---
title: "Urban Enigma case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Urban Enigma ($5.06) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.38% from 18 items with odds, observed 44.39% over 4,259 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/urban-enigma
rendered: 2026-11-11T22:06Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Urban Enigma](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/urban-enigma)

# [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Urban Enigma

A box on Cases.gg (Shoes), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/urban-enigma?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/urban-enigma?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/urban-enigma) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/urban-enigma?window=all)

Price · $5.06

Advertised RTP · 89.38% · EV $4.52 from 18 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 44.39% · 4,259 openings, odds method

Variance · 1421.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 5,000 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 99.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 487 openings · below min

7 days · 3,542 openings · below min

30 days · 4,259 openings · below min

since tracking started · 4,259 openings · below min

-0.5% 192.3% 385.0%

**Small sample.** 4,259 openings and 0.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/urban-enigma?window=24h) | 487 | 49.32% ±334.8 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/urban-enigma?window=7d) | 3,542 | 43.99% ±124.1 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/urban-enigma) | 4,259 | 44.39% ±113.2 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/urban-enigma?window=all) | 4,259 | 44.39% ±113.2 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,259 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Nike Air Yeezy 2 Red October (US 10) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-air-yeezy-2-red-october-us-10) | 1 in 10,000 | $17.6K | 39.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [Louis Vuitton Nike Air Force 1 Low By Virgil Abloh White Red (US 8) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-nike-air-force-1-low-by-virgil-abloh-white-red-us-8) | 1 in 10,000 | $6,360 | 14.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [Gucci Basket Low-Top Sneaker Yellow Pink Blue (US 9.5) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gucci-basket-low-top-sneaker-yellow-pink-blue-us-9-5) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,716 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [Balenciaga Triple S Black (2019) (US 10) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/balenciaga-triple-s-black-2019-us-10) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,500 | 3.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [Balenciaga Speed Trainer Black White (2021) (US 13) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/balenciaga-speed-trainer-black-white-2021-us-13) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,070 | 2.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [Nike Blazer Mid Off-White All Hallow's Eve (US 7) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-blazer-mid-off-white-all-hallows-eve-us-7) | 1 in 5,000 | $821 | 3.6% | 2 | 0.9 | — |
| [OFF-WHITE Odsy-1000 White/SIlver SS21 (US M 7) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/off-white-odsy-1000-white-silver-ss21-us-m-7) | 1 in 2,500 | $760 | 6.7% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.59× |
| [Converse Chuck Taylor All Star 70 Hi Off-White (US 11.5) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/converse-chuck-taylor-all-star-70-hi-off-white-us-11-5) | 1 in 5,000 | $694 | 3.1% | 2 | 0.9 | — |
| [Jordan 1 Retro High OG SP Utility White Black (US 9) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-high-og-sp-utility-white-black-us-9) | 1 in 1,250 | $250 | 4.4% | 7 | 3.4 | 2.05× |
| [Jordan 1 Retro High OG Light Fusion Red (US 7) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jordan-1-retro-high-og-light-fusion-red-us-7) | 1 in 1,429 | $225 | 3.5% | 5 | 3.0 | 1.68× |
| [adidas Yeezy Boost 350 V2Carbon Beluga (US 10) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/adidas-yeezy-boost-350-v2carbon-beluga-us-10) | 1 in 2,000 | $195 | 2.2% | 4 | 2.1 | 1.88× |
| [adidas Yeezy Foam RNNR Sand (US 10) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/adidas-yeezy-foam-rnnr-sand-us-10) | 1 in 1,429 | $150 | 2.3% | 2 | 3.0 | 0.67× |
| [Nike Air Force 1 Low '07 LV8 Split Black Phantom (US 9) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-air-force-1-low-07-lv8-split-black-phantom-us-9) | 1 in 1,111 | $135 | 2.7% | 3 | 3.8 | 0.78× |
| [Nike Air Force 1 Low '07 Patent Platinum Tint Stadium Green (US 9) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-air-force-1-low-07-patent-platinum-tint-stadium-green-us-9) | 1 in 1,000 | $77.00 | 1.7% | 1 | 4.3 | 0.23× |
| [adidas NMD R1 Trail Guardians of the Galaxy Groot (US Men's 4.5) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/adidas-nmd-r1-trail-guardians-of-the-galaxy-groot-us-mens-4-5) | 1 in 1,000 | $72.00 | 1.6% | 3 | 4.3 | 0.70× |
| [Yeezy 350 Boost Zebra Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/yeezy-350-boost-zebra-sticker) | 20.0% | $1.00 | 4.4% | 884 | 851.8 | 1.04× |
| [Yeezy Boost Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/yeezy-boost-sticker) | 34.0% | $0.10 | 0.8% | 1,444 | 1448.1 | 1.00× |
| [$0.05 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-05-voucher) | 45.3% | $0.05 | 0.5% | 1,901 | 1929.8 | 0.99× |

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Nike Blazer Mid Off-White All Hallow's Eve (US 7) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-blazer-mid-off-white-all-hallows-eve-us-7) [SavagePlays](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/SavagePlays) $5.06 $821 162.3x 2026-11-11 11:01 UTC

[Nike Blazer Mid Off-White All Hallow's Eve (US 7) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/nike-blazer-mid-off-white-all-hallows-eve-us-7) Hidden $5.06 $821 162.3x 2026-11-03 19:58 UTC

[OFF-WHITE Odsy-1000 White/SIlver SS21 (US M 7) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/off-white-odsy-1000-white-silver-ss21-us-m-7) Hidden $5.06 $760 150.2x 2026-11-09 16:40 UTC

[Converse Chuck Taylor All Star 70 Hi Off-White (US 11.5) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/converse-chuck-taylor-all-star-70-hi-off-white-us-11-5) Hidden $5.06 $694 137.2x 2026-11-05 22:24 UTC

[Converse Chuck Taylor All Star 70 Hi Off-White (US 11.5) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/converse-chuck-taylor-all-star-70-hi-off-white-us-11-5) Hidden $5.06 $694 137.2x 2026-11-05 22:03 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=urban-enigma)

[Yeezy 350 Boost Zebra Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/yeezy-350-boost-zebra-sticker) Hidden $5.06 $1.00 0.20x 2026-11-11 21:34 UTC

[Yeezy 350 Boost Zebra Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/yeezy-350-boost-zebra-sticker) Hidden $5.06 $1.00 0.20x 2026-11-11 21:34 UTC

[Yeezy Boost Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/yeezy-boost-sticker) Hidden $5.06 $0.10 0.02x 2026-11-11 21:34 UTC

[$0.05 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-05-voucher) Hidden $5.06 $0.05 0.01x 2026-11-11 21:34 UTC

[$0.05 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-05-voucher) Hidden $5.06 $0.05 0.01x 2026-11-11 21:34 UTC

[$0.05 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-05-voucher) [SickWhit95\_CodeDGN](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/SickWhit95_CodeDGN) $5.06 $0.05 0.01x 2026-11-11 21:34 UTC

[Yeezy Boost Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/yeezy-boost-sticker) Hidden $5.06 $0.10 0.02x 2026-11-11 21:34 UTC

[adidas Yeezy Boost 350 V2Carbon Beluga (US 10) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/adidas-yeezy-boost-350-v2carbon-beluga-us-10) Hidden $5.06 $195 38.54x 2026-11-11 21:34 UTC

[Yeezy 350 Boost Zebra Sticker other](https://gambatracker.com/items/yeezy-350-boost-zebra-sticker) Hidden $5.06 $1.00 0.20x 2026-11-11 21:34 UTC

[$0.05 Voucher other](https://gambatracker.com/items/0-05-voucher) Hidden $5.06 $0.05 0.01x 2026-11-11 21:34 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $5.06 | 89.38% | 18 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed other 100.0% best hit $821 (162.3x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.38 on average: an expected loss of $10.62 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt