--- title: "Tech Freak case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Tech Freak ($89.84) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.49% from 18 items with odds, observed 99.73% over 94 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/tech-freak rendered: 2026-11-11T18:25Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Tech Freak](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/tech-freak) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Tech Freak A box on Cases.gg (Tech), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/tech-freak?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/tech-freak?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/tech-freak) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/tech-freak?window=all) Price · $89.84 Advertised RTP · 89.49% · EV $80.40 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 99.73% · 94 openings, odds method Variance · 4.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 82.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 90 openings · below min 30 days · 94 openings · below min since tracking started · 94 openings · below min -0.5% 103.5% 207.5% **Small sample.** 94 openings and 5.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/tech-freak?window=24h) | 6 | 44.52% ±162.6 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/tech-freak?window=7d) | 90 | 77.53% ±42.0 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/tech-freak) | 94 | 99.73% ±41.1 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/tech-freak?window=all) | 94 | 99.73% ±41.1 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 94 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Acer Nitro V Gaming Laptop \| Intel Core i5-13420H Processor \| NVIDIA GeForce RTX 4050 Laptop GPU other](https://gambatracker.com/items/acer-nitro-v-gaming-laptop-intel-core-i5-13420h-processor-nvidia-geforce-rtx-4050-laptop-gpu) | 1 in 500 | $1,600 | 4.0% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [SAMSUNG Galaxy Z Flip5 AI Phone, 256 GB Unlocked other](https://gambatracker.com/items/samsung-galaxy-z-flip5-ai-phone-256-gb-unlocked) | 1 in 500 | $1,100 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [LG Ultragear 4K UHD 32-Inch Gaming Monitor other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lg-ultragear-4k-uhd-32-inch-gaming-monitor) | 1 in 100 | $840 | 10.4% | 1 | 0.9 | — | | [iRobot Roomba j9+ Self-Emptying Robot Vacuum other](https://gambatracker.com/items/irobot-roomba-j9-self-emptying-robot-vacuum) | 1 in 333 | $790 | 2.9% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [Meta Quest 3 128GB other](https://gambatracker.com/items/meta-quest-3-128gb) | 1 in 100 | $700 | 8.7% | 1 | 0.9 | — | | [Creality K1C 3D Printer other](https://gambatracker.com/items/creality-k1c-3d-printer) | 1 in 333 | $659 | 2.5% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [SAMSUNG 65-Inch Class Crystal UHD 4K DU7200 Series other](https://gambatracker.com/items/samsung-65-inch-class-crystal-uhd-4k-du7200-series) | 1 in 100 | $548 | 6.8% | 2 | 0.9 | — | | [Razer Kiyo Pro Ultra 4K Webcam other](https://gambatracker.com/items/razer-kiyo-pro-ultra-4k-webcam) | 1 in 50 | $480 | 11.9% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× | | [SteelSeries Arena 7 RGB Illuminated 2.1 Gaming Speakers other](https://gambatracker.com/items/steelseries-arena-7-rgb-illuminated-2-1-gaming-speakers) | 1 in 50 | $475 | 11.8% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.53× | | [Elgato Stream Deck +, White other](https://gambatracker.com/items/elgato-stream-deck-white) | 1 in 50 | $269 | 6.7% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.06× | | [Logitech G Yeti GX Dynamic RGB Gaming Microphone other](https://gambatracker.com/items/logitech-g-yeti-gx-dynamic-rgb-gaming-microphone) | 1 in 40 | $225 | 7.0% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.85× | | [Logitech G PRO X SUPERLIGHT 2 LIGHTSPEED Wireless Gaming Mouse other](https://gambatracker.com/items/logitech-g-pro-x-superlight-2-lightspeed-wireless-gaming-mouse) | 1 in 40 | $195 | 6.1% | 0 | 2.4 | 0.00× | | [Logitech G POWERPLAY Wireless Charging System other](https://gambatracker.com/items/logitech-g-powerplay-wireless-charging-system) | 1 in 40 | $169 | 5.3% | 3 | 2.4 | 1.28× | | [Cooler Master Hyper 622 Halo Black Dual Tower CPU Air Cooler other](https://gambatracker.com/items/cooler-master-hyper-622-halo-black-dual-tower-cpu-air-cooler) | 1 in 20 | $89.00 | 5.5% | 4 | 4.7 | 0.85× | | [Canon PIXMA TS6420a All-in-One Wireless Inkjet Printer other](https://gambatracker.com/items/canon-pixma-ts6420a-all-in-one-wireless-inkjet-printer) | 1 in 40 | $80.00 | 2.5% | 0 | 2.4 | 0.00× | | [Redragon GS520 RGB Desktop Speakers other](https://gambatracker.com/items/redragon-gs520-rgb-desktop-speakers) | 1 in 20 | $26.39 | 1.6% | 2 | 4.7 | 0.43× | | [USB Charger Block with Type C, 6-Port Charger other](https://gambatracker.com/items/usb-charger-block-with-type-c-6-port-charger) | 1 in 20 | $17.00 | 1.1% | 10 | 4.7 | 2.13× | | [Wire Loom Tubing other](https://gambatracker.com/items/wire-loom-tubing) | 65.0% | $3.00 | 2.4% | 63 | 61.1 | 1.03× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Acer Nitro V Gaming Laptop | Intel Core i5-13420H Processor | NVIDIA GeForce RTX 4050 Laptop GPU other](https://gambatracker.com/items/acer-nitro-v-gaming-laptop-intel-core-i5-13420h-processor-nvidia-geforce-rtx-4050-laptop-gpu) Hidden $89.84 $1,600 17.81x 2026-11-02 22:07 UTC [LG Ultragear 4K UHD 32-Inch Gaming Monitor other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lg-ultragear-4k-uhd-32-inch-gaming-monitor) [GoodLuckHaveFun](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/GoodLuckHaveFun) $89.84 $840 9.35x 2026-11-09 22:20 UTC [iRobot Roomba j9+ Self-Emptying Robot Vacuum other](https://gambatracker.com/items/irobot-roomba-j9-self-emptying-robot-vacuum) Hidden $89.84 $790 8.79x 2026-11-10 18:48 UTC [Meta Quest 3 128GB other](https://gambatracker.com/items/meta-quest-3-128gb) Hidden $89.84 $700 7.79x 2026-11-04 19:06 UTC [Creality K1C 3D Printer other](https://gambatracker.com/items/creality-k1c-3d-printer) Hidden $89.84 $659 7.34x 2026-11-05 16:25 UTC [SAMSUNG 65-Inch Class Crystal UHD 4K DU7200 Series other](https://gambatracker.com/items/samsung-65-inch-class-crystal-uhd-4k-du7200-series) Hidden $89.84 $548 6.10x 2026-11-09 22:24 UTC [SAMSUNG 65-Inch Class Crystal UHD 4K DU7200 Series other](https://gambatracker.com/items/samsung-65-inch-class-crystal-uhd-4k-du7200-series) Hidden $89.84 $548 6.10x 2026-11-02 22:07 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=tech-freak) [Wire Loom Tubing other](https://gambatracker.com/items/wire-loom-tubing) Hidden $89.84 $3.00 0.03x 2026-11-11 08:59 UTC [Wire Loom Tubing other](https://gambatracker.com/items/wire-loom-tubing) Hidden $89.84 $3.00 0.03x 2026-11-11 08:59 UTC [Wire Loom Tubing other](https://gambatracker.com/items/wire-loom-tubing) Hidden $89.84 $3.00 0.03x 2026-11-11 08:59 UTC [Wire Loom Tubing other](https://gambatracker.com/items/wire-loom-tubing) Hidden $89.84 $3.00 0.03x 2026-11-11 08:59 UTC [Logitech G Yeti GX Dynamic RGB Gaming Microphone other](https://gambatracker.com/items/logitech-g-yeti-gx-dynamic-rgb-gaming-microphone) Hidden $89.84 $225 2.50x 2026-11-11 08:59 UTC [Wire Loom Tubing other](https://gambatracker.com/items/wire-loom-tubing) [EriksZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/EriksZ) $89.84 $3.00 0.03x 2026-11-11 08:59 UTC [Redragon GS520 RGB Desktop Speakers other](https://gambatracker.com/items/redragon-gs520-rgb-desktop-speakers) Hidden $89.84 $26.39 0.29x 2026-11-10 18:48 UTC [Wire Loom Tubing other](https://gambatracker.com/items/wire-loom-tubing) Hidden $89.84 $3.00 0.03x 2026-11-10 18:48 UTC [Logitech G Yeti GX Dynamic RGB Gaming Microphone other](https://gambatracker.com/items/logitech-g-yeti-gx-dynamic-rgb-gaming-microphone) Hidden $89.84 $225 2.50x 2026-11-10 18:48 UTC [iRobot Roomba j9+ Self-Emptying Robot Vacuum other](https://gambatracker.com/items/irobot-roomba-j9-self-emptying-robot-vacuum) Hidden $89.84 $790 8.79x 2026-11-10 18:48 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $89.84 | 89.49% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $1,600 (17.81x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.49 on average: an expected loss of $10.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt