--- title: "0.3% 1c to 500c case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "0.3% 1c to 500c ($0.52) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 113.05% over 1,352 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/03-1c-to-500c rendered: 2026-11-12T06:51Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [0.3% 1c to 500c](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/03-1c-to-500c) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · 0.3% 1c to 500c A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/03-1c-to-500c?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/03-1c-to-500c?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/03-1c-to-500c) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/03-1c-to-500c?window=all) Price · $0.52 · 1.03 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 113.05% · 1,352 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 117.35% ±114.10 1,302 openings 30 days · 113.05% ±109.89 1,352 openings since tracking started · 113.05% ±109.89 1,352 openings 0.5% 116.2% 232.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/03-1c-to-500c?window=24h) | 6 | 0.97% ±0.00 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/03-1c-to-500c?window=7d) | 1,302 | 117.35% ±114.1 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/03-1c-to-500c) | 1,352 | 113.05% ±109.9 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/03-1c-to-500c?window=all) | 1,352 | 113.05% ±109.9 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Souvenir USP-S | Royal Blue (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-usp-s-royal-blue-factory-new) Hidden $0.52 1.03 coins $250 500 coins 485.5x 2026-11-09 20:37 UTC [Souvenir USP-S | Royal Blue (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-usp-s-royal-blue-factory-new) Hidden $0.52 1.03 coins $250 500 coins 485.5x 2026-11-09 20:37 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.52 1.03 coins $125 251 coins 243.3x 2026-11-09 20:39 UTC [Souvenir P90 | Glacier Mesh (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-glacier-mesh-factory-new) Hidden $0.52 1.03 coins $77.53 155 coins 150.5x 2026-11-09 19:26 UTC [Souvenir P90 | Glacier Mesh (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-glacier-mesh-factory-new) Hidden $0.52 1.03 coins $77.53 155 coins 150.5x 2026-11-05 21:23 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=03-1c-to-500c) [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $0.52 1.03 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:19 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $0.52 1.03 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:19 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $0.52 1.03 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:19 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $0.52 1.03 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:19 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $0.52 1.03 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:19 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) [chxngezs](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/chxngezs) $0.52 1.03 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:19 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $0.52 1.03 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-10 10:44 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $0.52 1.03 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-10 10:44 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $0.52 1.03 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-10 10:44 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $0.52 1.03 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-10 10:44 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $250 (485.5x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 113.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $113.05 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt