---
title: "1 in 6 case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "1 in 6 ($196.55) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 6 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1-in-6
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:07Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [1 in 6](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1-in-6)

# [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · 1 in 6

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1-in-6?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1-in-6?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1-in-6) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1-in-6?window=all)

Price · $196.55 · 393 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $176.89 from 6 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 0.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 33.3% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 66.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1-in-6?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1-in-6?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1-in-6) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1-in-6?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · Immortal · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 16.7% | $501 1,001 coins | 47.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 16.7% | $311 622 coins | 29.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-marble-fade-factory-new) | 16.7% | $153 307 coins | 14.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 16.7% | $63.26 127 coins | 6.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-field-tested) | 16.7% | $33.19 66.38 coins | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [R8 Revolver \| Grip (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-grip-field-tested) | 16.7% | $0.01 0.02 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 20:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=1-in-6)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $197 | 90.00% | 6 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed Immortal 16.7% covert 50.0% gold 16.7% milspec 16.7%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt