--- title: "The Investor case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "The Investor ($154.71) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 16 items with odds, observed 86.19% over 321 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/the-investor rendered: 2026-11-12T05:45Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [The Investor](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/the-investor) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · The Investor A box on Cases.gg (Gold), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/the-investor?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/the-investor?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/the-investor) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/the-investor?window=all) Price · $154.71 Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $138.47 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 86.19% · 321 openings, odds method Variance · 121.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 23 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 22 openings · below min 7 days · 82.53% ±140.73 235 openings 30 days · 86.19% ±120.41 321 openings since tracking started · 86.19% ±120.41 321 openings -0.5% 268.5% 537.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/the-investor?window=24h) | 22 | 76.95% ±459.9 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/the-investor?window=7d) | 235 | 82.53% ±140.7 | −0.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/the-investor) | 321 | 86.19% ±120.4 | −0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/the-investor?window=all) | 321 | 86.19% ±120.4 | −0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 321 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [1 kilo Cast-Poured Gold Bar - APMEX other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-kilo-cast-poured-gold-bar-apmex) | 1 in 10,000 | $148K | 10.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [10 oz Gold Bar - The Perth Mint (In Assay) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/10-oz-gold-bar-the-perth-mint-in-assay) | 1 in 5,000 | $46K | 6.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [100 gram Cast-Poured Gold Bar - APMEX other](https://gambatracker.com/items/100-gram-cast-poured-gold-bar-apmex) | 1 in 2,000 | $13.5K | 4.9% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [90% Silver Coins - $250 Face Value Bag other](https://gambatracker.com/items/90-silver-coins-250-face-value-bag) | 1 in 2,000 | $8,800 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [1 oz Gold Bar - Royal Canadian Mint New Design (In Assay) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-oz-gold-bar-royal-canadian-mint-new-design-in-assay) | 1 in 769 | $4,950 | 4.6% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [1 oz Gold Bar - APMEX (TEP) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-oz-gold-bar-apmex-tep) | 1 in 667 | $4,950 | 5.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [2023 Mexico 1 oz Reverse Proof Gold Libertad other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2023-mexico-1-oz-reverse-proof-gold-libertad) | 1 in 1,000 | $4,600 | 3.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [1 Kilo Silver Bar - PAMP Suisse (Serialized) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-kilo-silver-bar-pamp-suisse-serialized) | 1 in 500 | $1,600 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [1 oz Palladium Bar - Valcambi Suisse (In Assay) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-oz-palladium-bar-valcambi-suisse-in-assay) | 1 in 667 | $1,500 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [10 gram Gold Bar - PAMP Lady Fortuna Veriscan® (In Assay) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/10-gram-gold-bar-pamp-lady-fortuna-veriscan-in-assay) | 1 in 204 | $1,500 | 5.3% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.27× | | [10 oz Silver Bar - Secondary Market other](https://gambatracker.com/items/10-oz-silver-bar-secondary-market) | 1 in 33 | $1,200 | 26.0% | 7 | 9.6 | 0.73× | | [5 gram Gold Bar - Secondary Market other](https://gambatracker.com/items/5-gram-gold-bar-secondary-market) | 1 in 133 | $990 | 5.4% | 6 | 2.4 | 2.49× | | [2024 Niue 10 oz Silver $20 Star Wars: Mandalorian Beskar Bar other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2024-niue-10-oz-silver-20-star-wars-mandalorian-beskar-bar) | 1 in 167 | $630 | 2.7% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× | | [10 oz Silver Bar - Royal Canadian Mint (.9999 Fine, New Style) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/10-oz-silver-bar-royal-canadian-mint-9999-fine-new-style) | 1 in 100 | $580 | 4.2% | 4 | 3.2 | 1.25× | | [5 oz Silver Bar - APMEX other](https://gambatracker.com/items/5-oz-silver-bar-apmex) | 1 in 30 | $550 | 13.1% | 8 | 10.6 | 0.76× | | [Chocolate Gold Coin other](https://gambatracker.com/items/chocolate-gold-coin) | 90.0% | $1.00 | 0.6% | 292 | 288.9 | 1.01× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 12 Nov, 03:04 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [100 gram Cast-Poured Gold Bar - APMEX other](https://gambatracker.com/items/100-gram-cast-poured-gold-bar-apmex) Hidden $155 $13.5K 87.26x 2026-11-08 20:03 UTC [1 oz Gold Bar - Royal Canadian Mint New Design (In Assay) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-oz-gold-bar-royal-canadian-mint-new-design-in-assay) Hidden $155 $4,950 32.00x 2026-11-04 21:53 UTC [10 gram Gold Bar - PAMP Lady Fortuna Veriscan® (In Assay) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/10-gram-gold-bar-pamp-lady-fortuna-veriscan-in-assay) Hidden $155 $1,500 9.70x 2026-11-11 19:53 UTC [10 gram Gold Bar - PAMP Lady Fortuna Veriscan® (In Assay) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/10-gram-gold-bar-pamp-lady-fortuna-veriscan-in-assay) Hidden $155 $1,500 9.70x 2026-11-06 11:54 UTC [10 oz Silver Bar - Secondary Market other](https://gambatracker.com/items/10-oz-silver-bar-secondary-market) Hidden $155 $1,200 7.76x 2026-11-07 00:55 UTC [10 oz Silver Bar - Secondary Market other](https://gambatracker.com/items/10-oz-silver-bar-secondary-market) Hidden $155 $1,200 7.76x 2026-11-06 13:39 UTC [10 oz Silver Bar - Secondary Market other](https://gambatracker.com/items/10-oz-silver-bar-secondary-market) Hidden $155 $1,200 7.76x 2026-11-06 11:57 UTC [10 oz Silver Bar - Secondary Market other](https://gambatracker.com/items/10-oz-silver-bar-secondary-market) Hidden $155 $1,200 7.76x 2026-11-05 13:40 UTC [10 oz Silver Bar - Secondary Market other](https://gambatracker.com/items/10-oz-silver-bar-secondary-market) Hidden $155 $1,200 7.76x 2026-11-05 13:25 UTC [10 oz Silver Bar - Secondary Market other](https://gambatracker.com/items/10-oz-silver-bar-secondary-market) Hidden $155 $1,200 7.76x 2026-11-04 12:12 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=the-investor) [Chocolate Gold Coin other](https://gambatracker.com/items/chocolate-gold-coin) Hidden $155 $1.00 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:53 UTC [Chocolate Gold Coin other](https://gambatracker.com/items/chocolate-gold-coin) Hidden $155 $1.00 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:53 UTC [10 gram Gold Bar - PAMP Lady Fortuna Veriscan® (In Assay) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/10-gram-gold-bar-pamp-lady-fortuna-veriscan-in-assay) Hidden $155 $1,500 9.70x 2026-11-11 19:53 UTC [Chocolate Gold Coin other](https://gambatracker.com/items/chocolate-gold-coin) [Camel No. 9](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Camel%20No.%209) $155 $1.00 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:53 UTC [Chocolate Gold Coin other](https://gambatracker.com/items/chocolate-gold-coin) Hidden $155 $1.00 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:47 UTC [Chocolate Gold Coin other](https://gambatracker.com/items/chocolate-gold-coin) Hidden $155 $1.00 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:47 UTC [Chocolate Gold Coin other](https://gambatracker.com/items/chocolate-gold-coin) Hidden $155 $1.00 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:47 UTC [Chocolate Gold Coin other](https://gambatracker.com/items/chocolate-gold-coin) Hidden $155 $1.00 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:47 UTC [5 oz Silver Bar - APMEX other](https://gambatracker.com/items/5-oz-silver-bar-apmex) Hidden $155 $550 3.56x 2026-11-11 19:47 UTC [Chocolate Gold Coin other](https://gambatracker.com/items/chocolate-gold-coin) [KICK/JUSTSAN666](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/KICK%2FJUSTSAN666) $155 $1.00 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:47 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $155 | 89.50% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $13.5K (87.26x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt