---
title: "The Rift case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "The Rift ($44.52) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 18 items with odds, observed 70.21% over 287 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/the-rift
rendered: 2026-11-12T09:09Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [The Rift](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/the-rift)

# [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · The Rift

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/the-rift?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/the-rift?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/the-rift) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/the-rift?window=all)

Price · $44.52

Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $39.84 from 18 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 70.21% · 287 openings, odds method

Variance · 5.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 75.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 14 openings · below min

7 days · 71.69% ±31.47 217 openings

30 days · 70.21% ±27.37 287 openings

since tracking started · 70.21% ±27.37 287 openings

-0.5% 95.3% 191.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/the-rift?window=24h) | 14 | 66.42% ±123.9 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/the-rift?window=7d) | 217 | 71.69% ±31.5 | −1.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/the-rift) | 287 | 70.21% ±27.4 | −1.4σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/the-rift?window=all) | 287 | 70.21% ±27.4 | −1.4σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 299 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Secretlab TITAN Evo - Jinx Regular other](https://gambatracker.com/items/secretlab-titan-evo-jinx-regular) | 1 in 200 | $795 | 10.0% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [Logitech G PRO Mechanical Gaming Keyboard - Official League of Legends other](https://gambatracker.com/items/logitech-g-pro-mechanical-gaming-keyboard-official-league-of-legends) | 1 in 100 | $756 | 19.0% | 2 | 3.0 | 0.67× |
| [Beast Kingdom League of Legends: Star Guardian Miss Fortune MC-073 Master Craft Statue other](https://gambatracker.com/items/beast-kingdom-league-of-legends-star-guardian-miss-fortune-mc-073-master-craft-statue) | 1 in 200 | $450 | 5.6% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [Infinity Studio x League of Legends The Ruined King Viego 1/6 Statue other](https://gambatracker.com/items/infinity-studio-x-league-of-legends-the-ruined-king-viego-1-6-statue) | 1 in 100 | $312 | 7.8% | 4 | 3.0 | 1.34× |
| [Logitech G Pro Wireless Gaming Mouse - League of Legends Edition other](https://gambatracker.com/items/logitech-g-pro-wireless-gaming-mouse-league-of-legends-edition) | 1 in 50 | $190 | 9.5% | 2 | 6.0 | 0.33× |
| [Logitech G PRO X Gaming Headset - Official League of Legends Edition other](https://gambatracker.com/items/logitech-g-pro-x-gaming-headset-official-league-of-legends-edition) | 1 in 100 | $165 | 4.1% | 2 | 3.0 | 0.67× |
| [League of Legends $100 Gift Card other](https://gambatracker.com/items/league-of-legends-100-gift-card) | 1 in 100 | $100 | 2.5% | 5 | 3.0 | 1.67× |
| [Poro Secretlab Memory Foam Lumbar Pillow - League of Legends Edition other](https://gambatracker.com/items/poro-secretlab-memory-foam-lumbar-pillow-league-of-legends-edition) | 1 in 33 | $72.00 | 5.4% | 12 | 9.0 | 1.34× |
| [Beast Kingdom League of Legends: Swift Scout Teemo EAA-114 Egg Attack Action Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/beast-kingdom-league-of-legends-swift-scout-teemo-eaa-114-egg-attack-action-figure) | 1 in 33 | $72.00 | 5.4% | 8 | 9.0 | 0.89× |
| [Arcane: League of Legends - Season One - Limited Edition Steelbook 4K Ultra HD + Blu-ray \[4K UHD\] other](https://gambatracker.com/items/arcane-league-of-legends-season-one-limited-edition-steelbook-4k-ultra-hd-blu-ray-4k-uhd) | 1 in 50 | $66.00 | 3.3% | 9 | 6.0 | 1.51× |
| [League of Legends $50 Gift Card other](https://gambatracker.com/items/league-of-legends-50-gift-card) | 1 in 20 | $50.00 | 6.3% | 19 | 15.0 | 1.27× |
| [League of Legends, Official 8.5-Inch Blitzcrank Collectible Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/league-of-legends-official-8-5-inch-blitzcrank-collectible-figure) | 1 in 20 | $48.00 | 6.0% | 13 | 15.0 | 0.87× |
| [League of Legends $25 Gift Card other](https://gambatracker.com/items/league-of-legends-25-gift-card) | 1 in 20 | $25.00 | 3.1% | 18 | 15.0 | 1.20× |
| [League Players Jng Diff Legends Jungle Diff T-Shirt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/league-players-jng-diff-legends-jungle-diff-t-shirt) | 1 in 20 | $19.00 | 2.4% | 9 | 15.0 | 0.60× |
| [Funko Pop! Games: League of Legends - Ahri other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-games-league-of-legends-ahri) | 1 in 20 | $15.00 | 1.9% | 12 | 15.0 | 0.80× |
| [League of Legends $10 Gift Card other](https://gambatracker.com/items/league-of-legends-10-gift-card) | 10.0% | $10.00 | 2.5% | 26 | 29.9 | 0.87× |
| [Akali Premium Collectible Action Figure with Base other](https://gambatracker.com/items/akali-premium-collectible-action-figure-with-base) | 20.0% | $8.50 | 4.3% | 61 | 59.8 | 1.02× |
| [Kindred Necklace other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kindred-necklace) | 30.0% | $1.00 | 0.8% | 97 | 89.7 | 1.08× |

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 12 Nov, 03:04 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Logitech G PRO Mechanical Gaming Keyboard - Official League of Legends other](https://gambatracker.com/items/logitech-g-pro-mechanical-gaming-keyboard-official-league-of-legends) Hidden $44.52 $756 16.98x 2026-11-11 00:07 UTC

[Logitech G PRO Mechanical Gaming Keyboard - Official League of Legends other](https://gambatracker.com/items/logitech-g-pro-mechanical-gaming-keyboard-official-league-of-legends) Hidden $44.52 $756 16.98x 2026-11-11 00:06 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=the-rift)

[Kindred Necklace other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kindred-necklace) Hidden $44.52 $1.00 0.02x 2026-11-12 03:35 UTC

[League of Legends $100 Gift Card other](https://gambatracker.com/items/league-of-legends-100-gift-card) Hidden $44.52 $100 2.25x 2026-11-12 03:35 UTC

[Beast Kingdom League of Legends: Swift Scout Teemo EAA-114 Egg Attack Action Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/beast-kingdom-league-of-legends-swift-scout-teemo-eaa-114-egg-attack-action-figure) Hidden $44.52 $72.00 1.62x 2026-11-12 03:35 UTC

[Poro Secretlab Memory Foam Lumbar Pillow - League of Legends Edition other](https://gambatracker.com/items/poro-secretlab-memory-foam-lumbar-pillow-league-of-legends-edition) [Witty Grizzly](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Witty%20Grizzly) $44.52 $72.00 1.62x 2026-11-12 03:35 UTC

[Akali Premium Collectible Action Figure with Base other](https://gambatracker.com/items/akali-premium-collectible-action-figure-with-base) Hidden $44.52 $8.50 0.19x 2026-11-11 18:23 UTC

[Kindred Necklace other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kindred-necklace) Hidden $44.52 $1.00 0.02x 2026-11-11 18:23 UTC

[League of Legends $50 Gift Card other](https://gambatracker.com/items/league-of-legends-50-gift-card) Hidden $44.52 $50.00 1.12x 2026-11-11 18:23 UTC

[Kindred Necklace other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kindred-necklace) [Kvid21](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Kvid21) $44.52 $1.00 0.02x 2026-11-11 18:23 UTC

[League of Legends $25 Gift Card other](https://gambatracker.com/items/league-of-legends-25-gift-card) Hidden $44.52 $25.00 0.56x 2026-11-11 17:48 UTC

[Akali Premium Collectible Action Figure with Base other](https://gambatracker.com/items/akali-premium-collectible-action-figure-with-base) Hidden $44.52 $8.50 0.19x 2026-11-11 17:48 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $44.52 | 89.50% | 18 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed other 100.0% best hit $756 (16.98x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt