--- title: "0.7% M4Roulette iMady case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "0.7% M4Roulette iMady ($2.59) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 119.22% over 6,014 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/07-m4roulette-imady rendered: 2026-11-11T21:17Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [0.7% M4Roulette iMady](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/07-m4roulette-imady) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · 0.7% M4Roulette iMady A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/07-m4roulette-imady?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/07-m4roulette-imady?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/07-m4roulette-imady) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/07-m4roulette-imady?window=all) Price · $2.59 · 5.18 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 119.22% · 6,014 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 512 openings · below min 7 days · 118.96% ±48.26 5,952 openings 30 days · 119.22% ±47.82 6,014 openings since tracking started · 119.22% ±47.82 6,014 openings -0.5% 83.8% 168.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/07-m4roulette-imady?window=24h) | 512 | 67.10% ±71.3 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/07-m4roulette-imady?window=7d) | 5,952 | 118.96% ±48.3 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/07-m4roulette-imady) | 6,014 | 119.22% ±47.8 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/07-m4roulette-imady?window=all) | 6,014 | 119.22% ±47.8 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-factory-new) Hidden $2.59 5.18 coins $1,433 2,866 coins 553.3x 2026-11-09 17:15 UTC [M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-factory-new) Hidden $2.59 5.18 coins $1,433 2,866 coins 553.3x 2026-11-05 23:25 UTC [M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-factory-new) Hidden $2.59 5.18 coins $1,433 2,866 coins 553.3x 2026-11-05 19:34 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-imminent-danger-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.59 5.18 coins $1,151 2,301 coins 444.2x 2026-11-09 20:48 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Control Panel (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-control-panel-factory-new) Hidden $2.59 5.18 coins $873 1,745 coins 337.0x 2026-11-10 00:37 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Control Panel (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-control-panel-factory-new) Hidden $2.59 5.18 coins $873 1,745 coins 337.0x 2026-11-06 00:09 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Control Panel (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-control-panel-factory-new) Hidden $2.59 5.18 coins $873 1,745 coins 337.0x 2026-11-05 23:49 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Master Piece (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-master-piece-factory-new) [iMadyyyy](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/iMadyyyy) $2.59 5.18 coins $715 1,429 coins 275.9x 2026-11-10 00:35 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Master Piece (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-master-piece-factory-new) Hidden $2.59 5.18 coins $715 1,429 coins 275.9x 2026-11-05 23:23 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Master Piece (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-master-piece-factory-new) Hidden $2.59 5.18 coins $715 1,429 coins 275.9x 2026-11-05 23:10 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=07-m4roulette-imady) [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $2.59 5.18 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:28 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $2.59 5.18 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:28 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $2.59 5.18 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:28 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $2.59 5.18 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:28 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $2.59 5.18 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:28 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $2.59 5.18 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:28 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) [iMadyyyy](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/iMadyyyy) $2.59 5.18 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:28 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $2.59 5.18 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:28 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $2.59 5.18 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:27 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $2.59 5.18 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:27 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,433 (553.3x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 119.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $119.22 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt