--- title: "Tiny Terror case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Tiny Terror ($22.16) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.48% from 18 items with odds, observed 114.28% over 273 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/tiny-terror rendered: 2026-11-11T20:39Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Tiny Terror](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/tiny-terror) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Tiny Terror A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/tiny-terror?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/tiny-terror?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/tiny-terror) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/tiny-terror?window=all) Price · $22.16 Advertised RTP · 89.48% · EV $19.83 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 114.28% · 273 openings, odds method Variance · 2.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 12.8% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 72.7% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 12 openings · below min 7 days · 103.31% ±24.67 181 openings 30 days · 114.28% ±20.08 273 openings since tracking started · 114.28% ±20.08 273 openings 32.5% 128.8% 225.0% **Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 89.48% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (94.19% – 134.36%, 273 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/tiny-terror?window=24h) | 12 | 128.80% ±95.8 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/tiny-terror?window=7d) | 181 | 103.31% ±24.7 | +1.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/tiny-terror) | 273 | 114.28% ±20.1 | +2.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/tiny-terror?window=all) | 273 | 114.28% ±20.1 | +2.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 273 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Haunted Hill Farm 7-Ft. Tall Rotting Reaper other](https://gambatracker.com/items/haunted-hill-farm-7-ft-tall-rotting-reaper) | 1 in 133 | $375 | 14.2% | 6 | 2.0 | 2.93× | | [Skeleton Playing Banjo Halloween Decoration other](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-playing-banjo-halloween-decoration) | 1 in 50 | $90.00 | 9.1% | 5 | 5.5 | 0.92× | | [Freddy Krueger Mask other](https://gambatracker.com/items/freddy-krueger-mask) | 1 in 40 | $74.00 | 9.3% | 6 | 6.8 | 0.88× | | [Skull Jewelry Organizer & Key Holder other](https://gambatracker.com/items/skull-jewelry-organizer-and-key-holder) | 1 in 50 | $71.00 | 7.2% | 6 | 5.5 | 1.10× | | [Joiedomi 5 FT Tall Halloween Inflatable Ghost other](https://gambatracker.com/items/joiedomi-5-ft-tall-halloween-inflatable-ghost) | 1 in 40 | $64.00 | 8.1% | 8 | 6.8 | 1.17× | | [Fog Machine other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fog-machine) | 1 in 33 | $45.00 | 6.8% | 8 | 8.2 | 0.98× | | [JOYIN 47” Hanging Animated Witch Halloween other](https://gambatracker.com/items/joyin-47-hanging-animated-witch-halloween) | 1 in 29 | $35.00 | 6.2% | 15 | 9.6 | 1.57× | | [Halloween Animatronics Crawling Zombie Hand other](https://gambatracker.com/items/halloween-animatronics-crawling-zombie-hand) | 1 in 29 | $32.00 | 5.6% | 9 | 9.6 | 0.94× | | [Halloween Animated Candy Bowl other](https://gambatracker.com/items/halloween-animated-candy-bowl) | 1 in 29 | $30.00 | 5.3% | 9 | 9.6 | 0.94× | | [Halloween Skeleton Hand Wine Glass other](https://gambatracker.com/items/halloween-skeleton-hand-wine-glass) | 1 in 25 | $24.00 | 4.8% | 8 | 10.9 | 0.73× | | [Spider Web Mat other](https://gambatracker.com/items/spider-web-mat) | 1 in 25 | $21.00 | 4.2% | 10 | 10.9 | 0.92× | | [2 Pack Plastic Jack O Lantern Pumpkins other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2-pack-plastic-jack-o-lantern-pumpkins) | 1 in 20 | $15.00 | 3.8% | 12 | 13.7 | 0.88× | | [17” Halloween Foam RIP Graveyard Tombstone other](https://gambatracker.com/items/17-halloween-foam-rip-graveyard-tombstone) | 1 in 20 | $12.20 | 3.1% | 14 | 13.7 | 1.03× | | [Spooky Tealight Candle Holder other](https://gambatracker.com/items/spooky-tealight-candle-holder) | 1 in 20 | $10.00 | 2.5% | 12 | 13.7 | 0.88× | | [Halloween Sup Witches Welcome Mat other](https://gambatracker.com/items/halloween-sup-witches-welcome-mat) | 1 in 17 | $7.50 | 2.3% | 14 | 16.4 | 0.85× | | [Bats Wall Decor other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bats-wall-decor) | 10.0% | $5.00 | 2.5% | 28 | 27.3 | 1.03× | | [Blood Stickers Halloween Decoration other](https://gambatracker.com/items/blood-stickers-halloween-decoration) | 15.8% | $3.50 | 2.8% | 43 | 43.0 | 1.00× | | [Halloween Skull Doorbell other](https://gambatracker.com/items/halloween-skull-doorbell) | 22.0% | $2.00 | 2.2% | 60 | 60.1 | 1.00× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=tiny-terror) [Skull Jewelry Organizer & Key Holder other](https://gambatracker.com/items/skull-jewelry-organizer-and-key-holder) Hidden $22.16 $71.00 3.20x 2026-11-11 08:21 UTC [Halloween Skeleton Hand Wine Glass other](https://gambatracker.com/items/halloween-skeleton-hand-wine-glass) Hidden $22.16 $24.00 1.08x 2026-11-11 08:21 UTC [Freddy Krueger Mask other](https://gambatracker.com/items/freddy-krueger-mask) Hidden $22.16 $74.00 3.34x 2026-11-11 08:21 UTC [JOYIN 47” Hanging Animated Witch Halloween other](https://gambatracker.com/items/joyin-47-hanging-animated-witch-halloween) Hidden $22.16 $35.00 1.58x 2026-11-11 08:21 UTC [Fog Machine other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fog-machine) Hidden $22.16 $45.00 2.03x 2026-11-11 08:21 UTC [Halloween Sup Witches Welcome Mat other](https://gambatracker.com/items/halloween-sup-witches-welcome-mat) [Vaniooo](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Vaniooo) $22.16 $7.50 0.34x 2026-11-11 08:21 UTC [Spooky Tealight Candle Holder other](https://gambatracker.com/items/spooky-tealight-candle-holder) Hidden $22.16 $10.00 0.45x 2026-11-11 08:19 UTC [Halloween Sup Witches Welcome Mat other](https://gambatracker.com/items/halloween-sup-witches-welcome-mat) Hidden $22.16 $7.50 0.34x 2026-11-11 08:19 UTC [Halloween Animatronics Crawling Zombie Hand other](https://gambatracker.com/items/halloween-animatronics-crawling-zombie-hand) Hidden $22.16 $32.00 1.44x 2026-11-11 08:19 UTC [Halloween Sup Witches Welcome Mat other](https://gambatracker.com/items/halloween-sup-witches-welcome-mat) Hidden $22.16 $7.50 0.34x 2026-11-11 08:19 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $22.16 | 89.48% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.48 on average: an expected loss of $10.52 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt