--- title: "Xbox vs PlayStation case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Xbox vs PlayStation ($30.66) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.49% from 20 items with odds, observed 99.58% over 517 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/xbox-vs-playstation rendered: 2026-11-11T22:50Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Xbox vs PlayStation](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/xbox-vs-playstation) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Xbox vs PlayStation A box on Cases.gg (Xbox), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/xbox-vs-playstation?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/xbox-vs-playstation?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/xbox-vs-playstation) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/xbox-vs-playstation?window=all) Price · $30.66 Advertised RTP · 89.49% · EV $27.44 from 20 items Observed RTP, 30d · 99.58% · 517 openings, odds method Variance · 14.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 50 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 87.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 18 openings · below min 7 days · 110.33% ±45.25 273 openings 30 days · 99.58% ±32.88 517 openings since tracking started · 99.58% ±32.88 517 openings -0.5% 106.0% 212.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/xbox-vs-playstation?window=24h) | 18 | 35.51% ±176.2 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/xbox-vs-playstation?window=7d) | 273 | 110.33% ±45.3 | +0.9σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/xbox-vs-playstation) | 517 | 99.58% ±32.9 | +0.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/xbox-vs-playstation?window=all) | 517 | 99.58% ±32.9 | +0.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 517 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Haworth x Xbox: Fern Gaming Chair other](https://gambatracker.com/items/haworth-x-xbox-fern-gaming-chair) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,759 | 6.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [Sony PlayStation 5 PS5 Blu-ray Edition Marvel Spider-Man 2 Console Bundle (US Plug) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-playstation-5-ps5-blu-ray-edition-marvel-spider-man-2-console-bundle-us-plug) | 1 in 667 | $1,630 | 8.9% | 2 | 0.8 | — | | [Microsoft Xbox Series X 1TB Gaming Console other](https://gambatracker.com/items/microsoft-xbox-series-x-1tb-gaming-console) | 1 in 400 | $900 | 8.2% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.55× | | [PlayStation®5 Digital Edition (Slim) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/playstation-5-digital-edition-slim) | 1 in 400 | $730 | 6.7% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.77× | | [Xbox Series S 1TB, Carbon Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/xbox-series-s-1tb-carbon-black) | 1 in 400 | $650 | 5.9% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.77× | | [Xbox Series S 512GB other](https://gambatracker.com/items/xbox-series-s-512gb) | 1 in 200 | $488 | 8.9% | 5 | 2.6 | 1.93× | | [PlayStation Portal Remote Player - PlayStation 5 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/playstation-portal-remote-player-playstation-5) | 1 in 200 | $330 | 6.0% | 1 | 2.6 | 0.39× | | [PlayStation PULSE Elite Wireless Headset other](https://gambatracker.com/items/playstation-pulse-elite-wireless-headset) | 1 in 100 | $199 | 7.3% | 4 | 5.2 | 0.77× | | [Sony Playstation Portable (PSP) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-playstation-portable-psp) | 1 in 100 | $180 | 6.6% | 5 | 5.2 | 0.97× | | [Xbox Core Wireless Gaming Controller – Velocity Green other](https://gambatracker.com/items/xbox-core-wireless-gaming-controller-velocity-green) | 1 in 50 | $93.00 | 6.8% | 12 | 10.3 | 1.16× | | [PlayStation DualSense® Wireless Controller - White other](https://gambatracker.com/items/playstation-dualsense-wireless-controller-white) | 1 in 100 | $89.00 | 3.2% | 7 | 5.2 | 1.35× | | [Xbox Core Wireless Gaming Controller – Carbon Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/xbox-core-wireless-gaming-controller-carbon-black) | 1 in 50 | $75.00 | 5.5% | 8 | 10.3 | 0.77× | | [PowerA Advantage Wired Controller for Xbox Series X\|S with Lumectra other](https://gambatracker.com/items/powera-advantage-wired-controller-for-xbox-series-x-s-with-lumectra) | 1 in 50 | $37.28 | 2.7% | 6 | 10.3 | 0.58× | | [Playstation Media Remote other](https://gambatracker.com/items/playstation-media-remote) | 1 in 50 | $32.99 | 2.4% | 9 | 10.3 | 0.87× | | [Stray for PlayStation 5 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/stray-for-playstation-5) | 1 in 33 | $28.00 | 3.1% | 15 | 15.5 | 0.97× | | [Paladone Playstation Metal Water Bottle PS5 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/paladone-playstation-metal-water-bottle-ps5) | 1 in 33 | $26.39 | 2.9% | 11 | 15.5 | 0.71× | | [Sonic Frontiers - PlayStation 5 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sonic-frontiers-playstation-5) | 1 in 33 | $19.99 | 2.2% | 21 | 15.5 | 1.35× | | [Xbox Socks Gaming Console Logo Adult Crew Socks 1 Pair other](https://gambatracker.com/items/xbox-socks-gaming-console-logo-adult-crew-socks-1-pair) | 1 in 33 | $13.95 | 1.5% | 16 | 15.5 | 1.03× | | [Sony Playstation Embroidered Logo Patch Gaming Icons Youth Flat Bill Hat Multicolored other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-playstation-embroidered-logo-patch-gaming-icons-youth-flat-bill-hat-multicolored) | 1 in 20 | $12.95 | 2.4% | 23 | 25.9 | 0.89× | | [Thumb Stick Grips other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thumb-stick-grips) | 70.0% | $1.00 | 2.6% | 368 | 361.9 | 1.02× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sony PlayStation 5 PS5 Blu-ray Edition Marvel Spider-Man 2 Console Bundle (US Plug) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-playstation-5-ps5-blu-ray-edition-marvel-spider-man-2-console-bundle-us-plug) Hidden $30.66 $1,630 53.16x 2026-11-07 01:43 UTC [Sony PlayStation 5 PS5 Blu-ray Edition Marvel Spider-Man 2 Console Bundle (US Plug) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/sony-playstation-5-ps5-blu-ray-edition-marvel-spider-man-2-console-bundle-us-plug) Hidden $30.66 $1,630 53.16x 2026-11-03 23:45 UTC [Microsoft Xbox Series X 1TB Gaming Console other](https://gambatracker.com/items/microsoft-xbox-series-x-1tb-gaming-console) Hidden $30.66 $900 29.35x 2026-11-10 09:47 UTC [Microsoft Xbox Series X 1TB Gaming Console other](https://gambatracker.com/items/microsoft-xbox-series-x-1tb-gaming-console) Hidden $30.66 $900 29.35x 2026-11-03 00:38 UTC [PlayStation®5 Digital Edition (Slim) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/playstation-5-digital-edition-slim) Hidden $30.66 $730 23.81x 2026-11-07 01:41 UTC [Xbox Series S 1TB, Carbon Black other](https://gambatracker.com/items/xbox-series-s-1tb-carbon-black) Hidden $30.66 $650 21.20x 2026-11-03 00:36 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=xbox-vs-playstation) [Thumb Stick Grips other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thumb-stick-grips) Hidden $30.66 $1.00 0.03x 2026-11-11 21:35 UTC [Thumb Stick Grips other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thumb-stick-grips) Hidden $30.66 $1.00 0.03x 2026-11-11 21:35 UTC [Thumb Stick Grips other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thumb-stick-grips) Hidden $30.66 $1.00 0.03x 2026-11-11 21:35 UTC [Thumb Stick Grips other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thumb-stick-grips) Hidden $30.66 $1.00 0.03x 2026-11-11 21:35 UTC [Thumb Stick Grips other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thumb-stick-grips) Hidden $30.66 $1.00 0.03x 2026-11-11 21:35 UTC [Thumb Stick Grips other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thumb-stick-grips) [bananchik](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/bananchik) $30.66 $1.00 0.03x 2026-11-11 21:35 UTC [Thumb Stick Grips other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thumb-stick-grips) Hidden $30.66 $1.00 0.03x 2026-11-11 15:20 UTC [Thumb Stick Grips other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thumb-stick-grips) Hidden $30.66 $1.00 0.03x 2026-11-11 15:20 UTC [Thumb Stick Grips other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thumb-stick-grips) Hidden $30.66 $1.00 0.03x 2026-11-11 15:20 UTC [Thumb Stick Grips other](https://gambatracker.com/items/thumb-stick-grips) Hidden $30.66 $1.00 0.03x 2026-11-11 15:20 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $30.66 | 89.49% | 20 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $1,630 (53.16x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.49 on average: an expected loss of $10.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt