---
title: "Zip Up case on Cases.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Zip Up ($593.66) on Cases.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 20 items with odds, observed 65.50% over 20 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/zip-up
rendered: 2026-11-12T06:12Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) / [Zip Up](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/zip-up)

# [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/cases-gg) · Zip Up

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/zip-up?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/zip-up?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/zip-up) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/zip-up?window=all)

Price · $593.66

Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $531.32 from 20 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 65.50% · 20 openings, odds method

Variance · 9.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 36 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 6 openings · below min

7 days · 18 openings · below min

30 days · 20 openings · below min

since tracking started · 20 openings · below min

-0.5% 129.0% 258.5%

**Small sample.** 20 openings and 0.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/zip-up?window=24h) | 6 | 10.44% ±247.4 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/zip-up?window=7d) | 18 | 10.44% ±142.9 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/zip-up) | 20 | 65.50% ±135.5 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/cases-gg/zip-up?window=all) | 20 | 65.50% ±135.5 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items and odds · 20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 20 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Louis Vuitton Varsity Leather Jacket Green EU 48 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/louis-vuitton-varsity-leather-jacket-green-eu-48) | 1 in 250 | $16.2K | 12.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Gucci x Balenciaga The Hacker Project Jumbo GG Jacket Beige/Ebony (EU 46) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gucci-x-balenciaga-the-hacker-project-jumbo-gg-jacket-beige-ebony-eu-46) | 1 in 250 | $12.4K | 9.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Gucci x The North Face Womens GG Padded Jacket Black Ebony Beige (US M) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gucci-x-the-north-face-womens-gg-padded-jacket-black-ebony-beige-us-m) | 1 in 250 | $9,570 | 7.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Moncler Maya 70 by Palm Angels Jacket Bright White MONCLER 2 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/moncler-maya-70-by-palm-angels-jacket-bright-white-moncler-2) | 1 in 250 | $8,750 | 6.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Aime Leon Dore x New Balance Varsity Jacket Navy other](https://gambatracker.com/items/aime-leon-dore-x-new-balance-varsity-jacket-navy) | 1 in 250 | $7,700 | 5.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Saint Laurent Denim-Style Lambskin Leather Jacket Black (EU 48) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/saint-laurent-denim-style-lambskin-leather-jacket-black-eu-48) | 1 in 250 | $6,599 | 5.0% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [Gucci x The North Face Print Jacket Beige/Ebony (US L) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gucci-x-the-north-face-print-jacket-beige-ebony-us-l) | 1 in 250 | $6,000 | 4.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Gucci x adidas Nylon Down Jacket Yellow (EU 52) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gucci-x-adidas-nylon-down-jacket-yellow-eu-52) | 1 in 250 | $5,885 | 4.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Palm Angels Alpinestars x MoneyGram HAAS F1 Team Jacket Black/Red EU 54 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/palm-angels-alpinestars-x-moneygram-haas-f1-team-jacket-black-red-eu-54) | 1 in 250 | $5,350 | 4.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Balenciaga Leather Jacket Black US 40 other](https://gambatracker.com/items/balenciaga-leather-jacket-black-us-40) | 1 in 250 | $5,000 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Kith x Versace Reversible Down Jacket Black (EU 48) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kith-x-versace-reversible-down-jacket-black-eu-48) | 1 in 250 | $4,565 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [BAPE x Comme des Garcons Osaka Exclusive Varsity Jacket Black US XL other](https://gambatracker.com/items/bape-x-comme-des-garcons-osaka-exclusive-varsity-jacket-black-us-xl) | 1 in 250 | $4,080 | 3.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Supreme Burberry Shearling Collar Down Puffer Jacket Beige (US M) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/supreme-burberry-shearling-collar-down-puffer-jacket-beige-us-m) | 1 in 250 | $3,600 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Burberry Reversible Check Nylon Puffer Jacket Black Archive Beige (US XS) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/burberry-reversible-check-nylon-puffer-jacket-black-archive-beige-us-xs) | 1 in 125 | $2,970 | 4.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Burberry Reversible Check Nylon Puffer Jacket Black Archive Beige (US S) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/burberry-reversible-check-nylon-puffer-jacket-black-archive-beige-us-s) | 1 in 125 | $2,607 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [OVO The Simpsons Varsity Jacket US L other](https://gambatracker.com/items/ovo-the-simpsons-varsity-jacket-us-l) | 1 in 125 | $2,110 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Fear of God Satin MANUEL Baseball Coaches Jacket other](https://gambatracker.com/items/fear-of-god-satin-manuel-baseball-coaches-jacket) | 1 in 125 | $1,760 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Gucci x The North Face Down Jacket Blue (US L) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/gucci-x-the-north-face-down-jacket-blue-us-l) | 1 in 125 | $1,266 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Kith Flocked Deconstructed Bandana Coaches Jacket US L other](https://gambatracker.com/items/kith-flocked-deconstructed-bandana-coaches-jacket-us-l) | 1 in 125 | $891 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Men’s Casual Stand Collar PU Faux Leather Zip-Up Motorcycle Bomber Jacket other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mens-casual-stand-collar-pu-faux-leather-zip-up-motorcycle-bomber-jacket) | 90.0% | $62.00 | 10.5% | 19 | 18.0 | 1.06× |

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `cases-gg:api/cases/details`, 12 Nov, 03:04 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Saint Laurent Denim-Style Lambskin Leather Jacket Black (EU 48) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/saint-laurent-denim-style-lambskin-leather-jacket-black-eu-48) [Lululemmon](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Lululemmon) $594 $6,599 11.12x 2026-11-04 23:04 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=cases-gg&case=zip-up)

[Men’s Casual Stand Collar PU Faux Leather Zip-Up Motorcycle Bomber Jacket other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mens-casual-stand-collar-pu-faux-leather-zip-up-motorcycle-bomber-jacket) Hidden $594 $62.00 0.10x 2026-11-11 15:51 UTC

[Men’s Casual Stand Collar PU Faux Leather Zip-Up Motorcycle Bomber Jacket other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mens-casual-stand-collar-pu-faux-leather-zip-up-motorcycle-bomber-jacket) Hidden $594 $62.00 0.10x 2026-11-11 15:51 UTC

[Men’s Casual Stand Collar PU Faux Leather Zip-Up Motorcycle Bomber Jacket other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mens-casual-stand-collar-pu-faux-leather-zip-up-motorcycle-bomber-jacket) Hidden $594 $62.00 0.10x 2026-11-11 15:51 UTC

[Men’s Casual Stand Collar PU Faux Leather Zip-Up Motorcycle Bomber Jacket other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mens-casual-stand-collar-pu-faux-leather-zip-up-motorcycle-bomber-jacket) Hidden $594 $62.00 0.10x 2026-11-11 15:51 UTC

[Men’s Casual Stand Collar PU Faux Leather Zip-Up Motorcycle Bomber Jacket other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mens-casual-stand-collar-pu-faux-leather-zip-up-motorcycle-bomber-jacket) Hidden $594 $62.00 0.10x 2026-11-11 15:51 UTC

[Men’s Casual Stand Collar PU Faux Leather Zip-Up Motorcycle Bomber Jacket other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mens-casual-stand-collar-pu-faux-leather-zip-up-motorcycle-bomber-jacket) [Palm Beach Pete](https://gambatracker.com/players/cases-gg/Palm%20Beach%20Pete) $594 $62.00 0.10x 2026-11-11 15:51 UTC

[Men’s Casual Stand Collar PU Faux Leather Zip-Up Motorcycle Bomber Jacket other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mens-casual-stand-collar-pu-faux-leather-zip-up-motorcycle-bomber-jacket) Hidden $594 $62.00 0.10x 2026-11-10 08:35 UTC

[Men’s Casual Stand Collar PU Faux Leather Zip-Up Motorcycle Bomber Jacket other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mens-casual-stand-collar-pu-faux-leather-zip-up-motorcycle-bomber-jacket) Hidden $594 $62.00 0.10x 2026-11-10 08:35 UTC

[Men’s Casual Stand Collar PU Faux Leather Zip-Up Motorcycle Bomber Jacket other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mens-casual-stand-collar-pu-faux-leather-zip-up-motorcycle-bomber-jacket) Hidden $594 $62.00 0.10x 2026-11-10 08:35 UTC

[Men’s Casual Stand Collar PU Faux Leather Zip-Up Motorcycle Bomber Jacket other](https://gambatracker.com/items/mens-casual-stand-collar-pu-faux-leather-zip-up-motorcycle-bomber-jacket) Hidden $594 $62.00 0.10x 2026-11-10 08:35 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $594 | 89.50% | 20 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed other 100.0% best hit $6,599 (11.12x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt