---
title: "Ten Tails case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Ten Tails ($41.59) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.49% from 16 items with odds, observed 68.73% over 201 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/ten-tails
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:54Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Ten Tails](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/ten-tails)

# [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Ten Tails

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/ten-tails?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/ten-tails?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/ten-tails) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/ten-tails?window=all)

Price · $41.59

Advertised RTP · 89.49% · EV $37.22 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 68.73% · 201 openings, odds method

Variance · 4.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 83.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 6 openings · below min

7 days · 68.39% ±29.62 186 openings

30 days · 68.73% ±28.50 201 openings

since tracking started · 68.73% ±28.50 201 openings

-0.5% 113.0% 226.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/ten-tails?window=24h) | 6 | 61.15% ±164.9 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/ten-tails?window=7d) | 186 | 68.39% ±29.6 | −1.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/ten-tails) | 201 | 68.73% ±28.5 | −1.4σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/ten-tails?window=all) | 201 | 68.73% ±28.5 | −1.4σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items and odds · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 201 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Funko Pop! Animation Naruto Shippuden Kurama Mode (Glow) GameStop Exclusive 6 Inch Figure #97 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-animation-naruto-shippuden-kurama-mode-glow-gamestop-exclusive-6-inch-figure-97) | 1 in 100 | $557 | 15.0% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.50× |
| [Higround Naruto x Akatsuki Mousepad other](https://gambatracker.com/items/higround-naruto-x-akatsuki-mousepad) | 1 in 100 | $400 | 10.7% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.50× |
| [Naruto - The Complete Series - Blu-ray - Limited Edition other](https://gambatracker.com/items/naruto-the-complete-series-blu-ray-limited-edition) | 1 in 50 | $300 | 16.1% | 4 | 4.0 | 1.00× |
| [Naruto Box Set 1: Volumes 1-27 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/naruto-box-set-1-volumes-1-27) | 1 in 50 | $245 | 13.2% | 2 | 4.0 | 0.50× |
| [Naruto Uzumaki G.E.M. Series 15th Anniversary Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/naruto-uzumaki-g-e-m-series-15th-anniversary-figure) | 1 in 50 | $150 | 8.1% | 1 | 4.0 | 0.25× |
| [Naruto Shippuden - Akatsuki Letterman Jacket other](https://gambatracker.com/items/naruto-shippuden-akatsuki-letterman-jacket) | 1 in 33 | $96.00 | 7.7% | 5 | 6.0 | 0.83× |
| [Kakashi Hatake Nendoroid other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kakashi-hatake-nendoroid) | 1 in 33 | $60.00 | 4.8% | 9 | 6.0 | 1.49× |
| [Funko Pop! Animation Naruto Shippuden Kotetsu Hagane Figure #1197 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-animation-naruto-shippuden-kotetsu-hagane-figure-1197) | 1 in 33 | $45.00 | 3.6% | 10 | 6.0 | 1.66× |
| [Funko Pop! Moment: Naruto: Shippuden - Pain vs Naruto other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-moment-naruto-shippuden-pain-vs-naruto) | 1 in 33 | $35.00 | 2.8% | 4 | 6.0 | 0.66× |
| [Naruto Shippuden Ichiraku Ramen Bowl other](https://gambatracker.com/items/naruto-shippuden-ichiraku-ramen-bowl) | 1 in 20 | $28.00 | 3.8% | 9 | 10.1 | 0.90× |
| [Naruto - Scroll Art other](https://gambatracker.com/items/naruto-scroll-art) | 1 in 20 | $22.00 | 3.0% | 12 | 10.1 | 1.19× |
| [Naruto Hanging Poster Canvas other](https://gambatracker.com/items/naruto-hanging-poster-canvas) | 1 in 20 | $17.15 | 2.3% | 9 | 10.1 | 0.90× |
| [Naruto 7 Inch Sitting Plush other](https://gambatracker.com/items/naruto-7-inch-sitting-plush) | 1 in 20 | $12.00 | 1.6% | 10 | 10.1 | 1.00× |
| [Naruto Shippuden Konoha Group A5 Notebook other](https://gambatracker.com/items/naruto-shippuden-konoha-group-a5-notebook) | 15.0% | $7.00 | 2.8% | 25 | 30.1 | 0.83× |
| [Akatsuki Cloud AirPod Case container](https://gambatracker.com/items/akatsuki-cloud-airpod-case) | 20.0% | $4.80 | 2.6% | 48 | 40.2 | 1.19× |
| [Naruto Bandai Spirits Memorable Saga Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/naruto-bandai-spirits-memorable-saga-figure) | 25.0% | $2.80 | 1.9% | 51 | 50.3 | 1.01× |

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Funko Pop! Animation Naruto Shippuden Kurama Mode (Glow) GameStop Exclusive 6 Inch Figure #97 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-animation-naruto-shippuden-kurama-mode-glow-gamestop-exclusive-6-inch-figure-97) Hidden $41.59 $557 13.39x 2026-11-07 11:52 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=ten-tails)

[Naruto Bandai Spirits Memorable Saga Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/naruto-bandai-spirits-memorable-saga-figure) Hidden $41.59 $2.80 0.07x 2026-11-11 17:49 UTC

[Funko Pop! Animation Naruto Shippuden Kotetsu Hagane Figure #1197 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-animation-naruto-shippuden-kotetsu-hagane-figure-1197) Hidden $41.59 $45.00 1.08x 2026-11-11 17:49 UTC

[Naruto Shippuden Konoha Group A5 Notebook other](https://gambatracker.com/items/naruto-shippuden-konoha-group-a5-notebook) Hidden $41.59 $7.00 0.17x 2026-11-11 17:49 UTC

[Kakashi Hatake Nendoroid other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kakashi-hatake-nendoroid) Hidden $41.59 $60.00 1.44x 2026-11-11 17:49 UTC

[Funko Pop! Moment: Naruto: Shippuden - Pain vs Naruto other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-moment-naruto-shippuden-pain-vs-naruto) Hidden $41.59 $35.00 0.84x 2026-11-11 17:49 UTC

[Naruto Bandai Spirits Memorable Saga Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/naruto-bandai-spirits-memorable-saga-figure) [Trecky](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Trecky) $41.59 $2.80 0.07x 2026-11-11 17:49 UTC

[Naruto Shippuden Konoha Group A5 Notebook other](https://gambatracker.com/items/naruto-shippuden-konoha-group-a5-notebook) Hidden $41.59 $7.00 0.17x 2026-11-09 13:39 UTC

[Funko Pop! Animation Naruto Shippuden Kotetsu Hagane Figure #1197 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-animation-naruto-shippuden-kotetsu-hagane-figure-1197) Hidden $41.59 $45.00 1.08x 2026-11-09 13:39 UTC

[Akatsuki Cloud AirPod Case container](https://gambatracker.com/items/akatsuki-cloud-airpod-case) Hidden $41.59 $4.80 0.12x 2026-11-09 13:39 UTC

[Naruto Shippuden Konoha Group A5 Notebook other](https://gambatracker.com/items/naruto-shippuden-konoha-group-a5-notebook) Hidden $41.59 $7.00 0.17x 2026-11-09 13:39 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $41.59 | 89.49% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed other 100.0% best hit $557 (13.39x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.49 on average: an expected loss of $10.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt