---
title: "XPXPXPXPXP!!!!! case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "XPXPXPXPXP!!!!! ($4.98) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 90.76% over 2 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/xpxpxpxpxp
rendered: 2026-11-11T23:04Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [XPXPXPXPXP!!!!!](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/xpxpxpxpxp)

# [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · XPXPXPXPXP!!!!!

A box on Cases.gg, first seen 8 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/xpxpxpxpxp?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/xpxpxpxpxp?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/xpxpxpxpxp) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/xpxpxpxpxp?window=all)

Price · $4.98

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 90.76% · 2 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

7 days · 2 openings · below min

30 days · 2 openings · below min

since tracking started · 2 openings · below min

90.0% 90.8% 91.5%

**Small sample.** 2 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/xpxpxpxpxp?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/xpxpxpxpxp?window=7d) | 2 | 90.76% ±0.00 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/xpxpxpxpxp) | 2 | 90.76% ±0.00 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/xpxpxpxpxp?window=all) | 2 | 90.76% ±0.00 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items and odds · none published

**No catalog** Cases.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=xpxpxpxpxp)

[Shining Fates Booster other](https://gambatracker.com/items/shining-fates-booster) [Jaa\*\*\*ist](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Jaa***ist-8484941) $4.98 $4.52 0.91x 2026-11-09 05:47 UTC

[Shining Fates Booster other](https://gambatracker.com/items/shining-fates-booster) [Jaa\*\*\*ist](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Jaa***ist-8484941) $4.98 $4.52 0.91x 2026-11-08 05:29 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.76 on average: an expected loss of $9.24 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt