---
title: "The One case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "The One ($883.89) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 26 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/the-one
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:10Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [The One](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/the-one)

# [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · The One

A box on Cases.gg (Rolex), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/the-one?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/the-one?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/the-one) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/the-one?window=all)

Price · $883.89

Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $791.07 from 26 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 3.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 88.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/the-one?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/the-one?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/the-one) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/the-one?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items and odds · 26 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Rolex Submariner Date other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rolex-submariner-date) | 1 in 400 | $17K | 5.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Jordan 1 Retro High Dior (US 10) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-high-dior-us-10) | 1 in 333 | $13.4K | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Rolex Oyster Perpetual 41 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rolex-oyster-perpetual-41) | 1 in 294 | $11.6K | 5.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Jordan 1 Retro High Off-White Chicago (US 7) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-high-off-white-chicago-us-7) | 1 in 500 | $7,900 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Converse Chuck Taylor All Star Vulcanized Hi Off-White (US 11) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/converse-chuck-taylor-all-star-vulcanized-hi-off-white-us-11) | 1 in 222 | $6,109 | 3.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Louis Vuitton Onthego Monogram Giant GM Noir other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-onthego-monogram-giant-gm-noir) | 1 in 200 | $5,760 | 3.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Omega Seamaster Planet Ocean other](https://gambatracker.com/items/omega-seamaster-planet-ocean) | 1 in 200 | $5,300 | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Nike Air Force 1 Low Off-White MCA University Blue (US 11) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-air-force-1-low-off-white-mca-university-blue-us-11) | 1 in 200 | $3,960 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [1 oz American Gold Eagle Coin BU (Random Year) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-oz-american-gold-eagle-coin-bu-random-year) | 1 in 167 | $3,800 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Louis Vuitton x Supreme Pocket Organizer Epi Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-x-supreme-pocket-organizer-epi-red) | 1 in 167 | $3,480 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Gucci Soft Backpack GG Supreme Blue/Red Web Black/Grey other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gucci-soft-backpack-gg-supreme-blue-red-web-black-grey) | 1 in 200 | $3,120 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Louis Vuitton x Supreme Initiales Belt 40 MM Monogram Brown Gold other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-x-supreme-initiales-belt-40-mm-monogram-brown-gold) | 1 in 111 | $2,880 | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tudor Hydronaut 99090 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/tudor-hydronaut-99090) | 1 in 167 | $2,570 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Nike Air Max 90 Off-White (US Men's 7.5) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-air-max-90-off-white-us-mens-7-5) | 1 in 200 | $2,550 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [OFF-WHITE Rimowa See Through 47L Case - White other](https://gambatracker.com/items/off-white-rimowa-see-through-47l-case-white) | 1 in 167 | $2,453 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SAMSUNG Galaxy Z Fold 6 AI Cell Phone, 256GB, Navy other](https://gambatracker.com/items/samsung-galaxy-z-fold-6-ai-cell-phone-256gb-navy) | 1 in 167 | $2,330 | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [1 Kilo Silver Bar - PAMP Suisse (Serialized) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/1-kilo-silver-bar-pamp-suisse-serialized) | 1 in 111 | $1,600 | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SAMSUNG 55-Inch Class Neo QLED 4K other](https://gambatracker.com/items/samsung-55-inch-class-neo-qled-4k) | 1 in 111 | $1,375 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Dior Couture Bracelet Silver other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dior-couture-bracelet-silver) | 1 in 100 | $1,280 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Supreme Nike Leather Duffle Bag Red other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-nike-leather-duffle-bag-red) | 1 in 100 | $1,132 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Apple Watch Series 9 \[GPS + Cellular 41mm\] other](https://gambatracker.com/items/apple-watch-series-9-gps-cellular-41mm) | 1 in 100 | $800 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Nike Dunk Low Off-White University Red (US 9) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-dunk-low-off-white-university-red-us-9) | 1 in 100 | $796 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Swatch x Omega Bioceramic Moonswatch Mission To Moonphase Snoopy SO33W700 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/swatch-x-omega-bioceramic-moonswatch-mission-to-moonphase-snoopy-so33w700) | 1 in 20 | $502 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Burberry Classic Check Shirt Beige (US S) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/burberry-classic-check-shirt-beige-us-s) | 20.0% | $485 | 12.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Travis Scott x McDonald's Cj Smile Hoodie Brown (US L) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/travis-scott-x-mcdonalds-cj-smile-hoodie-brown-us-l) | 36.3% | $420 | 19.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [adidas Yeezy Boost 350 V2Slate (US 8) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/adidas-yeezy-boost-350-v2slate-us-8) | 25.0% | $270 | 8.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=the-one)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $884 | 89.50% | 26 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed other 100.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt