--- title: "1% Miracle case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "1% Miracle ($5.00) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 71.32% over 4,802 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1-miracle rendered: 2026-11-13T00:49Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [1% Miracle](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1-miracle) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · 1% Miracle A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1-miracle?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1-miracle?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1-miracle) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1-miracle?window=all) Price · $5.00 · 10 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 71.32% · 4,802 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 790 openings · below min 7 days · 83.81% ±48.92 2,081 openings 30 days · 71.32% ±34.12 4,802 openings since tracking started · 71.32% ±34.12 4,802 openings 23.0% 114.3% 205.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1-miracle?window=24h) | 790 | 114.23% ±90.6 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1-miracle?window=7d) | 2,081 | 83.81% ±48.9 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1-miracle) | 4,802 | 71.32% ±34.1 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1-miracle?window=all) | 4,802 | 71.32% ±34.1 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sticker | Ninjas in Pyjamas (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ninjas-in-pyjamas-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $2,539 5,078 coins 507.8x 2026-11-03 00:44 UTC [AK-47 | X-Ray (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $1,301 2,602 coins 260.2x 2026-11-07 11:09 UTC [AK-47 | X-Ray (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $1,301 2,602 coins 260.2x 2026-11-03 10:55 UTC [AK-47 | X-Ray (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $1,301 2,602 coins 260.2x 2026-11-03 09:50 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-vulcan-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $1,036 2,071 coins 207.1x 2026-11-12 17:46 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-vulcan-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $1,036 2,071 coins 207.1x 2026-11-12 10:52 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $932 1,864 coins 186.4x 2026-11-12 23:52 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $932 1,864 coins 186.4x 2026-11-11 19:46 UTC [Souvenir M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a4-radiation-hazard-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $797 1,594 coins 159.4x 2026-11-11 21:33 UTC [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $595 1,191 coins 119.1x 2026-11-05 18:08 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=1-miracle) [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-13 00:49 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-13 00:49 UTC [Charm | That's Bananas charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-thats-bananas) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $333 667 coins 66.67x 2026-11-13 00:49 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-13 00:49 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-13 00:49 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) [Till0999](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Till0999) $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-13 00:49 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-13 00:48 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-13 00:48 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-13 00:48 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-13 00:48 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $2,539 (507.8x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 71.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $71.32 on average: an expected loss of $28.68 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt