--- title: "The Crown case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "The Crown ($7,562.56) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 16 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/the-crown rendered: 2026-11-11T18:54Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [The Crown](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/the-crown) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · The Crown A box on Cases.gg (Luxury), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/the-crown?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/the-crown?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/the-crown) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/the-crown?window=all) Price · $7,562.56 Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $6,768.49 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 2.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 15.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 61.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/the-crown?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/the-crown?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/the-crown) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/the-crown?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Rolex Submariner Date 116659SABR other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rolex-submariner-date-116659sabr) | 1 in 2,000 | $204K | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Rolex Daytona Cosmograph Daytona other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rolex-daytona-cosmograph-daytona) | 1 in 2,000 | $138K | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Rolex Daytona 116598 Saco Leopard Factory Sapphire Diamond 18k Yellow Watch 40mm other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rolex-daytona-116598-saco-leopard-factory-sapphire-diamond-18k-yellow-watch-40mm) | 1 in 1,000 | $96.8K | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Rolex Day-Date 40 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rolex-day-date-40) | 1 in 333 | $52.8K | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Rolex Yacht-Master 42 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rolex-yacht-master-42) | 1 in 200 | $36.3K | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Rolex Yacht-Master II other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rolex-yacht-master-ii) | 1 in 133 | $31.3K | 3.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Rolex GMT-Master II Pepsi other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rolex-gmt-master-ii-pepsi) | 1 in 100 | $30K | 4.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Rolex GMT-Master II Rose Gold other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rolex-gmt-master-ii-rose-gold) | 1 in 80 | $23.2K | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Rolex Datejust 36 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rolex-datejust-36) | 1 in 67 | $22.9K | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Rolex Sea-Dweller other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rolex-sea-dweller) | 1 in 33 | $21.6K | 9.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Rolex GMT-Master II Batman other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rolex-gmt-master-ii-batman) | 1 in 40 | $21K | 7.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Rolex Submariner Date other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rolex-submariner-date) | 1 in 25 | $17K | 10.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Rolex Milgauss other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rolex-milgauss) | 1 in 17 | $16K | 14.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Rolex Datejust 36 126200 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rolex-datejust-36-126200) | 1 in 13 | $11.7K | 13.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Rolex Oyster Perpetual 41 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rolex-oyster-perpetual-41) | 10.0% | $11.6K | 17.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Casio G Shock Men's GD-120CM-8CR G-Shock Digital Display Quartz Grey Watch other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-mens-gd-120cm-8cr-g-shock-digital-display-quartz-grey-watch) | 61.0% | $149 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=the-crown) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $7,563 | 89.50% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt