--- title: "The Clout Case case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "The Clout Case ($222.76) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 17 items with odds, observed 73.37% over 36 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/the-clout-case rendered: 2026-11-11T19:50Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [The Clout Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/the-clout-case) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · The Clout Case A box on Cases.gg (Shoes), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/the-clout-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/the-clout-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/the-clout-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/the-clout-case?window=all) Price · $222.76 Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $199.37 from 17 items Observed RTP, 30d · 73.37% · 36 openings, odds method Variance · 5.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 88.6% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 30 openings · below min 30 days · 36 openings · below min since tracking started · 36 openings · below min -0.5% 78.3% 157.0% **Small sample.** 36 openings and 1.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/the-clout-case?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/the-clout-case?window=7d) | 30 | 76.23% ±80.3 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/the-clout-case) | 36 | 73.37% ±73.3 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/the-clout-case?window=all) | 36 | 73.37% ±73.3 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 36 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Louis Vuitton 1.1 Millionaires Sunglasses Green Marble other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-1-1-millionaires-sunglasses-green-marble) | 1 in 167 | $4,080 | 12.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Supreme x Louis Vuitton City Mask SP Sunglasses Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-x-louis-vuitton-city-mask-sp-sunglasses-red) | 1 in 125 | $2,520 | 10.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Jordan 1 Retro High Off-White University Blue (US 11) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-high-off-white-university-blue-us-11) | 1 in 200 | $2,200 | 5.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Dior Walk'N'Dior Oblique Navy Canvas (Women's) (EU 39) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dior-walkndior-oblique-navy-canvas-womens-eu-39) | 1 in 100 | $1,830 | 9.2% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [Gucci Screener White Green (US 10) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gucci-screener-white-green-us-10) | 1 in 111 | $1,694 | 7.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Gucci Belt Bag GG Supreme Small Beige/Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gucci-belt-bag-gg-supreme-small-beige-black) | 1 in 80 | $1,200 | 7.5% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [Dior x Stone Island Baseball Cap Black (US M) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dior-x-stone-island-baseball-cap-black-us-m) | 1 in 91 | $1,170 | 6.5% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [Gucci Bifold Wallet GG Supreme Tiger Beige other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gucci-bifold-wallet-gg-supreme-tiger-beige) | 1 in 77 | $750 | 4.9% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [Gucci Cat Eye-Frame Acetate Sunglasses Light Blue other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gucci-cat-eye-frame-acetate-sunglasses-light-blue) | 1 in 83 | $688 | 4.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Nike SB Dunk LowSupreme Stars Hyper Royal (2021) (US 8) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-sb-dunk-lowsupreme-stars-hyper-royal-2021-us-8) | 1 in 74 | $445 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [Supreme Logo Backpack Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-logo-backpack-red) | 1 in 69 | $445 | 3.2% | 2 | 0.5 | — | | [BAPE Big Ape Head Tee Beige other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bape-big-ape-head-tee-beige) | 1 in 20 | $150 | 3.8% | 4 | 1.8 | 2.22× | | [Casio G-Shock LTP-V300D-2A other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-ltp-v300d-2a) | 1 in 14 | $89.00 | 3.1% | 1 | 2.5 | 0.40× | | [BAPE 1st Camo Cordura Multi Pouch Yellow other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bape-1st-camo-cordura-multi-pouch-yellow) | 1 in 13 | $69.00 | 2.8% | 0 | 2.9 | 0.00× | | [Supreme Ripstop Keychain Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-ripstop-keychain-black) | 10.0% | $55.00 | 2.8% | 6 | 3.6 | 1.67× | | [Supreme Red Box Logo 100x Sticker Lot other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-red-box-logo-100x-sticker-lot) | 15.0% | $50.00 | 3.8% | 6 | 5.4 | 1.11× | | [Bape Baby Milo Plush Shark Mobile Bag Blue other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bape-baby-milo-plush-shark-mobile-bag-blue) | 43.5% | $45.00 | 9.8% | 15 | 15.7 | 0.96× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Dior Walk'N'Dior Oblique Navy Canvas (Women's) (EU 39) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dior-walkndior-oblique-navy-canvas-womens-eu-39) Hidden $223 $1,830 8.22x 2026-11-05 06:22 UTC [Dior x Stone Island Baseball Cap Black (US M) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dior-x-stone-island-baseball-cap-black-us-m) Hidden $223 $1,170 5.25x 2026-11-07 11:49 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=the-clout-case) [BAPE Big Ape Head Tee Beige other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bape-big-ape-head-tee-beige) Hidden $223 $150 0.67x 2026-11-10 07:08 UTC [Bape Baby Milo Plush Shark Mobile Bag Blue other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bape-baby-milo-plush-shark-mobile-bag-blue) Hidden $223 $45.00 0.20x 2026-11-10 07:08 UTC [Bape Baby Milo Plush Shark Mobile Bag Blue other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bape-baby-milo-plush-shark-mobile-bag-blue) Hidden $223 $45.00 0.20x 2026-11-10 07:08 UTC [Bape Baby Milo Plush Shark Mobile Bag Blue other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bape-baby-milo-plush-shark-mobile-bag-blue) Hidden $223 $45.00 0.20x 2026-11-10 07:08 UTC [Supreme Logo Backpack Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-logo-backpack-red) Hidden $223 $445 2.00x 2026-11-10 07:08 UTC [Bape Baby Milo Plush Shark Mobile Bag Blue other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bape-baby-milo-plush-shark-mobile-bag-blue) [Nie](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Nie) $223 $45.00 0.20x 2026-11-10 07:08 UTC [Supreme Red Box Logo 100x Sticker Lot other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-red-box-logo-100x-sticker-lot) Hidden $223 $50.00 0.22x 2026-11-10 06:39 UTC [Bape Baby Milo Plush Shark Mobile Bag Blue other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bape-baby-milo-plush-shark-mobile-bag-blue) Hidden $223 $45.00 0.20x 2026-11-10 06:39 UTC [Bape Baby Milo Plush Shark Mobile Bag Blue other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bape-baby-milo-plush-shark-mobile-bag-blue) Hidden $223 $45.00 0.20x 2026-11-10 06:39 UTC [Casio G-Shock LTP-V300D-2A other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-ltp-v300d-2a) Hidden $223 $89.00 0.40x 2026-11-10 06:39 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $223 | 89.50% | 17 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $1,830 (8.22x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt