--- title: "Yu-Gi-Oh Collector case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Yu-Gi-Oh Collector ($183.06) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 18 items with odds, observed 80.22% over 97 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/yu-gi-oh-collector rendered: 2026-11-12T07:23Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Yu-Gi-Oh Collector](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/yu-gi-oh-collector) # [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Yu-Gi-Oh Collector A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/yu-gi-oh-collector?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/yu-gi-oh-collector?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/yu-gi-oh-collector) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/yu-gi-oh-collector?window=all) Price · $183.06 Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $163.84 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 80.22% · 97 openings, odds method Variance · 25.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 61 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 93.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 73 openings · below min 30 days · 97 openings · below min since tracking started · 97 openings · below min -0.5% 108.3% 217.0% **Small sample.** 97 openings and 1.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/yu-gi-oh-collector?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/yu-gi-oh-collector?window=7d) | 73 | 99.97% ±116.5 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/yu-gi-oh-collector) | 97 | 80.22% ±101.1 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/yu-gi-oh-collector?window=all) | 97 | 80.22% ±101.1 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items and odds · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 97 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [2002 Yu-Gi-Oh! Metal Raiders 1st Edition Gate Guardian #MRD-000 PSA 10 GEM MINT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2002-yu-gi-oh-metal-raiders-1st-edition-gate-guardian-mrd-000-psa-10-gem-mint) | 1 in 2,000 | $28.8K | 8.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Retro Pack 2 Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/retro-pack-2-box) | 1 in 286 | $7,920 | 16.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [The Lost Millennium Booster Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/the-lost-millennium-booster-box) | 1 in 200 | $5,000 | 15.3% | 2 | 0.5 | — | | [Dark Revelation 2 Booster Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/dark-revelation-2-booster-box) | 1 in 133 | $3,100 | 14.2% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [2009 Yu-Gi-Oh! Retro Pack 2 Booster Pack PSA 10 GEM MINT other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2009-yu-gi-oh-retro-pack-2-booster-pack-psa-10-gem-mint) | 1 in 125 | $2,400 | 11.7% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [2002 Yu-Gi-Oh! Legend Of Blue-Eyes 1st Ed Gaia The Fierce Knight #LOB-006 PSA 9 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2002-yu-gi-oh-legend-of-blue-eyes-1st-ed-gaia-the-fierce-knight-lob-006-psa-9) | 1 in 100 | $780 | 4.8% | 0 | 1.0 | — | | [2008 Yu-Gi-Oh! PTDN 1st Ed Ultimate Rare Beginning Of The End #PTDN-EN053 PSA 10 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2008-yu-gi-oh-ptdn-1st-ed-ultimate-rare-beginning-of-the-end-ptdn-en053-psa-10) | 1 in 100 | $540 | 3.3% | 0 | 1.0 | — | | [Collector's Tins 2009: Majestic Star Dragon other](https://gambatracker.com/items/collectors-tins-2009-majestic-star-dragon) | 1 in 50 | $350 | 4.3% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.03× | | [Turbo Pack Booster other](https://gambatracker.com/items/turbo-pack-booster) | 1 in 20 | $130 | 4.0% | 6 | 4.9 | 1.24× | | [Starter Deck: Kaiba other](https://gambatracker.com/items/starter-deck-kaiba) | 1 in 20 | $115 | 3.5% | 6 | 4.9 | 1.24× | | [25th Anniversary Rarity Collection Booster Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/25th-anniversary-rarity-collection-booster-box) | 1 in 15 | $89.00 | 3.5% | 5 | 6.3 | 0.79× | | [Battles of Legend: Terminal Revenge Booster Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/battles-of-legend-terminal-revenge-booster-box) | 1 in 13 | $60.00 | 2.9% | 8 | 7.8 | 1.03× | | [5D's Starter Deck 2009 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/5ds-starter-deck-2009) | 10.0% | $35.00 | 2.1% | 14 | 9.7 | 1.44× | | [2020 Tin of Lost Memories other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2020-tin-of-lost-memories) | 10.0% | $30.00 | 1.8% | 7 | 9.7 | 0.72× | | [Funko Pop Animation: Yu-Gi-Oh! - Dark Magician Girl Collectible Figure other](https://gambatracker.com/items/funko-pop-animation-yu-gi-oh-dark-magician-girl-collectible-figure) | 11.6% | $15.00 | 1.1% | 10 | 11.2 | 0.89× | | [Starter Deck: Kaiba Reloaded other](https://gambatracker.com/items/starter-deck-kaiba-reloaded) | 12.5% | $10.00 | 0.8% | 10 | 12.1 | 0.82× | | [2-Player Starter Set other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2-player-starter-set) | 12.5% | $9.00 | 0.7% | 16 | 12.1 | 1.32× | | [Starter Deck: Link Strike other](https://gambatracker.com/items/starter-deck-link-strike) | 12.5% | $5.00 | 0.4% | 11 | 12.1 | 0.91× | Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 12 Nov, 03:04 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [The Lost Millennium Booster Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/the-lost-millennium-booster-box) Hidden $183 $5,000 27.31x 2026-11-06 02:35 UTC [The Lost Millennium Booster Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/the-lost-millennium-booster-box) Hidden $183 $5,000 27.31x 2026-11-05 13:33 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=yu-gi-oh-collector) [Turbo Pack Booster other](https://gambatracker.com/items/turbo-pack-booster) Hidden $183 $130 0.71x 2026-11-10 03:42 UTC [5D's Starter Deck 2009 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/5ds-starter-deck-2009) [Chode Muncher 🍆](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Chode%20Muncher%20%F0%9F%8D%86) $183 $35.00 0.19x 2026-11-10 03:42 UTC [2020 Tin of Lost Memories other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2020-tin-of-lost-memories) Hidden $183 $30.00 0.16x 2026-11-10 03:39 UTC [Starter Deck: Kaiba Reloaded other](https://gambatracker.com/items/starter-deck-kaiba-reloaded) [Chode Muncher 🍆](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Chode%20Muncher%20%F0%9F%8D%86) $183 $10.00 0.05x 2026-11-10 03:39 UTC [2-Player Starter Set other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2-player-starter-set) Hidden $183 $9.00 0.05x 2026-11-10 03:36 UTC [Starter Deck: Link Strike other](https://gambatracker.com/items/starter-deck-link-strike) Hidden $183 $5.00 0.03x 2026-11-10 03:36 UTC [Starter Deck: Kaiba Reloaded other](https://gambatracker.com/items/starter-deck-kaiba-reloaded) [Chode Muncher 🍆](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Chode%20Muncher%20%F0%9F%8D%86) $183 $10.00 0.05x 2026-11-10 03:36 UTC [2020 Tin of Lost Memories other](https://gambatracker.com/items/2020-tin-of-lost-memories) Hidden $183 $30.00 0.16x 2026-11-10 03:30 UTC [Starter Deck: Link Strike other](https://gambatracker.com/items/starter-deck-link-strike) Hidden $183 $5.00 0.03x 2026-11-10 03:30 UTC [Battles of Legend: Terminal Revenge Booster Box other](https://gambatracker.com/items/battles-of-legend-terminal-revenge-booster-box) Hidden $183 $60.00 0.33x 2026-11-10 03:30 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $183 | 89.50% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 100.0% best hit $5,000 (27.31x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt