--- title: "Trader Case case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Trader Case ($3.27) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 48.17% over 114 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/trader-case rendered: 2026-11-11T20:46Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Trader Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/trader-case) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Trader Case A box on Cases.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/trader-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/trader-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/trader-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/trader-case?window=all) Price · $3.27 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 48.17% · 114 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 102 openings · below min 30 days · 114 openings · below min since tracking started · 114 openings · below min 21.5% 52.3% 83.0% **Small sample.** 114 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/trader-case?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/trader-case?window=7d) | 102 | 53.39% ±28.8 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/trader-case) | 114 | 48.17% ±25.9 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/trader-case?window=all) | 114 | 48.17% ±25.9 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · none published **No catalog** Cases.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=trader-case) [Smart Guard Cardboard Toploader other](https://gambatracker.com/items/smart-guard-cardboard-toploader) Hidden $3.27 $0.08 0.02x 2026-11-10 16:31 UTC [Smart Guard Cardboard Toploader other](https://gambatracker.com/items/smart-guard-cardboard-toploader) Hidden $3.27 $0.08 0.02x 2026-11-10 16:31 UTC [Smart Guard Cardboard Toploader other](https://gambatracker.com/items/smart-guard-cardboard-toploader) Hidden $3.27 $0.08 0.02x 2026-11-10 16:31 UTC [Smart Guard Cardboard Toploader other](https://gambatracker.com/items/smart-guard-cardboard-toploader) Hidden $3.27 $0.08 0.02x 2026-11-10 16:31 UTC [Smart Guard Cardboard Toploader other](https://gambatracker.com/items/smart-guard-cardboard-toploader) Hidden $3.27 $0.08 0.02x 2026-11-10 16:31 UTC [Smart Guard Cardboard Toploader other](https://gambatracker.com/items/smart-guard-cardboard-toploader) [jza](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/jza) $3.27 $0.08 0.02x 2026-11-10 16:31 UTC [Smart Guard Cardboard Toploader other](https://gambatracker.com/items/smart-guard-cardboard-toploader) Hidden $3.27 $0.08 0.02x 2026-11-10 16:29 UTC [Smart Guard Cardboard Toploader other](https://gambatracker.com/items/smart-guard-cardboard-toploader) Hidden $3.27 $0.08 0.02x 2026-11-10 16:29 UTC [Smart Guard Cardboard Toploader other](https://gambatracker.com/items/smart-guard-cardboard-toploader) Hidden $3.27 $0.08 0.02x 2026-11-10 16:29 UTC [Smart Guard Cardboard Toploader other](https://gambatracker.com/items/smart-guard-cardboard-toploader) Hidden $3.27 $0.08 0.02x 2026-11-10 16:29 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 48.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $48.17 on average: an expected loss of $51.83 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt