---
title: "Through the Years case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Through the Years ($0.40) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.74% from 9 items with odds, observed 88.98% over 4,062 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/through-the-years
rendered: 2026-11-11T23:00Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Through the Years](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/through-the-years)

# [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Through the Years

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/through-the-years?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/through-the-years?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/through-the-years) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/through-the-years?window=all)

Price · $0.40

Advertised RTP · 88.74% · EV $0.35 from 9 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 88.98% · 4,062 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 18.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 72.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 73.22% ±16.81 213 openings

7 days · 88.84% ±4.30 3,255 openings

30 days · 88.98% ±3.85 4,062 openings

since tracking started · 88.98% ±3.85 4,062 openings

56.0% 75.0% 94.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/through-the-years?window=24h) | 213 | 73.22% ±16.8 | −1.8σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/through-the-years?window=7d) | 3,255 | 88.84% ±4.30 | +0.0σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/through-the-years) | 4,062 | 88.98% ±3.85 | +0.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/through-the-years?window=all) | 4,062 | 88.98% ±3.85 | +0.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items and odds · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,062 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [2025 New Years Glasses other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2025-new-years-glasses) | 1 in 40 | $1.82 | 12.8% | 104 | 101.6 | 1.02× |
| [2024 New Years Glasses other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2024-new-years-glasses) | 1 in 33 | $1.66 | 14.0% | 115 | 121.9 | 0.94× |
| [2023 New Years Glasses other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2023-new-years-glasses) | 1 in 20 | $1.32 | 18.6% | 218 | 203.1 | 1.07× |
| [2020 New Years Glasses other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2020-new-years-glasses) | 1 in 13 | $1.05 | 22.2% | 301 | 304.6 | 0.99× |
| [2019 New Years Glasses other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2019-new-years-glasses) | 10.0% | $0.51 | 14.4% | 409 | 406.2 | 1.01× |
| [2018 New Years Glasses other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2018-new-years-glasses) | 10.0% | $0.37 | 10.4% | 390 | 406.2 | 0.96× |
| [2016 New Years Glasses other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2016-new-years-glasses) | 15.0% | $0.09 | 3.8% | 595 | 609.3 | 0.98× |
| [2010 New Years Glasses other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2010-new-years-glasses) | 20.0% | $0.04 | 2.3% | 832 | 812.4 | 1.02× |
| [2009 New Years Glasses other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2009-new-years-glasses) | 27.0% | $0.02 | 1.5% | 1,098 | 1096.7 | 1.00× |

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=through-the-years)

[2009 New Years Glasses other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2009-new-years-glasses) [Cle\*\*\*ger](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Cle***ger-8437074) $0.40 $0.02 0.05x 2026-11-11 22:18 UTC

[2025 New Years Glasses other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2025-new-years-glasses) [Cle\*\*\*ger](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Cle***ger-8437074) $0.40 $1.82 4.55x 2026-11-11 22:18 UTC

[2018 New Years Glasses other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2018-new-years-glasses) [Cle\*\*\*ger](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Cle***ger-8437074) $0.40 $0.37 0.92x 2026-11-11 22:18 UTC

[2009 New Years Glasses other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2009-new-years-glasses) Hidden $0.40 $0.02 0.05x 2026-11-11 19:47 UTC

[2010 New Years Glasses other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2010-new-years-glasses) Hidden $0.40 $0.04 0.10x 2026-11-11 19:47 UTC

[2009 New Years Glasses other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2009-new-years-glasses) Hidden $0.40 $0.02 0.05x 2026-11-11 19:47 UTC

[2010 New Years Glasses other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2010-new-years-glasses) [Inithard](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Inithard) $0.40 $0.04 0.10x 2026-11-11 19:47 UTC

[2009 New Years Glasses other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2009-new-years-glasses) Hidden $0.40 $0.02 0.05x 2026-11-11 19:24 UTC

[2020 New Years Glasses other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2020-new-years-glasses) Hidden $0.40 $1.05 2.63x 2026-11-11 19:24 UTC

[2020 New Years Glasses other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2020-new-years-glasses) [rwang300@gmail.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/rwang300%40gmail.com) $0.40 $1.05 2.63x 2026-11-11 19:24 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $0.40 | 88.74% | 9 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed other 100.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.74 on average: an expected loss of $11.26 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
