--- title: "1% AK-47 8k Cheap case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "1% AK-47 8k Cheap ($1.87) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 99.91% over 9,140 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1-ak-47-8k-cheap rendered: 2026-11-12T16:02Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [1% AK-47 8k Cheap](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1-ak-47-8k-cheap) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · 1% AK-47 8k Cheap A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1-ak-47-8k-cheap?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1-ak-47-8k-cheap?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1-ak-47-8k-cheap) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1-ak-47-8k-cheap?window=all) Price · $1.87 · 3.74 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 99.91% · 9,140 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 126.56% ±77.86 3,920 openings 7 days · 117.14% ±56.16 6,414 openings 30 days · 99.91% ±40.44 9,140 openings since tracking started · 99.91% ±40.44 9,140 openings 48.0% 126.5% 205.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1-ak-47-8k-cheap?window=24h) | 3,920 | 126.56% ±77.9 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1-ak-47-8k-cheap?window=7d) | 6,414 | 117.14% ±56.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1-ak-47-8k-cheap) | 9,140 | 99.91% ±40.4 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1-ak-47-8k-cheap?window=all) | 9,140 | 99.91% ±40.4 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Souvenir AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-gold-arabesque-well-worn) Hidden $1.87 3.74 coins $1,699 3,398 coins 908.6x 2026-11-11 18:12 UTC [Souvenir AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-gold-arabesque-well-worn) Hidden $1.87 3.74 coins $1,699 3,398 coins 908.6x 2026-11-11 18:11 UTC [Souvenir AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-gold-arabesque-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.87 3.74 coins $1,396 2,792 coins 746.5x 2026-11-08 20:30 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-vulcan-factory-new) Hidden $1.87 3.74 coins $1,036 2,071 coins 553.8x 2026-11-11 18:17 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-vulcan-factory-new) Hidden $1.87 3.74 coins $1,036 2,071 coins 553.8x 2026-11-09 07:27 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-wasteland-rebel-factory-new) [iMadyyyy](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/iMadyyyy) $1.87 3.74 coins $818 1,635 coins 437.2x 2026-11-11 18:11 UTC [Souvenir AK-47 | Black Laminate (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Rifles](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-black-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $1.87 3.74 coins $470 940 coins 251.5x 2026-11-11 18:22 UTC [Souvenir AK-47 | Black Laminate (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Rifles](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-black-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $1.87 3.74 coins $470 940 coins 251.5x 2026-11-11 18:17 UTC [Souvenir AK-47 | Black Laminate (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Rifles](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-black-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $1.87 3.74 coins $470 940 coins 251.5x 2026-11-11 18:12 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-asiimov-factory-new) Hidden $1.87 3.74 coins $373 745 coins 199.2x 2026-11-04 19:05 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=1-ak-47-8k-cheap) [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $1.87 3.74 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:27 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $1.87 3.74 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:27 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $1.87 3.74 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:27 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $1.87 3.74 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:27 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $1.87 3.74 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:27 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $1.87 3.74 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:27 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) [iMadyyyy](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/iMadyyyy) $1.87 3.74 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:27 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $1.87 3.74 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:27 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $1.87 3.74 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:27 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $1.87 3.74 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:27 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,699 (908.6x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 99.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $99.91 on average: an expected loss of $0.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt