--- title: "Vibe Out case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Vibe Out ($147.52) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 18 items with odds, observed 81.12% over 54 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/vibe-out rendered: 2026-11-11T19:03Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Vibe Out](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/vibe-out) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Vibe Out A box on Cases.gg (Technology), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/vibe-out?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/vibe-out?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/vibe-out) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/vibe-out?window=all) Price · $147.52 Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $132.03 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 81.12% · 54 openings, odds method Variance · 3.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 42 openings · below min 30 days · 54 openings · below min since tracking started · 54 openings · below min 8.5% 71.3% 134.0% **Small sample.** 54 openings and 4.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/vibe-out?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/vibe-out?window=7d) | 42 | 68.37% ±59.0 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/vibe-out) | 54 | 81.12% ±52.1 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/vibe-out?window=all) | 54 | 81.12% ±52.1 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 54 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sennheiser HD 800 S Over-the-Ear Audiophile Reference Headphones other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sennheiser-hd-800-s-over-the-ear-audiophile-reference-headphones) | 1 in 100 | $2,400 | 18.2% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [Sonos Arc - Black - Soundbar other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sonos-arc-black-soundbar) | 1 in 100 | $990 | 7.5% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [Sonos Beam Gen 2 - Black - Soundbar other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sonos-beam-gen-2-black-soundbar) | 1 in 100 | $588 | 4.5% | 2 | 0.5 | — | | [Klipsch R-100SW 10" Subwoofer other](https://gambatracker.com/items/klipsch-r-100sw-10-subwoofer) | 1 in 20 | $564 | 21.4% | 6 | 2.7 | 2.22× | | [Bose QuietComfort Ultra Wireless Noise Cancelling Headphones other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bose-quietcomfort-ultra-wireless-noise-cancelling-headphones) | 1 in 50 | $535 | 8.1% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× | | [Sony WH-1000XM4 Wireless Premium Noise Canceling Overhead Headphones - Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-wh-1000xm4-wireless-premium-noise-canceling-overhead-headphones-black) | 1 in 40 | $380 | 7.2% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× | | [VIZIO 5.1 Soundbar SE, Wireless Subwoofer other](https://gambatracker.com/items/vizio-5-1-soundbar-se-wireless-subwoofer) | 1 in 40 | $200 | 3.8% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.74× | | [Soundcore by Anker Space Q45 Adaptive Active Noise Cancelling Headphones other](https://gambatracker.com/items/soundcore-by-anker-space-q45-adaptive-active-noise-cancelling-headphones) | 1 in 20 | $135 | 5.1% | 1 | 2.7 | 0.37× | | [JBL FLIP 5 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jbl-flip-5) | 1 in 20 | $130 | 4.9% | 1 | 2.7 | 0.37× | | [KICKER CS Series CSC68 6 x 8 Inch Car Audio System Speaker, Black (2 Pack) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kicker-cs-series-csc68-6-x-8-inch-car-audio-system-speaker-black-2-pack) | 1 in 20 | $90.00 | 3.4% | 3 | 2.7 | 1.11× | | [Soundcore by Anker Life Q30 Hybrid Active Noise Cancelling Headphones other](https://gambatracker.com/items/soundcore-by-anker-life-q30-hybrid-active-noise-cancelling-headphones) | 1 in 20 | $87.99 | 3.3% | 2 | 2.7 | 0.74× | | [HyperX SoloCast other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hyperx-solocast) | 1 in 20 | $80.00 | 3.0% | 3 | 2.7 | 1.11× | | [Anker Soundcore 2 Portable Bluetooth Speaker with 12W Stereo Sound other](https://gambatracker.com/items/anker-soundcore-2-portable-bluetooth-speaker-with-12w-stereo-sound) | 1 in 13 | $50.00 | 2.8% | 4 | 4.1 | 0.99× | | [JBL Vibe Buds - True Wireless Earbuds other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jbl-vibe-buds-true-wireless-earbuds) | 1 in 13 | $31.00 | 1.8% | 5 | 4.1 | 1.23× | | [Amazon Basics Computer Speakers other](https://gambatracker.com/items/amazon-basics-computer-speakers) | 10.0% | $24.00 | 1.8% | 5 | 5.4 | 0.93× | | [Apple EarPods Headphones with 3.5mm Plug other](https://gambatracker.com/items/apple-earpods-headphones-with-3-5mm-plug) | 10.0% | $18.99 | 1.4% | 8 | 5.4 | 1.48× | | [Logitech S150 USB Speakers other](https://gambatracker.com/items/logitech-s150-usb-speakers) | 10.0% | $12.00 | 0.9% | 6 | 5.4 | 1.11× | | [Sony MDREX15LP in-Ear Earbud Headphones other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-mdrex15lp-in-ear-earbud-headphones) | 15.0% | $7.49 | 0.9% | 7 | 8.1 | 0.86× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sonos Beam Gen 2 - Black - Soundbar other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sonos-beam-gen-2-black-soundbar) Hidden $148 $588 3.99x 2026-11-10 06:12 UTC [Sonos Beam Gen 2 - Black - Soundbar other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sonos-beam-gen-2-black-soundbar) Hidden $148 $588 3.99x 2026-11-03 19:46 UTC [Klipsch R-100SW 10" Subwoofer other](https://gambatracker.com/items/klipsch-r-100sw-10-subwoofer) Hidden $148 $564 3.82x 2026-11-10 06:45 UTC [Klipsch R-100SW 10" Subwoofer other](https://gambatracker.com/items/klipsch-r-100sw-10-subwoofer) Hidden $148 $564 3.82x 2026-11-10 06:37 UTC [Klipsch R-100SW 10" Subwoofer other](https://gambatracker.com/items/klipsch-r-100sw-10-subwoofer) Hidden $148 $564 3.82x 2026-11-10 06:35 UTC [Klipsch R-100SW 10" Subwoofer other](https://gambatracker.com/items/klipsch-r-100sw-10-subwoofer) [USE CODE CARLZUMO](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/USE%20CODE%20CARLZUMO) $148 $564 3.82x 2026-11-08 00:37 UTC [Klipsch R-100SW 10" Subwoofer other](https://gambatracker.com/items/klipsch-r-100sw-10-subwoofer) Hidden $148 $564 3.82x 2026-11-03 19:46 UTC [Klipsch R-100SW 10" Subwoofer other](https://gambatracker.com/items/klipsch-r-100sw-10-subwoofer) Hidden $148 $564 3.82x 2026-11-03 00:06 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=vibe-out) [Sony MDREX15LP in-Ear Earbud Headphones other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-mdrex15lp-in-ear-earbud-headphones) Hidden $148 $7.49 0.05x 2026-11-10 06:45 UTC [Apple EarPods Headphones with 3.5mm Plug other](https://gambatracker.com/items/apple-earpods-headphones-with-3-5mm-plug) Hidden $148 $18.99 0.13x 2026-11-10 06:45 UTC [Apple EarPods Headphones with 3.5mm Plug other](https://gambatracker.com/items/apple-earpods-headphones-with-3-5mm-plug) Hidden $148 $18.99 0.13x 2026-11-10 06:45 UTC [Anker Soundcore 2 Portable Bluetooth Speaker with 12W Stereo Sound other](https://gambatracker.com/items/anker-soundcore-2-portable-bluetooth-speaker-with-12w-stereo-sound) Hidden $148 $50.00 0.34x 2026-11-10 06:45 UTC [Klipsch R-100SW 10" Subwoofer other](https://gambatracker.com/items/klipsch-r-100sw-10-subwoofer) Hidden $148 $564 3.82x 2026-11-10 06:45 UTC [Logitech S150 USB Speakers other](https://gambatracker.com/items/logitech-s150-usb-speakers) [Nie](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Nie) $148 $12.00 0.08x 2026-11-10 06:45 UTC [Logitech S150 USB Speakers other](https://gambatracker.com/items/logitech-s150-usb-speakers) Hidden $148 $12.00 0.08x 2026-11-10 06:37 UTC [Apple EarPods Headphones with 3.5mm Plug other](https://gambatracker.com/items/apple-earpods-headphones-with-3-5mm-plug) Hidden $148 $18.99 0.13x 2026-11-10 06:37 UTC [Klipsch R-100SW 10" Subwoofer other](https://gambatracker.com/items/klipsch-r-100sw-10-subwoofer) Hidden $148 $564 3.82x 2026-11-10 06:37 UTC [Sony MDREX15LP in-Ear Earbud Headphones other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-mdrex15lp-in-ear-earbud-headphones) Hidden $148 $7.49 0.05x 2026-11-10 06:37 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $148 | 89.50% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $588 (3.99x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt