--- title: "Yaris to Urus case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Yaris to Urus ($14,867.84) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 18 items with odds, observed 16.07% over 10 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/yaris-to-urus rendered: 2026-11-11T23:31Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Yaris to Urus](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/yaris-to-urus) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Yaris to Urus A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/yaris-to-urus?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/yaris-to-urus?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/yaris-to-urus) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/yaris-to-urus?window=all) Price · $14,867.84 Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $13,306.71 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 16.07% · 10 openings, odds method Variance · 6.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 23 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 84.9% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 10 openings · below min 30 days · 10 openings · below min since tracking started · 10 openings · below min -0.5% 85.0% 170.5% **Small sample.** 10 openings and 0.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/yaris-to-urus?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/yaris-to-urus?window=7d) | 10 | 16.07% ±153.8 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/yaris-to-urus) | 10 | 16.07% ±153.8 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/yaris-to-urus?window=all) | 10 | 16.07% ±153.8 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 10 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [2022 Lamborghini Urus other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2022-lamborghini-urus) | 1 in 303 | $306K | 7.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [2022 Mercedes-Benz S 580 BRABUS other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2022-mercedes-benz-s-580-brabus) | 1 in 200 | $240K | 9.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [2018 Audi R8 V10 Plus Spyder other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2018-audi-r8-v10-plus-spyder) | 1 in 133 | $185K | 10.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Audi RS Q8 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/audi-rs-q8) | 1 in 125 | $150K | 9.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [2024 BMW i5 M60 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2024-bmw-i5-m60) | 1 in 100 | $109K | 8.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Tesla Model S Plaid other](https://gambatracker.com/items/tesla-model-s-plaid) | 1 in 100 | $101K | 7.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [2021 Porsche Taycan 4S other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2021-porsche-taycan-4s) | 1 in 100 | $91.2K | 6.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [2024 Mercedes-Benz Sprinter Cargo Van 2500 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2024-mercedes-benz-sprinter-cargo-van-2500) | 1 in 100 | $79.5K | 6.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [2013 Porsche 911 Carrera other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2013-porsche-911-carrera) | 1 in 100 | $68.6K | 5.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [2024 BMW 3 Series 330I other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2024-bmw-3-series-330i) | 1 in 100 | $60K | 4.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [2024 Chevrolet Camaro LT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2024-chevrolet-camaro-lt) | 1 in 80 | $49.5K | 4.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [2017 Volkswagen Golf GTI S other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2017-volkswagen-golf-gti-s) | 1 in 67 | $22.7K | 2.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [2019 Ford Fiesta other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2019-ford-fiesta) | 1 in 50 | $19.8K | 3.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [2016 Mercedes-Benz C-Class C 300 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2016-mercedes-benz-c-class-c-300) | 1 in 50 | $17.9K | 2.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [2007 Volkswagen Sharan other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2007-volkswagen-sharan) | 19.8% | $2,750 | 4.1% | 2 | 2.0 | 1.01× | | [2004 BMW 330d other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2004-bmw-330d) | 20.0% | $2,700 | 4.1% | 5 | 2.0 | 2.50× | | [Toyota Yaris 2008 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/toyota-yaris-2008) | 20.1% | $2,000 | 3.0% | 2 | 2.0 | 1.00× | | [Toyota Yaris 2002 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/toyota-yaris-2002) | 25.0% | $900 | 1.7% | 1 | 2.5 | 0.40× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [2007 Volkswagen Sharan other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2007-volkswagen-sharan) [Jaydendown](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Jaydendown) $14.9K $2,750 0.18x 2026-11-09 16:22 UTC [2007 Volkswagen Sharan other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2007-volkswagen-sharan) Hidden $14.9K $2,750 0.18x 2026-11-09 16:22 UTC [2004 BMW 330d other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2004-bmw-330d) Hidden $14.9K $2,700 0.18x 2026-11-09 18:00 UTC [2004 BMW 330d other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2004-bmw-330d) Hidden $14.9K $2,700 0.18x 2026-11-09 18:00 UTC [2004 BMW 330d other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2004-bmw-330d) Hidden $14.9K $2,700 0.18x 2026-11-09 16:22 UTC [2004 BMW 330d other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2004-bmw-330d) Hidden $14.9K $2,700 0.18x 2026-11-09 16:22 UTC [2004 BMW 330d other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2004-bmw-330d) Hidden $14.9K $2,700 0.18x 2026-11-09 16:22 UTC [Toyota Yaris 2008 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/toyota-yaris-2008) [Jaydendown](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Jaydendown) $14.9K $2,000 0.13x 2026-11-09 18:00 UTC [Toyota Yaris 2008 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/toyota-yaris-2008) Hidden $14.9K $2,000 0.13x 2026-11-09 18:00 UTC [Toyota Yaris 2002 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/toyota-yaris-2002) Hidden $14.9K $900 0.06x 2026-11-09 16:22 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=yaris-to-urus) [2004 BMW 330d other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2004-bmw-330d) Hidden $14.9K $2,700 0.18x 2026-11-09 18:00 UTC [Toyota Yaris 2008 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/toyota-yaris-2008) Hidden $14.9K $2,000 0.13x 2026-11-09 18:00 UTC [2004 BMW 330d other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2004-bmw-330d) Hidden $14.9K $2,700 0.18x 2026-11-09 18:00 UTC [Toyota Yaris 2008 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/toyota-yaris-2008) [Jaydendown](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Jaydendown) $14.9K $2,000 0.13x 2026-11-09 18:00 UTC [2004 BMW 330d other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2004-bmw-330d) Hidden $14.9K $2,700 0.18x 2026-11-09 16:22 UTC [2004 BMW 330d other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2004-bmw-330d) Hidden $14.9K $2,700 0.18x 2026-11-09 16:22 UTC [2004 BMW 330d other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2004-bmw-330d) Hidden $14.9K $2,700 0.18x 2026-11-09 16:22 UTC [Toyota Yaris 2002 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/toyota-yaris-2002) Hidden $14.9K $900 0.06x 2026-11-09 16:22 UTC [2007 Volkswagen Sharan other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2007-volkswagen-sharan) Hidden $14.9K $2,750 0.18x 2026-11-09 16:22 UTC [2007 Volkswagen Sharan other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2007-volkswagen-sharan) [Jaydendown](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Jaydendown) $14.9K $2,750 0.18x 2026-11-09 16:22 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $14.9K | 89.50% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $2,750 (0.18x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt