--- title: "1% BCX BUDGET REVERSE RISK on Chicken.gg: odds & RTP" description: "1% BCX BUDGET REVERSE RISK ($5.00) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 14.83% over 386 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1-bcx-budget-reverse-risk rendered: 2026-11-12T06:18Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [1% BCX BUDGET REVERSE RISK](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1-bcx-budget-reverse-risk) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · 1% BCX BUDGET REVERSE RISK A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1-bcx-budget-reverse-risk?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1-bcx-budget-reverse-risk?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1-bcx-budget-reverse-risk) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1-bcx-budget-reverse-risk?window=all) Price · $5.00 · 10 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 14.83% · 386 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 48 openings · below min 7 days · 356 openings · below min 30 days · 386 openings · below min since tracking started · 386 openings · below min -0.5% 175.5% 351.5% **Small sample.** 386 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1-bcx-budget-reverse-risk?window=24h) | 48 | 118.53% ±232.1 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1-bcx-budget-reverse-risk?window=7d) | 356 | 16.07% ±31.3 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1-bcx-budget-reverse-risk) | 386 | 14.83% ±28.9 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1-bcx-budget-reverse-risk?window=all) | 386 | 14.83% ±28.9 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ M9 Bayonet | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-forest-ddpat-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $284 568 coins 56.85x 2026-11-11 13:52 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=1-bcx-budget-reverse-risk) [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:55 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:55 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:55 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:55 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:55 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:55 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:55 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:55 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:56 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) [patriarch1337](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/patriarch1337) $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:56 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $284 (56.85x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 14.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $14.83 on average: an expected loss of $85.17 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt