--- title: "Wired case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Wired ($0.53) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.33% from 15 items with odds, observed 82.41% over 9,451 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/wired rendered: 2026-11-11T15:45Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Wired](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/wired) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Wired A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/wired?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/wired?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/wired) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/wired?window=all) Price · $0.53 Advertised RTP · 88.33% · EV $0.47 from 15 items Observed RTP, 30d · 82.41% · 9,451 openings, odds method Variance · 8.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 19 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 79.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 85.87% ±19.63 880 openings 7 days · 83.53% ±6.43 8,203 openings 30 days · 82.41% ±5.99 9,451 openings since tracking started · 82.41% ±5.99 9,451 openings 65.5% 85.8% 106.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/wired?window=24h) | 880 | 85.87% ±19.6 | −0.2σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/wired?window=7d) | 8,203 | 83.53% ±6.43 | −1.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/wired) | 9,451 | 82.41% ±5.99 | −1.9σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/wired?window=all) | 9,451 | 82.41% ±5.99 | −1.9σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 9,451 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [15ft Extension Cord other](https://gambatracker.com/items/15ft-extension-cord) | 1 in 1,000 | $23.00 | 4.9% | 6 | 9.5 | 0.63× | | [Elgato XLR Microphone Cable other](https://gambatracker.com/items/elgato-xlr-microphone-cable) | 1 in 800 | $20.00 | 5.3% | 8 | 11.8 | 0.68× | | [Aluminum Craft Wire other](https://gambatracker.com/items/aluminum-craft-wire) | 1 in 400 | $14.00 | 7.5% | 17 | 23.6 | 0.72× | | [ENCE HDMI - HDMI 2.0 4K Cable, 1m other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ence-hdmi-hdmi-2-0-4k-cable-1m) | 1 in 400 | $13.00 | 6.9% | 20 | 23.6 | 0.85× | | [Steel 20 Gauge Galvanized Hobby Wire other](https://gambatracker.com/items/steel-20-gauge-galvanized-hobby-wire) | 1 in 133 | $6.00 | 9.6% | 63 | 70.9 | 0.89× | | [Micro USB Cables other](https://gambatracker.com/items/micro-usb-cables) | 1 in 133 | $5.49 | 8.8% | 76 | 70.9 | 1.07× | | [Old Ethernet Cable other](https://gambatracker.com/items/old-ethernet-cable) | 1 in 33 | $2.30 | 14.7% | 294 | 283.5 | 1.04× | | [VGA Cable other](https://gambatracker.com/items/vga-cable) | 1 in 13 | $0.80 | 12.8% | 723 | 708.8 | 1.02× | | [HDMI Cable other](https://gambatracker.com/items/hdmi-cable) | 1 in 13 | $0.75 | 12.0% | 681 | 708.8 | 0.96× | | [40-Pin IDE Drive Ribbon Cables other](https://gambatracker.com/items/40-pin-ide-drive-ribbon-cables) | 10.0% | $0.20 | 4.3% | 962 | 945.1 | 1.02× | | [3.5mm Audio Cable other](https://gambatracker.com/items/3-5mm-audio-cable) | 10.0% | $0.18 | 3.8% | 927 | 945.1 | 0.98× | | [Molex Cables other](https://gambatracker.com/items/molex-cables) | 10.0% | $0.15 | 3.2% | 989 | 945.1 | 1.05× | | [RCA Cable other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rca-cable) | 10.0% | $0.15 | 3.2% | 932 | 945.1 | 0.99× | | [Old Telephone Cable other](https://gambatracker.com/items/old-telephone-cable) | 17.5% | $0.05 | 1.9% | 1,628 | 1656.3 | 0.98× | | [Bare Copper Wire other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bare-copper-wire) | 22.3% | $0.02 | 1.0% | 2,125 | 2102.8 | 1.01× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=wired) [Old Telephone Cable other](https://gambatracker.com/items/old-telephone-cable) Hidden $0.53 $0.05 0.09x 2026-11-11 14:58 UTC [Molex Cables other](https://gambatracker.com/items/molex-cables) [Graceful Dragon](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Graceful%20Dragon) $0.53 $0.15 0.28x 2026-11-11 14:58 UTC [Old Telephone Cable other](https://gambatracker.com/items/old-telephone-cable) Hidden $0.53 $0.05 0.09x 2026-11-11 14:58 UTC [40-Pin IDE Drive Ribbon Cables other](https://gambatracker.com/items/40-pin-ide-drive-ribbon-cables) [Graceful Dragon](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Graceful%20Dragon) $0.53 $0.20 0.38x 2026-11-11 14:58 UTC [RCA Cable other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rca-cable) Hidden $0.53 $0.15 0.28x 2026-11-11 14:58 UTC [RCA Cable other](https://gambatracker.com/items/rca-cable) [Graceful Dragon](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Graceful%20Dragon) $0.53 $0.15 0.28x 2026-11-11 14:58 UTC [3.5mm Audio Cable other](https://gambatracker.com/items/3-5mm-audio-cable) Hidden $0.53 $0.18 0.34x 2026-11-11 14:58 UTC [Old Ethernet Cable other](https://gambatracker.com/items/old-ethernet-cable) [Graceful Dragon](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Graceful%20Dragon) $0.53 $2.30 4.34x 2026-11-11 14:58 UTC [Bare Copper Wire other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bare-copper-wire) Hidden $0.53 $0.02 0.04x 2026-11-11 14:50 UTC [Old Ethernet Cable other](https://gambatracker.com/items/old-ethernet-cable) Hidden $0.53 $2.30 4.34x 2026-11-11 14:50 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $0.53 | 88.33% | 15 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.33 on average: an expected loss of $11.67 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt