--- title: "Toolbox case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Toolbox ($5.53) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.36% from 18 items with odds, observed 94.84% over 804 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/toolbox rendered: 2026-11-11T13:19Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Toolbox](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/toolbox) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Toolbox A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/toolbox?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/toolbox?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/toolbox) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/toolbox?window=all) Price · $5.53 Advertised RTP · 89.36% · EV $4.94 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 94.84% · 804 openings, odds method Variance · 1.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 12.8% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 71.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 34 openings · below min 7 days · 95.99% ±9.88 709 openings 30 days · 94.84% ±9.28 804 openings since tracking started · 94.84% ±9.28 804 openings 62.5% 108.5% 154.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/toolbox?window=24h) | 34 | 108.48% ±45.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/toolbox?window=7d) | 709 | 95.99% ±9.88 | +1.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/toolbox) | 804 | 94.84% ±9.28 | +1.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/toolbox?window=all) | 804 | 94.84% ±9.28 | +1.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 804 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [DEWALT FlexTorq 100-Piece Impact Driver Bit Set other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dewalt-flextorq-100-piece-impact-driver-bit-set) | 1 in 133 | $57.00 | 8.7% | 4 | 6.0 | 0.66× | | [IRWIN VISE-GRIP Pipe Wrench other](https://gambatracker.com/items/irwin-vise-grip-pipe-wrench) | 1 in 67 | $27.99 | 8.5% | 18 | 12.1 | 1.49× | | [Amazon Basics Folding Utility Knife other](https://gambatracker.com/items/amazon-basics-folding-utility-knife) | 1 in 40 | $17.90 | 9.1% | 22 | 20.1 | 1.09× | | [WORKPRO 12 Inch Torpedo Level other](https://gambatracker.com/items/workpro-12-inch-torpedo-level) | 1 in 40 | $16.00 | 8.1% | 26 | 20.1 | 1.29× | | [Needle-Nose Pliers other](https://gambatracker.com/items/needle-nose-pliers) | 1 in 40 | $15.25 | 7.7% | 21 | 20.1 | 1.04× | | [DURATECH 3/8-Inch Drive Ratchet other](https://gambatracker.com/items/duratech-3-8-inch-drive-ratchet) | 1 in 33 | $14.00 | 8.5% | 21 | 24.1 | 0.87× | | [Wire Strippers other](https://gambatracker.com/items/wire-strippers) | 1 in 33 | $12.00 | 7.3% | 27 | 24.1 | 1.12× | | [Safety Work Gloves other](https://gambatracker.com/items/safety-work-gloves) | 1 in 31 | $11.00 | 7.2% | 27 | 26.1 | 1.03× | | [Claw Hammer With fiberglass Handle other](https://gambatracker.com/items/claw-hammer-with-fiberglass-handle) | 1 in 20 | $8.10 | 8.2% | 50 | 40.2 | 1.24× | | [Measuring Tape other](https://gambatracker.com/items/measuring-tape) | 1 in 20 | $7.70 | 7.8% | 36 | 40.2 | 0.90× | | [Voltage Tester other](https://gambatracker.com/items/voltage-tester) | 1 in 17 | $5.00 | 6.1% | 50 | 48.2 | 1.04× | | [Duct Tape other](https://gambatracker.com/items/duct-tape) | 1 in 14 | $3.40 | 4.8% | 56 | 56.3 | 1.00× | | [Magnetic Wristband other](https://gambatracker.com/items/magnetic-wristband) | 1 in 13 | $2.10 | 3.4% | 65 | 64.3 | 1.01× | | [Carpenters Pencil other](https://gambatracker.com/items/carpenters-pencil) | 10.0% | $1.00 | 2.0% | 90 | 80.4 | 1.12× | | [Allen Wrench other](https://gambatracker.com/items/allen-wrench) | 10.0% | $0.80 | 1.6% | 69 | 80.4 | 0.86× | | [Pile of Screws other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pile-of-screws) | 10.0% | $0.40 | 0.8% | 66 | 80.4 | 0.82× | | [Proto 3/8" Drive 12 Point 10mm Socket other](https://gambatracker.com/items/proto-3-8-drive-12-point-10mm-socket) | 10.0% | $0.10 | 0.2% | 76 | 80.4 | 0.95× | | [Singular Heavy Duty Zip Tie other](https://gambatracker.com/items/singular-heavy-duty-zip-tie) | 10.0% | $0.02 | 0.0% | 80 | 80.4 | 1.00× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 08:49 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=toolbox) [Allen Wrench other](https://gambatracker.com/items/allen-wrench) Hidden $5.53 $0.80 0.14x 2026-11-11 09:48 UTC [Magnetic Wristband other](https://gambatracker.com/items/magnetic-wristband) Hidden $5.53 $2.10 0.38x 2026-11-11 09:48 UTC [Pile of Screws other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pile-of-screws) Hidden $5.53 $0.40 0.07x 2026-11-11 09:48 UTC [Claw Hammer With fiberglass Handle other](https://gambatracker.com/items/claw-hammer-with-fiberglass-handle) [Majestic Unicorn](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Majestic%20Unicorn) $5.53 $8.10 1.46x 2026-11-11 09:48 UTC [Pile of Screws other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pile-of-screws) Hidden $5.53 $0.40 0.07x 2026-11-11 09:16 UTC [Claw Hammer With fiberglass Handle other](https://gambatracker.com/items/claw-hammer-with-fiberglass-handle) Hidden $5.53 $8.10 1.46x 2026-11-11 09:16 UTC [Carpenters Pencil other](https://gambatracker.com/items/carpenters-pencil) Hidden $5.53 $1.00 0.18x 2026-11-11 09:16 UTC [Allen Wrench other](https://gambatracker.com/items/allen-wrench) [Majestic Unicorn](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Majestic%20Unicorn) $5.53 $0.80 0.14x 2026-11-11 09:16 UTC [IRWIN VISE-GRIP Pipe Wrench other](https://gambatracker.com/items/irwin-vise-grip-pipe-wrench) Hidden $5.53 $27.99 5.06x 2026-11-11 08:32 UTC [Carpenters Pencil other](https://gambatracker.com/items/carpenters-pencil) Hidden $5.53 $1.00 0.18x 2026-11-11 08:32 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $5.53 | 89.36% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.36 on average: an expected loss of $10.64 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt