---
title: "Sweet Dreams case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Sweet Dreams ($33.67) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.49% from 18 items with odds, observed 103.13% over 212 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/sweet-dreams
rendered: 2026-11-11T22:44Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Sweet Dreams](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/sweet-dreams)

# [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Sweet Dreams

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/sweet-dreams?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/sweet-dreams?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/sweet-dreams) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/sweet-dreams?window=all)

Price · $33.67

Advertised RTP · 89.49% · EV $30.13 from 18 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 103.13% · 212 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 12 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 82.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 19 openings · below min

7 days · 104.31% ±22.69 208 openings

30 days · 103.13% ±22.47 212 openings

since tracking started · 103.13% ±22.47 212 openings

-0.5% 63.5% 127.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/sweet-dreams?window=24h) | 19 | 48.36% ±75.1 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/sweet-dreams?window=7d) | 208 | 104.31% ±22.7 | +1.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/sweet-dreams) | 212 | 103.13% ±22.5 | +1.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/sweet-dreams?window=all) | 212 | 103.13% ±22.5 | +1.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 212 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Smart Humidifier for Home other](https://gambatracker.com/items/smart-humidifier-for-home) | 1 in 40 | $260 | 21.6% | 10 | 5.3 | 1.89× |
| [Withings Sleep - Sleep Tracking Pad Under The Mattress With Sleep Cycle Analysis other](https://gambatracker.com/items/withings-sleep-sleep-tracking-pad-under-the-mattress-with-sleep-cycle-analysis) | 1 in 33 | $250 | 24.9% | 7 | 6.4 | 1.10× |
| [Cooling Gel Mattress Topper other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cooling-gel-mattress-topper) | 1 in 33 | $70.00 | 7.0% | 5 | 6.4 | 0.79× |
| [yescool Weighted Blanket other](https://gambatracker.com/items/yescool-weighted-blanket) | 1 in 33 | $50.00 | 5.0% | 5 | 6.4 | 0.79× |
| [6 PC King Bed Sheets other](https://gambatracker.com/items/6-pc-king-bed-sheets) | 1 in 33 | $42.00 | 4.2% | 6 | 6.4 | 0.94× |
| [MUSICOZY Sleep Headphones Bluetooth other](https://gambatracker.com/items/musicozy-sleep-headphones-bluetooth) | 1 in 33 | $35.00 | 3.5% | 5 | 6.4 | 0.79× |
| [BABEYOND Satin Kimono Robe other](https://gambatracker.com/items/babeyond-satin-kimono-robe) | 1 in 20 | $30.00 | 5.0% | 5 | 10.6 | 0.47× |
| [WEEKENDER Gel Memory Foam Pillow other](https://gambatracker.com/items/weekender-gel-memory-foam-pillow) | 1 in 20 | $25.00 | 4.1% | 10 | 10.6 | 0.94× |
| [Ear Plugs for Sleeping other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ear-plugs-for-sleeping) | 1 in 20 | $22.50 | 3.7% | 12 | 10.6 | 1.13× |
| [Evshine Women's Fuzzy Slippers other](https://gambatracker.com/items/evshine-womens-fuzzy-slippers) | 1 in 20 | $20.00 | 3.3% | 4 | 10.6 | 0.38× |
| [Bedroom Blackout Curtains other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bedroom-blackout-curtains) | 1 in 17 | $18.60 | 3.7% | 13 | 12.7 | 1.02× |
| [Magicteam White Noise Machine other](https://gambatracker.com/items/magicteam-white-noise-machine) | 1 in 17 | $16.00 | 3.2% | 18 | 12.7 | 1.42× |
| [Bedtime Stories for Stressed Out Adults other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bedtime-stories-for-stressed-out-adults) | 1 in 17 | $15.00 | 3.0% | 12 | 12.7 | 0.94× |
| [Stash Tea Relax and Unwind Tea Sampler other](https://gambatracker.com/items/stash-tea-relax-and-unwind-tea-sampler) | 1 in 13 | $12.50 | 3.1% | 18 | 15.9 | 1.13× |
| [Happy Hippo 111 Glow in The Dark Stars for Ceiling other](https://gambatracker.com/items/happy-hippo-111-glow-in-the-dark-stars-for-ceiling) | 1 in 13 | $8.00 | 2.0% | 11 | 15.9 | 0.69× |
| [Dreamcatcher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dreamcatcher) | 1 in 13 | $5.00 | 1.3% | 23 | 17.0 | 1.36× |
| [Muscle Man Pillow other](https://gambatracker.com/items/muscle-man-pillow) | 1 in 11 | $3.00 | 0.9% | 20 | 19.1 | 1.05× |
| [Silk Eye Mask for Sleeping other](https://gambatracker.com/items/silk-eye-mask-for-sleeping) | 12.5% | $1.30 | 0.5% | 28 | 26.5 | 1.06× |

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=sweet-dreams)

[Dreamcatcher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dreamcatcher) Hidden $33.67 $5.00 0.15x 2026-11-11 13:18 UTC

[Happy Hippo 111 Glow in The Dark Stars for Ceiling other](https://gambatracker.com/items/happy-hippo-111-glow-in-the-dark-stars-for-ceiling) Hidden $33.67 $8.00 0.24x 2026-11-11 13:18 UTC

[yescool Weighted Blanket other](https://gambatracker.com/items/yescool-weighted-blanket) [rekack](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/rekack) $33.67 $50.00 1.49x 2026-11-11 13:18 UTC

[WEEKENDER Gel Memory Foam Pillow other](https://gambatracker.com/items/weekender-gel-memory-foam-pillow) Hidden $33.67 $25.00 0.74x 2026-11-11 08:46 UTC

[Silk Eye Mask for Sleeping other](https://gambatracker.com/items/silk-eye-mask-for-sleeping) Hidden $33.67 $1.30 0.04x 2026-11-11 08:46 UTC

[Happy Hippo 111 Glow in The Dark Stars for Ceiling other](https://gambatracker.com/items/happy-hippo-111-glow-in-the-dark-stars-for-ceiling) Hidden $33.67 $8.00 0.24x 2026-11-11 08:46 UTC

[Stash Tea Relax and Unwind Tea Sampler other](https://gambatracker.com/items/stash-tea-relax-and-unwind-tea-sampler) Hidden $33.67 $12.50 0.37x 2026-11-11 08:46 UTC

[Silk Eye Mask for Sleeping other](https://gambatracker.com/items/silk-eye-mask-for-sleeping) Hidden $33.67 $1.30 0.04x 2026-11-11 08:46 UTC

[Bedtime Stories for Stressed Out Adults other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bedtime-stories-for-stressed-out-adults) [EriksZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/EriksZ) $33.67 $15.00 0.45x 2026-11-11 08:46 UTC

[Evshine Women's Fuzzy Slippers other](https://gambatracker.com/items/evshine-womens-fuzzy-slippers) Hidden $33.67 $20.00 0.59x 2026-11-11 04:27 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $33.67 | 89.49% | 18 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed other 100.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.49 on average: an expected loss of $10.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt