaha TT-R110E other](https://gambatracker.com/items/yamaha-tt-r110e) Hidden $115 $2,940 25.59x 2026-11-04 14:17 UTC [6D ATR-3 Hex other](https://gambatracker.com/items/6d-atr-3-hex) Hidden $115 $954 8.30x 2026-11-10 03:33 UTC [6D ATR-3 Hex other](https://gambatracker.com/items/6d-atr-3-hex) [CODE: FREEMAN 400$ LB](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/CODE%3A%20FREEMAN%20400%24%20LB) $115 $954 8.30x 2026-11-09 17:02 UTC [Tech 10 Boots other](https://gambatracker.com/items/tech-10-boots) Hidden $115 $816 7.10x 2026-11-05 15:10 UTC [Tech 10 Boots other](https://gambatracker.com/items/tech-10-boots) Hidden $115 $816 7.10x 2026-11-03 11:44 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=star-racing) [Yamalube 10W-40 Motorsports AP other](https://gambatracker.com/items/yamalube-10w-40-motorsports-ap) Hidden $115 $12.00 0.10x 2026-11-11 19:07 UTC [Monster Energy, Original other](https://gambatracker.com/items/monster-energy-original) Hidden $115 $2.50 0.02x 2026-11-11 19:07 UTC [Yamalube 10W-40 Motorsports AP other](https://gambatracker.com/items/yamalube-10w-40-motorsports-ap) Hidden $115 $12.00 0.10x 2026-11-11 19:07 UTC [12 Pack Monster Energy other](https://gambatracker.com/items/12-pack-monster-energy) Hidden $115 $40.00 0.35x 2026-11-11 19:07 UTC [Monster Energy, Original other](https://gambatracker.com/items/monster-energy-original) Hidden $115 $2.50 0.02x 2026-11-11 19:07 UTC [100% RIDEFIT Moto Gloves other](https://gambatracker.com/items/100-ridefit-moto-gloves) [CODE: FREEMAN 400$ LB](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/CODE%3A%20FREEMAN%20400%24%20LB) $115 $33.00 0.29x 2026-11-11 19:07 UTC [Monster Energy, Original other](https://gambatracker.com/items/monster-energy-original) Hidden $115 $2.50 0.02x 2026-11-11 19:06 UTC [Monster Energy, Original other](https://gambatracker.com/items/monster-energy-original) Hidden $115 $2.50 0.02x 2026-11-11 19:06 UTC [Monster Energy, Original other](https://gambatracker.com/items/monster-energy-original) Hidden $115 $2.50 0.02x 2026-11-11 19:06 UTC [12 Pack Monster Energy other](https://gambatracker.com/items/12-pack-monster-energy) Hidden $115 $40.00 0.35x 2026-11-11 19:06 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $115 | 89.49% | 15 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $10.7K (92.97x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.49 on average: an expected loss of $10.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt