--- title: "Xbox Classics case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Xbox Classics ($235.58) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 19 items with odds, observed 144.45% over 51 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/xbox-classics rendered: 2026-11-11T13:52Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Xbox Classics](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/xbox-classics) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Xbox Classics A box on Cases.gg (Gaming), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/xbox-classics?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/xbox-classics?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/xbox-classics) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/xbox-classics?window=all) Price · $235.58 Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $210.84 from 19 items Observed RTP, 30d · 144.45% · 51 openings, odds method Variance · 5.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 81.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 24 openings · below min 30 days · 51 openings · below min since tracking started · 51 openings · below min -0.5% 104.5% 209.5% **Small sample.** 51 openings and 4.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/xbox-classics?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/xbox-classics?window=7d) | 24 | 55.56% ±93.9 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/xbox-classics) | 51 | 144.45% ±64.4 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/xbox-classics?window=all) | 51 | 144.45% ±64.4 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 19 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 51 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Microsoft Xbox Series X SpongeBob SquarePants All Star Brawl 2 Console 6570627 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/microsoft-xbox-series-x-spongebob-squarepants-all-star-brawl-2-console-6570627) | 1 in 333 | $7,300 | 10.4% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [Microsoft Xbox x Gucci Series X Special Edition (EU Plug) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/microsoft-xbox-x-gucci-series-x-special-edition-eu-plug) | 1 in 1,000 | $6,804 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AMD Radeon RX 6900 XT Halo Infinite Limited Edition Graphics Card other](https://gambatracker.com/items/amd-radeon-rx-6900-xt-halo-infinite-limited-edition-graphics-card) | 1 in 1,000 | $3,840 | 1.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Microsoft Xbox Series X 1TB Halo Infinite Limited Edition Console Bundle (US Plug) C8Y-00023 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/microsoft-xbox-series-x-1tb-halo-infinite-limited-edition-console-bundle-us-plug-c8y-00023) | 1 in 200 | $1,890 | 4.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Wolverine The Master Chief Boot Halo (US Men's 12) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/wolverine-the-master-chief-boot-halo-us-mens-12) | 1 in 200 | $1,649 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Microsoft Xbox Series X 1TB Gaming Console other](https://gambatracker.com/items/microsoft-xbox-series-x-1tb-gaming-console) | 1 in 200 | $900 | 2.1% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [Razer Xbox Series X\|S x Halo Inifinite Kaira Pro Wireless Gaming Headset other](https://gambatracker.com/items/razer-xbox-series-x-s-x-halo-inifinite-kaira-pro-wireless-gaming-headset) | 1 in 20 | $900 | 21.3% | 3 | 2.6 | 1.18× | | [Elite Series 2 Halo Infinite Limited Edition Wireless Controller other](https://gambatracker.com/items/elite-series-2-halo-infinite-limited-edition-wireless-controller) | 1 in 50 | $680 | 6.5% | 2 | 1.0 | 1.96× | | [Xbox Series S 1TB, Carbon Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/xbox-series-s-1tb-carbon-black) | 1 in 20 | $650 | 15.4% | 3 | 2.6 | 1.18× | | [Bearbrick Halo Master Chief 400% Green other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bearbrick-halo-master-chief-400-green) | 1 in 20 | $615 | 14.6% | 2 | 2.6 | 0.78× | | [Microsoft Xbox Wireless Controller Remix Special Edition other](https://gambatracker.com/items/microsoft-xbox-wireless-controller-remix-special-edition) | 1 in 20 | $200 | 4.7% | 3 | 2.6 | 1.18× | | [Microsoft Xbox One Cyberpunk 2077 Wireless Controller WL300141 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/microsoft-xbox-one-cyberpunk-2077-wireless-controller-wl300141) | 1 in 20 | $150 | 3.6% | 5 | 2.6 | 1.96× | | [Halo Infinite: Master Chief Nendoroid Action Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/halo-infinite-master-chief-nendoroid-action-figure) | 1 in 20 | $79.00 | 1.9% | 2 | 2.6 | 0.78× | | [Xbox Core Wireless Gaming Controller – Carbon Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/xbox-core-wireless-gaming-controller-carbon-black) | 1 in 20 | $75.00 | 1.8% | 1 | 2.6 | 0.39× | | [Master Chief Adult Light-up Deluxe Helmet other](https://gambatracker.com/items/master-chief-adult-light-up-deluxe-helmet) | 1 in 20 | $70.00 | 1.7% | 1 | 2.6 | 0.39× | | [Xbox Series S 2 Slice Toaster 18083 (US Plug) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/xbox-series-s-2-slice-toaster-18083-us-plug) | 1 in 20 | $55.00 | 1.3% | 3 | 2.6 | 1.18× | | [HALO Energy Sword other](https://gambatracker.com/items/halo-energy-sword) | 1 in 20 | $30.78 | 0.7% | 1 | 2.6 | 0.39× | | [HALO Video Game Lanyard other](https://gambatracker.com/items/halo-video-game-lanyard) | 1 in 20 | $8.83 | 0.2% | 3 | 2.6 | 1.18× | | [Thumb Grips other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thumb-grips) | 41.0% | $2.00 | 0.4% | 20 | 20.9 | 0.96× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 08:49 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Microsoft Xbox Series X SpongeBob SquarePants All Star Brawl 2 Console 6570627 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/microsoft-xbox-series-x-spongebob-squarepants-all-star-brawl-2-console-6570627) Hidden $236 $7,300 30.99x 2026-11-03 07:09 UTC [Razer Xbox Series X|S x Halo Inifinite Kaira Pro Wireless Gaming Headset other](https://gambatracker.com/items/razer-xbox-series-x-s-x-halo-inifinite-kaira-pro-wireless-gaming-headset) Hidden $236 $900 3.82x 2026-11-04 14:21 UTC [Razer Xbox Series X|S x Halo Inifinite Kaira Pro Wireless Gaming Headset other](https://gambatracker.com/items/razer-xbox-series-x-s-x-halo-inifinite-kaira-pro-wireless-gaming-headset) Hidden $236 $900 3.82x 2026-11-03 07:10 UTC [Razer Xbox Series X|S x Halo Inifinite Kaira Pro Wireless Gaming Headset other](https://gambatracker.com/items/razer-xbox-series-x-s-x-halo-inifinite-kaira-pro-wireless-gaming-headset) Hidden $236 $900 3.82x 2026-11-03 07:07 UTC [Microsoft Xbox Series X 1TB Gaming Console other](https://gambatracker.com/items/microsoft-xbox-series-x-1tb-gaming-console) Hidden $236 $900 3.82x 2026-11-03 07:07 UTC [Elite Series 2 Halo Infinite Limited Edition Wireless Controller other](https://gambatracker.com/items/elite-series-2-halo-infinite-limited-edition-wireless-controller) Hidden $236 $680 2.89x 2026-11-04 14:21 UTC [Elite Series 2 Halo Infinite Limited Edition Wireless Controller other](https://gambatracker.com/items/elite-series-2-halo-infinite-limited-edition-wireless-controller) Hidden $236 $680 2.89x 2026-11-04 13:05 UTC [Xbox Series S 1TB, Carbon Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/xbox-series-s-1tb-carbon-black) Hidden $236 $650 2.76x 2026-11-05 06:22 UTC [Xbox Series S 1TB, Carbon Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/xbox-series-s-1tb-carbon-black) Hidden $236 $650 2.76x 2026-11-03 07:10 UTC [Xbox Series S 1TB, Carbon Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/xbox-series-s-1tb-carbon-black) Hidden $236 $650 2.76x 2026-11-03 07:10 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=xbox-classics) [HALO Video Game Lanyard other](https://gambatracker.com/items/halo-video-game-lanyard) Hidden $236 $8.83 0.04x 2026-11-10 07:08 UTC [Halo Infinite: Master Chief Nendoroid Action Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/halo-infinite-master-chief-nendoroid-action-figure) Hidden $236 $79.00 0.34x 2026-11-10 07:08 UTC [Thumb Grips other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thumb-grips) Hidden $236 $2.00 0.01x 2026-11-10 07:08 UTC [Microsoft Xbox Wireless Controller Remix Special Edition other](https://gambatracker.com/items/microsoft-xbox-wireless-controller-remix-special-edition) Hidden $236 $200 0.85x 2026-11-10 07:08 UTC [Xbox Core Wireless Gaming Controller – Carbon Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/xbox-core-wireless-gaming-controller-carbon-black) Hidden $236 $75.00 0.32x 2026-11-10 07:08 UTC [Xbox Series S 2 Slice Toaster 18083 (US Plug) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/xbox-series-s-2-slice-toaster-18083-us-plug) [Nie](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Nie) $236 $55.00 0.23x 2026-11-10 07:08 UTC [Thumb Grips other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thumb-grips) Hidden $236 $2.00 0.01x 2026-11-05 06:22 UTC [HALO Video Game Lanyard other](https://gambatracker.com/items/halo-video-game-lanyard) Hidden $236 $8.83 0.04x 2026-11-05 06:22 UTC [Xbox Series S 1TB, Carbon Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/xbox-series-s-1tb-carbon-black) Hidden $236 $650 2.76x 2026-11-05 06:22 UTC [HALO Energy Sword other](https://gambatracker.com/items/halo-energy-sword) Hidden $236 $30.78 0.13x 2026-11-05 06:22 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $236 | 89.50% | 19 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $7,300 (30.99x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt