--- title: "Supreme x LV case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Supreme x LV ($148.55) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 19 items with odds, observed 73.22% over 239 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/supreme-x-lv rendered: 2026-11-11T23:12Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Supreme x LV](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/supreme-x-lv) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Supreme x LV A box on Cases.gg (Supreme), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/supreme-x-lv?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/supreme-x-lv?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/supreme-x-lv) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/supreme-x-lv?window=all) Price · $148.55 Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $132.95 from 19 items Observed RTP, 30d · 73.22% · 239 openings, odds method Variance · 11.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 21 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 18 openings · below min 7 days · 73.94% ±43.84 229 openings 30 days · 73.22% ±42.91 239 openings since tracking started · 73.22% ±42.91 239 openings -0.5% 114.3% 229.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/supreme-x-lv?window=24h) | 18 | 71.88% ±156.4 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/supreme-x-lv?window=7d) | 229 | 73.94% ±43.8 | −0.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/supreme-x-lv) | 239 | 73.22% ±42.9 | −0.7σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/supreme-x-lv?window=all) | 239 | 73.22% ±42.9 | −0.7σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 19 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 239 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Louis Vuitton x Supreme Christopher Backpack Epi PM Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-x-supreme-christopher-backpack-epi-pm-red) | 1 in 10,000 | $12.3K | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Louis Vuitton x Supreme Keepall Bandouliere Epi 45 Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-x-supreme-keepall-bandouliere-epi-45-red) | 1 in 10,000 | $11.2K | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Supreme x Louis Vuitton Box Logo Hooded Sweatshirt Red (US M) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-x-louis-vuitton-box-logo-hooded-sweatshirt-red-us-m) | 1 in 5,000 | $8,470 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Louis Vuitton x Supreme Initiales Belt 40 MM Monogram Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-x-supreme-initiales-belt-40-mm-monogram-red) | 1 in 1,429 | $7,300 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Louis Vuitton x Supreme Danube Epi PPM Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-x-supreme-danube-epi-ppm-red) | 1 in 2,500 | $6,397 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Supreme x Louis Vuitton Box Logo Hooded Sweatshirt Red (US L) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-x-louis-vuitton-box-logo-hooded-sweatshirt-red-us-l) | 1 in 2,000 | $5,469 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Louis Vuitton x Supreme Initiales Belt 40 MM Monogram Brown Gold other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-x-supreme-initiales-belt-40-mm-monogram-brown-gold) | 1 in 667 | $2,880 | 3.2% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [Supreme x Louis Vuitton Monogram Scarf Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-x-louis-vuitton-monogram-scarf-red) | 1 in 2,000 | $2,500 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Louis Vuitton x Supreme Dice Key Chain Brass other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-x-supreme-dice-key-chain-brass) | 1 in 667 | $2,400 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Louis Vuitton x Supreme Pochette Jour Epi GM Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-x-supreme-pochette-jour-epi-gm-red) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,190 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Supreme x Louis Vuitton Monogram Pillow Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-x-louis-vuitton-monogram-pillow-red) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,040 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Supreme x Louis Vuitton Box Logo Tee White (US S) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-x-louis-vuitton-box-logo-tee-white-us-s) | 1 in 200 | $2,000 | 7.5% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.84× | | [Supreme x Louis Vuitton Box Logo Tee White (US M) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-x-louis-vuitton-box-logo-tee-white-us-m) | 1 in 500 | $1,332 | 2.0% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [Supreme x Louis Vuitton Monogram Bandana Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-x-louis-vuitton-monogram-bandana-red) | 1 in 30 | $1,300 | 32.3% | 1 | 7.9 | 0.13× | | [Supreme x Louis Vuitton City Mask SP Sunglasses Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-x-louis-vuitton-city-mask-sp-sunglasses-black) | 1 in 333 | $1,282 | 2.9% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [Louis Vuitton x Supreme Dice Key Chain Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-x-supreme-dice-key-chain-red) | 1 in 100 | $1,078 | 8.1% | 6 | 2.4 | 2.51× | | [Supreme x Louis Vuitton Monogram Bandana Brown other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-x-louis-vuitton-monogram-bandana-brown) | 1 in 80 | $960 | 9.0% | 5 | 3.0 | 1.67× | | [Louis Vuitton x Supreme Keychain Brown other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-x-supreme-keychain-brown) | 1 in 37 | $840 | 17.1% | 7 | 6.5 | 1.08× | | [$0.25 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-25-voucher) | 90.0% | $0.25 | 0.2% | 216 | 215.1 | 1.00× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Louis Vuitton x Supreme Initiales Belt 40 MM Monogram Brown Gold other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-x-supreme-initiales-belt-40-mm-monogram-brown-gold) Hidden $149 $2,880 19.39x 2026-11-05 15:11 UTC [Supreme x Louis Vuitton Box Logo Tee White (US S) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-x-louis-vuitton-box-logo-tee-white-us-s) Hidden $149 $2,000 13.46x 2026-11-08 15:02 UTC [Supreme x Louis Vuitton Box Logo Tee White (US M) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-x-louis-vuitton-box-logo-tee-white-us-m) Hidden $149 $1,332 8.97x 2026-11-08 14:56 UTC [Supreme x Louis Vuitton Monogram Bandana Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-x-louis-vuitton-monogram-bandana-red) [KICK/JUSTSAN666](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/KICK%2FJUSTSAN666) $149 $1,300 8.75x 2026-11-09 19:53 UTC [Supreme x Louis Vuitton City Mask SP Sunglasses Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-x-louis-vuitton-city-mask-sp-sunglasses-black) Hidden $149 $1,282 8.63x 2026-11-07 20:23 UTC [Louis Vuitton x Supreme Dice Key Chain Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-x-supreme-dice-key-chain-red) Hidden $149 $1,078 7.26x 2026-11-11 19:05 UTC [Louis Vuitton x Supreme Dice Key Chain Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-x-supreme-dice-key-chain-red) Hidden $149 $1,078 7.26x 2026-11-08 20:00 UTC [Louis Vuitton x Supreme Dice Key Chain Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-x-supreme-dice-key-chain-red) [CODE: FREEMAN 400$ LB](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/CODE%3A%20FREEMAN%20400%24%20LB) $149 $1,078 7.26x 2026-11-08 14:57 UTC [Louis Vuitton x Supreme Dice Key Chain Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-x-supreme-dice-key-chain-red) [Kick/PapaGambles $20k+ Rewards](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Kick%2FPapaGambles%20%2420k%2B%20Rewards) $149 $1,078 7.26x 2026-11-07 20:26 UTC [Louis Vuitton x Supreme Dice Key Chain Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-x-supreme-dice-key-chain-red) Hidden $149 $1,078 7.26x 2026-11-06 06:36 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=supreme-x-lv) [$0.25 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-25-voucher) Hidden $149 $0.25 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:48 UTC [$0.25 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-25-voucher) Hidden $149 $0.25 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:48 UTC [$0.25 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-25-voucher) Hidden $149 $0.25 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:48 UTC [$0.25 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-25-voucher) Hidden $149 $0.25 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:48 UTC [$0.25 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-25-voucher) Hidden $149 $0.25 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:48 UTC [$0.25 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-25-voucher) [KICK/JUSTSAN666](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/KICK%2FJUSTSAN666) $149 $0.25 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:48 UTC [$0.25 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-25-voucher) Hidden $149 $0.25 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:07 UTC [$0.25 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-25-voucher) Hidden $149 $0.25 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:07 UTC [$0.25 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-25-voucher) Hidden $149 $0.25 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:07 UTC [$0.25 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-25-voucher) Hidden $149 $0.25 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:07 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $149 | 89.50% | 19 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $2,880 (19.39x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt