---
title: "The Drip Drop case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "The Drip Drop ($71.00) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.49% from 25 items with odds, observed 48.94% over 329 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/the-drip-drop
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:01Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [The Drip Drop](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/the-drip-drop)

# [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · The Drip Drop

A box on Cases.gg (Clothing), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/the-drip-drop?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/the-drip-drop?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/the-drip-drop) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/the-drip-drop?window=all)

Price · $71.00

Advertised RTP · 89.49% · EV $63.54 from 25 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 48.94% · 329 openings, odds method

Variance · 89.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 278 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 96.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 6 openings · below min

7 days · 289 openings · below min

30 days · 329 openings · below min

since tracking started · 329 openings · below min

-0.5% 378.5% 757.5%

**Small sample.** 329 openings and 1.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/the-drip-drop?window=24h) | 6 | 0.33% ±756.7 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/the-drip-drop?window=7d) | 289 | 44.77% ±109.0 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/the-drip-drop) | 329 | 48.94% ±102.2 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/the-drip-drop?window=all) | 329 | 48.94% ±102.2 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items and odds · 25 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 329 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Louis Vuitton x Supreme Christopher Backpack Epi PM Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-x-supreme-christopher-backpack-epi-pm-red) | 1 in 1,429 | $12.3K | 13.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Supreme x Louis Vuitton Box Logo Hooded Sweatshirt Red (US XL) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-x-louis-vuitton-box-logo-hooded-sweatshirt-red-us-xl) | 1 in 1,429 | $12.3K | 13.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Louis Vuitton x NBA Keepall 55 Bandouliere Blue other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-x-nba-keepall-55-bandouliere-blue) | 1 in 1,250 | $10K | 12.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Jordan 1 Retro High Off-White Chicago (US 7) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-high-off-white-chicago-us-7) | 1 in 2,000 | $7,900 | 6.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Rolex Datejust 36 16014 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rolex-datejust-36-16014) | 1 in 1,111 | $7,900 | 11.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Louis Vuitton Nike Air Force 1 Low By Virgil Abloh White Red (US 8) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-nike-air-force-1-low-by-virgil-abloh-white-red-us-8) | 1 in 1,111 | $6,360 | 9.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Louis Vuitton Keepall Bandouliere Monogram Eclipse Reverse 50 Gray other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-keepall-bandouliere-monogram-eclipse-reverse-50-gray) | 1 in 1,000 | $3,840 | 6.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Casio G-Shock x Kith other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-x-kith) | 1 in 769 | $2,640 | 5.4% | 2 | 0.4 | — |
| [adidas NMD R1 Bape Olive Camo (US Men's 12) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/adidas-nmd-r1-bape-olive-camo-us-mens-12) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,540 | 4.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Nike Air Force 1 Low Off-White Brooklyn (US 9) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-air-force-1-low-off-white-brooklyn-us-9) | 1 in 909 | $1,840 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [Gucci x Adidas GG Canvas Fedora Green (US M) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gucci-x-adidas-gg-canvas-fedora-green-us-m) | 1 in 345 | $736 | 3.4% | 2 | 1.0 | — |
| [Jordan Jumpman Jack TR Travis Scott University Red (US 10) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-jumpman-jack-tr-travis-scott-university-red-us-10) | 1 in 667 | $700 | 1.7% | 2 | 0.5 | — |
| [KAWS Cereal Monsters Franken Berry Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kaws-cereal-monsters-franken-berry-figure) | 1 in 556 | $680 | 1.9% | 2 | 0.6 | — |
| [BAPE ABC Camo Shark Full Zip Hoodie Pink other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bape-abc-camo-shark-full-zip-hoodie-pink) | 1 in 500 | $585 | 1.8% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [Swatch x Omega Bioceramic Moonswatch Mission To Moonphase Snoopy SO33W700 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/swatch-x-omega-bioceramic-moonswatch-mission-to-moonphase-snoopy-so33w700) | 1 in 526 | $502 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [BAPE Color Camo Big Ape Head Tee Black/Red (US L) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bape-color-camo-big-ape-head-tee-black-red-us-l) | 1 in 333 | $210 | 1.0% | 1 | 1.0 | — |
| [BAPE Baby Milo Fur Backpack Brown other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bape-baby-milo-fur-backpack-brown) | 1 in 323 | $195 | 1.0% | 4 | 1.0 | 3.92× |
| [adidas Yeezy Boost 350 V2Beluga Reflective (US 7) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/adidas-yeezy-boost-350-v2beluga-reflective-us-7) | 1 in 476 | $155 | 0.5% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [Fear of God Essentials Chest Logo Hoodie Jet Black/Jet Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fear-of-god-essentials-chest-logo-hoodie-jet-black-jet-black) | 1 in 303 | $81.00 | 0.4% | 3 | 1.1 | 2.76× |
| [Jordan x Travis Scott T-shirt Brown (US M) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-x-travis-scott-t-shirt-brown-us-m) | 1 in 250 | $81.00 | 0.5% | 3 | 1.3 | 2.28× |
| [Supreme Halftone Lightweight Balaclava Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-halftone-lightweight-balaclava-red) | 1 in 222 | $66.00 | 0.5% | 3 | 1.5 | 2.03× |
| [Travis Scott x McDonald's Crew T-shirt Red (US M) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/travis-scott-x-mcdonalds-crew-t-shirt-red-us-m) | 1 in 278 | $51.00 | 0.3% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [Supreme Hav-A-Hank Bandanas (3 Pack) Multicolor other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-hav-a-hank-bandanas-3-pack-multicolor) | 1 in 200 | $44.55 | 0.4% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× |
| [Supreme Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-sticker) | 47.5% | $0.50 | 0.4% | 149 | 156.3 | 0.95× |
| [$0.10 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-10-voucher) | 47.7% | $0.10 | 0.1% | 157 | 157.1 | 1.00× |

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 08:49 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Casio G-Shock x Kith other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-x-kith) Hidden $71.00 $2,640 37.18x 2026-11-06 07:42 UTC

[Casio G-Shock x Kith other](https://gambatracker.com/items/casio-g-shock-x-kith) Hidden $71.00 $2,640 37.18x 2026-11-05 22:10 UTC

[Gucci x Adidas GG Canvas Fedora Green (US M) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gucci-x-adidas-gg-canvas-fedora-green-us-m) Hidden $71.00 $736 10.37x 2026-11-04 00:14 UTC

[Gucci x Adidas GG Canvas Fedora Green (US M) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gucci-x-adidas-gg-canvas-fedora-green-us-m) Hidden $71.00 $736 10.37x 2026-11-03 23:42 UTC

[Jordan Jumpman Jack TR Travis Scott University Red (US 10) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-jumpman-jack-tr-travis-scott-university-red-us-10) Hidden $71.00 $700 9.86x 2026-11-05 23:08 UTC

[Jordan Jumpman Jack TR Travis Scott University Red (US 10) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-jumpman-jack-tr-travis-scott-university-red-us-10) Hidden $71.00 $700 9.86x 2026-11-05 22:19 UTC

[KAWS Cereal Monsters Franken Berry Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kaws-cereal-monsters-franken-berry-figure) Hidden $71.00 $680 9.58x 2026-11-05 23:08 UTC

[KAWS Cereal Monsters Franken Berry Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kaws-cereal-monsters-franken-berry-figure) Hidden $71.00 $680 9.58x 2026-11-04 00:14 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=the-drip-drop)

[$0.10 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-10-voucher) Hidden $71.00 $0.10 0.00x 2026-11-11 08:53 UTC

[Supreme Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-sticker) Hidden $71.00 $0.50 0.01x 2026-11-11 08:53 UTC

[$0.10 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-10-voucher) Hidden $71.00 $0.10 0.00x 2026-11-11 08:53 UTC

[$0.10 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-10-voucher) Hidden $71.00 $0.10 0.00x 2026-11-11 08:53 UTC

[Supreme Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-sticker) Hidden $71.00 $0.50 0.01x 2026-11-11 08:53 UTC

[$0.10 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-10-voucher) [EriksZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/EriksZ) $71.00 $0.10 0.00x 2026-11-11 08:53 UTC

[$0.10 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-10-voucher) Hidden $71.00 $0.10 0.00x 2026-11-07 20:26 UTC

[Supreme Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-sticker) [Mysterious Dolphin](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Mysterious%20Dolphin) $71.00 $0.50 0.01x 2026-11-07 20:26 UTC

[$0.10 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-10-voucher) Hidden $71.00 $0.10 0.00x 2026-11-07 11:45 UTC

[Supreme Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-sticker) Hidden $71.00 $0.50 0.01x 2026-11-07 11:45 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $71.00 | 89.49% | 25 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed other 100.0% best hit $2,640 (37.18x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.49 on average: an expected loss of $10.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt