--- title: "Wax & Tracks case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Wax & Tracks ($26.26) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.48% from 18 items with odds, observed 88.79% over 2,076 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/wax-and-tracks rendered: 2026-11-12T08:01Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Wax & Tracks](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/wax-and-tracks) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Wax & Tracks A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/wax-and-tracks?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/wax-and-tracks?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/wax-and-tracks) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/wax-and-tracks?window=all) Price · $26.26 Advertised RTP · 89.48% · EV $23.50 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 88.79% · 2,076 openings, odds method Variance · 3.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 12.6% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 73.7% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 30 openings · below min 7 days · 87.90% ±8.87 1,806 openings 30 days · 88.79% ±8.28 2,076 openings since tracking started · 88.79% ±8.28 2,076 openings -0.5% 64.0% 128.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/wax-and-tracks?window=24h) | 30 | 59.25% ±68.8 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/wax-and-tracks?window=7d) | 1,806 | 87.90% ±8.87 | −0.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/wax-and-tracks) | 2,076 | 88.79% ±8.28 | −0.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/wax-and-tracks?window=all) | 2,076 | 88.79% ±8.28 | −0.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,076 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sony PS-LX310BT Belt Drive Turntable: Fully Automatic Wireless Vinyl Record Player other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-ps-lx310bt-belt-drive-turntable-fully-automatic-wireless-vinyl-record-player) | 1 in 200 | $540 | 11.5% | 8 | 10.4 | 0.77× | | [Audio-Technica AT-LP120XUSB-BK Direct-Drive Turntable other](https://gambatracker.com/items/audio-technica-at-lp120xusb-bk-direct-drive-turntable) | 1 in 400 | $390 | 4.1% | 3 | 5.2 | 0.58× | | [ANGELS HORN Vinyl Record Player other](https://gambatracker.com/items/angels-horn-vinyl-record-player) | 1 in 200 | $320 | 6.8% | 14 | 10.4 | 1.35× | | [Saiyin Bluetooth Bookshelf Speakers for Record Player other](https://gambatracker.com/items/saiyin-bluetooth-bookshelf-speakers-for-record-player) | 1 in 87 | $100 | 4.9% | 29 | 23.9 | 1.21× | | [Fosi Audio Box X2 Phono Preamp other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fosi-audio-box-x2-phono-preamp) | 1 in 63 | $87.00 | 5.9% | 35 | 33.2 | 1.05× | | [The Who with Orchestra Live at Wembley (Yellow, Orange, and Red Limited Edition) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/the-who-with-orchestra-live-at-wembley-yellow-orange-and-red-limited-edition) | 1 in 63 | $77.00 | 5.2% | 28 | 33.2 | 0.84× | | [Victrola Vintage 3-Speed Bluetooth Portable Suitcase Record Player other](https://gambatracker.com/items/victrola-vintage-3-speed-bluetooth-portable-suitcase-record-player) | 1 in 50 | $60.00 | 5.1% | 41 | 41.5 | 0.99× | | [Loud (Opaque Baby Pink Limited Edition) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/loud-opaque-baby-pink-limited-edition) | 1 in 40 | $45.00 | 4.8% | 53 | 51.9 | 1.02× | | [Power to the People And the Beats - Greatest Hits other](https://gambatracker.com/items/power-to-the-people-and-the-beats-greatest-hits) | 1 in 40 | $42.00 | 4.5% | 45 | 51.9 | 0.87× | | [Greatest Hits II Queen other](https://gambatracker.com/items/greatest-hits-ii-queen) | 1 in 33 | $39.60 | 5.1% | 71 | 62.3 | 1.14× | | [The Dark Side of the Moon other](https://gambatracker.com/items/the-dark-side-of-the-moon) | 1 in 33 | $35.20 | 4.5% | 58 | 62.3 | 0.93× | | [Straight Outta Compton (Red Limited Edition) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/straight-outta-compton-red-limited-edition) | 1 in 27 | $33.00 | 5.3% | 78 | 77.8 | 1.00× | | [Let Us Pray: Chapter X other](https://gambatracker.com/items/let-us-pray-chapter-x) | 1 in 25 | $28.00 | 4.8% | 78 | 83.0 | 0.94× | | [Thriller Vinyl other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thriller-vinyl) | 1 in 17 | $22.00 | 5.6% | 143 | 124.6 | 1.15× | | [100 Record Sleeves for Vinyl Record other](https://gambatracker.com/items/100-record-sleeves-for-vinyl-record) | 1 in 17 | $20.00 | 5.1% | 123 | 124.6 | 0.99× | | [The Beatles – Abbey Road Vinyl other](https://gambatracker.com/items/the-beatles-abbey-road-vinyl) | 1 in 13 | $18.00 | 5.7% | 161 | 155.7 | 1.03× | | [Audio-Technica AT6011a Anti-Static Record Brush other](https://gambatracker.com/items/audio-technica-at6011a-anti-static-record-brush) | 1 in 12 | $15.00 | 5.2% | 180 | 169.2 | 1.06× | | [Jam Universal Turntable Stylus other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jam-universal-turntable-stylus) | 46.0% | $3.00 | 5.9% | 928 | 955.0 | 0.97× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 12 Nov, 03:04 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sony PS-LX310BT Belt Drive Turntable: Fully Automatic Wireless Vinyl Record Player other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-ps-lx310bt-belt-drive-turntable-fully-automatic-wireless-vinyl-record-player) Hidden $26.26 $540 20.56x 2026-11-07 18:28 UTC [Sony PS-LX310BT Belt Drive Turntable: Fully Automatic Wireless Vinyl Record Player other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-ps-lx310bt-belt-drive-turntable-fully-automatic-wireless-vinyl-record-player) Hidden $26.26 $540 20.56x 2026-11-07 18:16 UTC [Sony PS-LX310BT Belt Drive Turntable: Fully Automatic Wireless Vinyl Record Player other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-ps-lx310bt-belt-drive-turntable-fully-automatic-wireless-vinyl-record-player) Hidden $26.26 $540 20.56x 2026-11-06 22:37 UTC [Sony PS-LX310BT Belt Drive Turntable: Fully Automatic Wireless Vinyl Record Player other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-ps-lx310bt-belt-drive-turntable-fully-automatic-wireless-vinyl-record-player) Hidden $26.26 $540 20.56x 2026-11-06 22:14 UTC [Sony PS-LX310BT Belt Drive Turntable: Fully Automatic Wireless Vinyl Record Player other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-ps-lx310bt-belt-drive-turntable-fully-automatic-wireless-vinyl-record-player) Hidden $26.26 $540 20.56x 2026-11-06 01:42 UTC [Sony PS-LX310BT Belt Drive Turntable: Fully Automatic Wireless Vinyl Record Player other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-ps-lx310bt-belt-drive-turntable-fully-automatic-wireless-vinyl-record-player) Hidden $26.26 $540 20.56x 2026-11-05 03:12 UTC [Sony PS-LX310BT Belt Drive Turntable: Fully Automatic Wireless Vinyl Record Player other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-ps-lx310bt-belt-drive-turntable-fully-automatic-wireless-vinyl-record-player) Hidden $26.26 $540 20.56x 2026-11-04 14:46 UTC [Sony PS-LX310BT Belt Drive Turntable: Fully Automatic Wireless Vinyl Record Player other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-ps-lx310bt-belt-drive-turntable-fully-automatic-wireless-vinyl-record-player) Hidden $26.26 $540 20.56x 2026-11-04 14:37 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=wax-and-tracks) [Power to the People And the Beats - Greatest Hits other](https://gambatracker.com/items/power-to-the-people-and-the-beats-greatest-hits) Hidden $26.26 $42.00 1.60x 2026-11-12 02:57 UTC [Jam Universal Turntable Stylus other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jam-universal-turntable-stylus) Hidden $26.26 $3.00 0.11x 2026-11-12 02:57 UTC [Jam Universal Turntable Stylus other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jam-universal-turntable-stylus) Hidden $26.26 $3.00 0.11x 2026-11-12 02:57 UTC [Audio-Technica AT6011a Anti-Static Record Brush other](https://gambatracker.com/items/audio-technica-at6011a-anti-static-record-brush) [Witty Grizzly](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Witty%20Grizzly) $26.26 $15.00 0.57x 2026-11-12 02:57 UTC [Jam Universal Turntable Stylus other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jam-universal-turntable-stylus) Hidden $26.26 $3.00 0.11x 2026-11-12 02:55 UTC [Loud (Opaque Baby Pink Limited Edition) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/loud-opaque-baby-pink-limited-edition) Hidden $26.26 $45.00 1.71x 2026-11-12 02:55 UTC [The Beatles – Abbey Road Vinyl other](https://gambatracker.com/items/the-beatles-abbey-road-vinyl) Hidden $26.26 $18.00 0.69x 2026-11-12 02:55 UTC [Jam Universal Turntable Stylus other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jam-universal-turntable-stylus) [Witty Grizzly](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Witty%20Grizzly) $26.26 $3.00 0.11x 2026-11-12 02:55 UTC [Jam Universal Turntable Stylus other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jam-universal-turntable-stylus) Hidden $26.26 $3.00 0.11x 2026-11-12 02:52 UTC [Jam Universal Turntable Stylus other](https://gambatracker.com/items/jam-universal-turntable-stylus) Hidden $26.26 $3.00 0.11x 2026-11-12 02:52 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $26.26 | 89.48% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $540 (20.56x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.48 on average: an expected loss of $10.52 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt