--- title: "supreme-covo case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "supreme-covo ($5.24) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 79.43% over 3,600 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/supreme-covo rendered: 2026-11-12T10:23Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [supreme-covo](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/supreme-covo) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · supreme-covo A box on Cases.gg, first seen 7 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/supreme-covo?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/supreme-covo?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/supreme-covo) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/supreme-covo?window=all) Price · $5.24 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 79.43% · 3,600 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 252 openings · below min 7 days · 79.43% ±25.77 3,600 openings 30 days · 79.43% ±25.77 3,600 openings since tracking started · 79.43% ±25.77 3,600 openings 11.5% 58.8% 106.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/supreme-covo?window=24h) | 252 | 28.29% ±16.3 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/supreme-covo?window=7d) | 3,600 | 79.43% ±25.8 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/supreme-covo) | 3,600 | 79.43% ±25.8 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/supreme-covo?window=all) | 3,600 | 79.43% ±25.8 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · none published **No catalog** Cases.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Supreme Cross Box Logo Hooded Sweatshirt Heather Grey (US S) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-cross-box-logo-hooded-sweatshirt-heather-grey-us-s) [CrCaptain](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/CrCaptain) $5.24 $690 131.7x 2026-11-10 20:22 UTC [Supreme Cross Box Logo Hooded Sweatshirt Heather Grey (US S) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-cross-box-logo-hooded-sweatshirt-heather-grey-us-s) [CrCaptain](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/CrCaptain) $5.24 $690 131.7x 2026-11-10 19:45 UTC [Supreme Cross Box Logo Hooded Sweatshirt Heather Grey (US S) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-cross-box-logo-hooded-sweatshirt-heather-grey-us-s) Hidden $5.24 $690 131.7x 2026-11-09 22:58 UTC [Supreme Cross Box Logo Hooded Sweatshirt Heather Grey (US S) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-cross-box-logo-hooded-sweatshirt-heather-grey-us-s) Hidden $5.24 $690 131.7x 2026-11-09 22:50 UTC [Supreme Cross Box Logo Hooded Sweatshirt Heather Grey (US S) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-cross-box-logo-hooded-sweatshirt-heather-grey-us-s) Hidden $5.24 $690 131.7x 2026-11-09 21:20 UTC [Supreme Cross Box Logo Hooded Sweatshirt Heather Grey (US S) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-cross-box-logo-hooded-sweatshirt-heather-grey-us-s) Hidden $5.24 $690 131.7x 2026-11-08 18:46 UTC [Supreme Cross Box Logo Hooded Sweatshirt Heather Grey (US S) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-cross-box-logo-hooded-sweatshirt-heather-grey-us-s) Hidden $5.24 $690 131.7x 2026-11-08 18:40 UTC [Supreme Cross Box Logo Hooded Sweatshirt Heather Grey (US S) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-cross-box-logo-hooded-sweatshirt-heather-grey-us-s) Hidden $5.24 $690 131.7x 2026-11-08 18:38 UTC [Supreme Cross Box Logo Hooded Sweatshirt Heather Grey (US S) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-cross-box-logo-hooded-sweatshirt-heather-grey-us-s) Hidden $5.24 $690 131.7x 2026-11-08 18:35 UTC [Supreme Cross Box Logo Hooded Sweatshirt Heather Grey (US S) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-cross-box-logo-hooded-sweatshirt-heather-grey-us-s) Hidden $5.24 $690 131.7x 2026-11-07 22:16 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=supreme-covo) [Supreme Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-sticker) Hidden $5.24 $0.50 0.10x 2026-11-11 22:58 UTC [Supreme Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-sticker) Hidden $5.24 $0.50 0.10x 2026-11-11 22:58 UTC [Supreme Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-sticker) Hidden $5.24 $0.50 0.10x 2026-11-11 22:58 UTC [Supreme Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-sticker) Hidden $5.24 $0.50 0.10x 2026-11-11 22:58 UTC [Supreme Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-sticker) Hidden $5.24 $0.50 0.10x 2026-11-11 22:58 UTC [Supreme Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-sticker) [Use code: COVO](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Use%20code%3A%20COVO) $5.24 $0.50 0.10x 2026-11-11 22:58 UTC [Supreme Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-sticker) Hidden $5.24 $0.50 0.10x 2026-11-11 22:58 UTC [Supreme Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-sticker) Hidden $5.24 $0.50 0.10x 2026-11-11 22:58 UTC [Supreme Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-sticker) Hidden $5.24 $0.50 0.10x 2026-11-11 22:58 UTC [Supreme Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-sticker) Hidden $5.24 $0.50 0.10x 2026-11-11 22:58 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $690 (131.7x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 79.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $79.43 on average: an expected loss of $20.57 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt