--- title: "Waisted case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Waisted ($614.89) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 12 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/waisted rendered: 2026-11-12T05:41Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Waisted](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/waisted) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Waisted A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/waisted?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/waisted?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/waisted) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/waisted?window=all) Price · $614.89 Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $550.33 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 1.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 18.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 77.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/waisted?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/waisted?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/waisted) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/waisted?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Louis Vuitton x Yayoi Kusama LV Initiales 30mm Reversible Infinity Dots Belt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-x-yayoi-kusama-lv-initiales-30mm-reversible-infinity-dots-belt) | 1 in 50 | $3,840 | 14.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Louis Vuitton x Supreme Initiales Belt 40 MM Monogram Brown Gold other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-x-supreme-initiales-belt-40-mm-monogram-brown-gold) | 1 in 40 | $2,880 | 13.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Supreme b.b. simon Belt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-b-b-simon-belt) | 1 in 100 | $2,400 | 4.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Louis Vuitton LV Shape Belt Monogram 40MM Prism other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-lv-shape-belt-monogram-40mm-prism) | 1 in 40 | $1,780 | 8.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Louis Vuitton LV Must 40mm Reversible Belt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-lv-must-40mm-reversible-belt) | 1 in 20 | $961 | 8.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Dior Oblique Jacquard Grained Calfskin Belt Beige/Black (US 100/40) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dior-oblique-jacquard-grained-calfskin-belt-beige-black-us-100-40) | 1 in 20 | $942 | 8.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Hermes H Belt Buckle & Reversible Leather Strap 32mm Noir/Gold (US 95/38) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hermes-h-belt-buckle-and-reversible-leather-strap-32mm-noir-gold-us-95-38) | 1 in 20 | $660 | 6.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Burberry Reversible Monogram Motif Vintage Check Belt 1.4 Width Archive Beige US 90/36 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/burberry-reversible-monogram-motif-vintage-check-belt-1-4-width-archive-beige-us-90-36) | 1 in 13 | $600 | 8.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Gucci Supreme Kingsnake Belt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gucci-supreme-kingsnake-belt) | 12.0% | $400 | 8.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [OFF-WHITE Tape Industrial Belt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/off-white-tape-industrial-belt) | 12.5% | $267 | 6.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [OFF-WHITE Industrial Belt Yellow/Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/off-white-industrial-belt-yellow-black) | 25.0% | $190 | 8.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Diesel B-1DR 25 Belt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/diesel-b-1dr-25-belt) | 20.0% | $155 | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 12 Nov, 03:04 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=waisted) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $615 | 89.50% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. 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