--- title: "Yak Attack case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Yak Attack ($74.85) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.49% from 12 items with odds, observed 22.19% over 42 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/yak-attack rendered: 2026-11-11T18:18Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Yak Attack](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/yak-attack) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Yak Attack A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/yak-attack?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/yak-attack?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/yak-attack) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/yak-attack?window=all) Price · $74.85 Advertised RTP · 89.49% · EV $66.99 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 22.19% · 42 openings, odds method Variance · 8.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 33 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 12 openings · below min 7 days · 42 openings · below min 30 days · 42 openings · below min since tracking started · 42 openings · below min -0.5% 91.8% 184.0% **Small sample.** 42 openings and 1.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/yak-attack?window=24h) | 12 | 15.02% ±168.2 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/yak-attack?window=7d) | 42 | 22.19% ±89.9 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/yak-attack) | 42 | 22.19% ±89.9 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/yak-attack?window=all) | 42 | 22.19% ±89.9 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 42 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Old Town Topwater 106 Angler Fishing Kayak other](https://gambatracker.com/items/old-town-topwater-106-angler-fishing-kayak) | 1 in 100 | $1,430 | 21.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Perception Pescador Pro 12 \| Sit on Top Fishing Kayak with Adjustable Lawn Chair Seat \| Large Front and Rear Storage \| 12 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/perception-pescador-pro-12-sit-on-top-fishing-kayak-with-adjustable-lawn-chair-seat-large-front-and-rear-storage-12) | 1 in 100 | $1,210 | 18.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Pelican Catch Mode 110 Premium Angler Kayak - 10.5 ft other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pelican-catch-mode-110-premium-angler-kayak-10-5-ft) | 1 in 100 | $879 | 13.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Pelican - Maxim 100X Recreational Kayak other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pelican-maxim-100x-recreational-kayak) | 1 in 100 | $650 | 9.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Lifetime Tamarack Angler 100 Fishing Kayak other](https://gambatracker.com/items/lifetime-tamarack-angler-100-fishing-kayak) | 1 in 100 | $550 | 8.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Pelican Sentinel 80x other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pelican-sentinel-80x) | 1 in 100 | $480 | 7.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Intex 68307EP Explorer K2 Inflatable Kayak other](https://gambatracker.com/items/intex-68307ep-explorer-k2-inflatable-kayak) | 1 in 50 | $200 | 6.0% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [INTEX Challenger Inflatable Kayak Series other](https://gambatracker.com/items/intex-challenger-inflatable-kayak-series) | 1 in 50 | $175 | 5.2% | 2 | 0.8 | — | | [Pelican - Poseidon Paddle - 90.5in - Blue other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pelican-poseidon-paddle-90-5in-blue) | 1 in 20 | $50.00 | 3.7% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.95× | | [Fashionwu Fly Fishing Landing Net other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fashionwu-fly-fishing-landing-net) | 10.0% | $20.00 | 3.0% | 3 | 4.2 | 0.71× | | [Zebco Dock Demon Spinning Reel other](https://gambatracker.com/items/zebco-dock-demon-spinning-reel) | 25.0% | $9.98 | 3.7% | 17 | 10.5 | 1.62× | | [Fishing Lure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fishing-lure) | 50.0% | $1.00 | 0.7% | 18 | 21.0 | 0.86× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=yak-attack) [Pelican - Poseidon Paddle - 90.5in - Blue other](https://gambatracker.com/items/pelican-poseidon-paddle-90-5in-blue) Hidden $74.85 $50.00 0.67x 2026-11-11 08:56 UTC [Fishing Lure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fishing-lure) Hidden $74.85 $1.00 0.01x 2026-11-11 08:56 UTC [Zebco Dock Demon Spinning Reel other](https://gambatracker.com/items/zebco-dock-demon-spinning-reel) Hidden $74.85 $9.98 0.13x 2026-11-11 08:56 UTC [Fishing Lure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fishing-lure) Hidden $74.85 $1.00 0.01x 2026-11-11 08:56 UTC [Fishing Lure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fishing-lure) Hidden $74.85 $1.00 0.01x 2026-11-11 08:56 UTC [Fashionwu Fly Fishing Landing Net other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fashionwu-fly-fishing-landing-net) [EriksZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/EriksZ) $74.85 $20.00 0.27x 2026-11-11 08:56 UTC [Fishing Lure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fishing-lure) Hidden $74.85 $1.00 0.01x 2026-11-11 08:54 UTC [Fishing Lure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fishing-lure) Hidden $74.85 $1.00 0.01x 2026-11-11 08:54 UTC [Fashionwu Fly Fishing Landing Net other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fashionwu-fly-fishing-landing-net) Hidden $74.85 $20.00 0.27x 2026-11-11 08:54 UTC [Zebco Dock Demon Spinning Reel other](https://gambatracker.com/items/zebco-dock-demon-spinning-reel) Hidden $74.85 $9.98 0.13x 2026-11-11 08:54 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $74.85 | 89.49% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.49 on average: an expected loss of $10.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt