--- title: "Wheelie case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Wheelie ($96.72) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.49% from 18 items with odds, observed 69.06% over 274 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/wheelie rendered: 2026-11-11T20:11Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Wheelie](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/wheelie) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Wheelie A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/wheelie?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/wheelie?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/wheelie) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/wheelie?window=all) Price · $96.72 Advertised RTP · 89.49% · EV $86.56 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 69.06% · 274 openings, odds method Variance · 15.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 47 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 87.3% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 10 openings · below min 7 days · 214 openings · below min 30 days · 69.06% ±47.15 274 openings since tracking started · 69.06% ±47.15 274 openings -0.5% 147.8% 296.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/wheelie?window=24h) | 10 | 48.75% ±246.8 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/wheelie?window=7d) | 214 | 71.41% ±53.3 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/wheelie) | 274 | 69.06% ±47.1 | −0.8σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/wheelie?window=all) | 274 | 69.06% ±47.1 | −0.8σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 274 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sur-Ron X other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sur-ron-x) | 1 in 250 | $4,840 | 22.4% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× | | [X-PRO 250cc 6 Speed EFI Fuel Injection Dirt Bike other](https://gambatracker.com/items/x-pro-250cc-6-speed-efi-fuel-injection-dirt-bike) | 1 in 133 | $2,342 | 20.3% | 1 | 2.1 | 0.49× | | [Razor MX650 Dirt Rocket Electric-Powered Dirt Bike other](https://gambatracker.com/items/razor-mx650-dirt-rocket-electric-powered-dirt-bike) | 1 in 100 | $1,056 | 12.2% | 4 | 2.7 | 1.46× | | [Razor MX400 Dirt Rocket – 14 MPH (22 KMH) Off-Road Electric Dirt Bike other](https://gambatracker.com/items/razor-mx400-dirt-rocket-14-mph-22-kmh-off-road-electric-dirt-bike) | 1 in 100 | $720 | 8.3% | 1 | 2.7 | 0.36× | | [Progressive Suspension 412-4065B Black Anodized Finish 13" Standard Low Buck Factory Replacement Rear Suspension Shock other](https://gambatracker.com/items/progressive-suspension-412-4065b-black-anodized-finish-13-standard-low-buck-factory-replacement-rear-suspension-shock) | 1 in 100 | $375 | 4.3% | 5 | 2.7 | 1.82× | | [ScorpionEXO Covert FX Full Face Adult Motorcycle Helmet other](https://gambatracker.com/items/scorpionexo-covert-fx-full-face-adult-motorcycle-helmet) | 1 in 100 | $350 | 4.0% | 6 | 2.7 | 2.19× | | [Motorcycle Airbag Vest other](https://gambatracker.com/items/motorcycle-airbag-vest) | 1 in 40 | $156 | 4.5% | 9 | 6.9 | 1.31× | | [KEMIMOTO Motorcycle Saddlebag other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kemimoto-motorcycle-saddlebag) | 1 in 40 | $145 | 4.2% | 9 | 6.9 | 1.31× | | [VSYSTO WiFi Motorcycle Dash Cam other](https://gambatracker.com/items/vsysto-wifi-motorcycle-dash-cam) | 1 in 40 | $115 | 3.3% | 4 | 6.9 | 0.58× | | [Alpinestars Men's SMX-1 Air v2 Motorcycle Riding Gloves other](https://gambatracker.com/items/alpinestars-mens-smx-1-air-v2-motorcycle-riding-gloves) | 1 in 40 | $85.00 | 2.5% | 12 | 6.9 | 1.75× | | [Motorcycle Protective Jacket Full Body Armor other](https://gambatracker.com/items/motorcycle-protective-jacket-full-body-armor) | 1 in 40 | $64.00 | 1.8% | 6 | 6.9 | 0.88× | | [Motorcycle Leather Boots other](https://gambatracker.com/items/motorcycle-leather-boots) | 1 in 40 | $50.00 | 1.4% | 7 | 6.9 | 1.02× | | [Motorcycle Backpack,Waterproof Helmet Backpack other](https://gambatracker.com/items/motorcycle-backpack-waterproof-helmet-backpack) | 1 in 20 | $39.59 | 2.3% | 7 | 13.7 | 0.51× | | [Motorcycle Tool Roll Bag other](https://gambatracker.com/items/motorcycle-tool-roll-bag) | 1 in 20 | $30.00 | 1.7% | 11 | 13.7 | 0.80× | | [BATFOX Dirt Bike ATV Goggles other](https://gambatracker.com/items/batfox-dirt-bike-atv-goggles) | 1 in 20 | $18.39 | 1.1% | 9 | 13.7 | 0.66× | | [ATV Quad Four Wheeler Mudding Shirt other](https://gambatracker.com/items/atv-quad-four-wheeler-mudding-shirt) | 10.0% | $17.99 | 2.1% | 32 | 27.4 | 1.17× | | [Motorcycle Balaclava Face Mask other](https://gambatracker.com/items/motorcycle-balaclava-face-mask) | 15.0% | $10.00 | 1.7% | 30 | 41.1 | 0.73× | | [Keychain Tag for Motorcycles other](https://gambatracker.com/items/keychain-tag-for-motorcycles) | 39.9% | $3.89 | 1.8% | 121 | 109.2 | 1.11× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [X-PRO 250cc 6 Speed EFI Fuel Injection Dirt Bike other](https://gambatracker.com/items/x-pro-250cc-6-speed-efi-fuel-injection-dirt-bike) [SnupsBar](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/SnupsBar) $96.72 $2,342 24.21x 2026-11-10 06:35 UTC [Razor MX650 Dirt Rocket Electric-Powered Dirt Bike other](https://gambatracker.com/items/razor-mx650-dirt-rocket-electric-powered-dirt-bike) Hidden $96.72 $1,056 10.92x 2026-11-10 06:35 UTC [Razor MX650 Dirt Rocket Electric-Powered Dirt Bike other](https://gambatracker.com/items/razor-mx650-dirt-rocket-electric-powered-dirt-bike) Hidden $96.72 $1,056 10.92x 2026-11-08 18:57 UTC [Razor MX650 Dirt Rocket Electric-Powered Dirt Bike other](https://gambatracker.com/items/razor-mx650-dirt-rocket-electric-powered-dirt-bike) Hidden $96.72 $1,056 10.92x 2026-11-06 23:15 UTC [Razor MX650 Dirt Rocket Electric-Powered Dirt Bike other](https://gambatracker.com/items/razor-mx650-dirt-rocket-electric-powered-dirt-bike) Hidden $96.72 $1,056 10.92x 2026-11-03 16:45 UTC [Razor MX400 Dirt Rocket – 14 MPH (22 KMH) Off-Road Electric Dirt Bike other](https://gambatracker.com/items/razor-mx400-dirt-rocket-14-mph-22-kmh-off-road-electric-dirt-bike) Hidden $96.72 $720 7.44x 2026-11-08 18:45 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=wheelie) [Motorcycle Balaclava Face Mask other](https://gambatracker.com/items/motorcycle-balaclava-face-mask) Hidden $96.72 $10.00 0.10x 2026-11-11 19:51 UTC [Alpinestars Men's SMX-1 Air v2 Motorcycle Riding Gloves other](https://gambatracker.com/items/alpinestars-mens-smx-1-air-v2-motorcycle-riding-gloves) Hidden $96.72 $85.00 0.88x 2026-11-11 19:51 UTC [VSYSTO WiFi Motorcycle Dash Cam other](https://gambatracker.com/items/vsysto-wifi-motorcycle-dash-cam) Hidden $96.72 $115 1.19x 2026-11-11 19:51 UTC [Motorcycle Leather Boots other](https://gambatracker.com/items/motorcycle-leather-boots) [Camel No. 9](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Camel%20No.%209) $96.72 $50.00 0.52x 2026-11-11 19:51 UTC [Motorcycle Backpack,Waterproof Helmet Backpack other](https://gambatracker.com/items/motorcycle-backpack-waterproof-helmet-backpack) Hidden $96.72 $39.59 0.41x 2026-11-11 05:16 UTC [Motorcycle Tool Roll Bag other](https://gambatracker.com/items/motorcycle-tool-roll-bag) Hidden $96.72 $30.00 0.31x 2026-11-11 05:16 UTC [Keychain Tag for Motorcycles other](https://gambatracker.com/items/keychain-tag-for-motorcycles) [Ncthcfoodie code DGN](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Ncthcfoodie%20code%20DGN) $96.72 $3.89 0.04x 2026-11-11 05:16 UTC [Motorcycle Balaclava Face Mask other](https://gambatracker.com/items/motorcycle-balaclava-face-mask) Hidden $96.72 $10.00 0.10x 2026-11-11 05:16 UTC [Motorcycle Protective Jacket Full Body Armor other](https://gambatracker.com/items/motorcycle-protective-jacket-full-body-armor) Hidden $96.72 $64.00 0.66x 2026-11-11 05:16 UTC [Motorcycle Protective Jacket Full Body Armor other](https://gambatracker.com/items/motorcycle-protective-jacket-full-body-armor) [Ncthcfoodie code DGN](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Ncthcfoodie%20code%20DGN) $96.72 $64.00 0.66x 2026-11-11 05:16 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $96.72 | 89.49% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $2,342 (24.21x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.49 on average: an expected loss of $10.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt